Opportunity Knocking Again? Playing the JCP Turnaround.
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Good Friday to you. Although the media is attributing today's market's strength to Spain's reform measures as they prepare for the ever popular bailout package, the reality is today marks a 'quadruple witching' event, with quarterly settlements and expiration of four different types of September equity futures and options contracts. That's pretty much the main reason why volatility has picked up across the major indexes over the last few days. The end result however still isn't much change since Bernanke threw his last lifeline out there last week. We'll see where things close at the end of the day.
I will note the NASDAQ Composite technically established a new 52 week high today. When I say technically, I don't mean charting analysis, I simply mean it created a new high by literally a point or two. It's hardly a breakout while the other three major indexes, the DOW, NDX and S&P, just continue to grind in a very tight range. I suspect this market is going to start making its bet on third quarter earnings soon by either moving higher from current levels or moving lower. From a charting perspective, we'll reiterate everything still appears bullish on a near-term basis. Weekly and monthly charts are still bullishly intact and the daily chart still hasn't provided any clues of a downturn in the days or weeks ahead.
Yesterday ended up proving our recent analysis of playing contrarian is still the preferred strategy for short-term trading. Once the indexes took out their short-term support levels on the hourly charts, they all moved back up in tandem with the NASDAQ leading today. Our stance of buying the weakness and selling the highs continues to prove profitable.