Thursday's Gain Didn't Reignite the Rally. Plus, a New Pick.
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Happy Thursday, everyone. Kudos to the bulls for logging another winning day for stocks. Gotta be honest -
Thursday was a minor blow to my bearish thesis, and not just because stocks made a gain. I'm still leaning bearishly, but we owe it to you to look at both sides of the coin. So...
Let's just start at the beginning. On the chart of the S&P 500 below, we can see how once again the index briefly traded under the 20-day moving average line, and once again, the bulls pushed back above it. Ditto for the floor at 1990 - the S&P 500 traded below that support line for a while, but when all was said and done the bears couldn't push the market over the cliff.