Stocks Take Another Step Into Quicksand, But...

Jul 9, 2020

/

01:13 PM PST

Rating

No ratings


Never let it be said the market doesn't have a knack for keeping things interesting. Yesterday it looked like the bears were going to yank the rug out from underneath stocks. Today, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi chimed in and spurred U.S. stocks higher right out of the gate. As the sage wisdom warns us, however, be careful what you ask for because you just might get it. And, given the intraday rollover, it looks like traders remembered the axiom after the initial rally had run its course.


In case you've not had a chance to look beyond the headlines today, here's the short version of the story. Although the U.S. Federal Reserve has pulled out several stops since 2008 to stimulate the economy (namely, a huge bond buyback and ultra-low interest rates), the European Central Bank hasn't been nearly as dovish. That is, it hasn't been as dovish until today.

All Big Pullbacks Start With a Small Stumble... Like Wednesday's

Jul 9, 2020

/

01:13 PM PST

Rating

No ratings


You know, in terms of raw numbers, Wednesday's dip doesn't look terribly troubling. In the right context and perspective though, there's actually quite a bit to be worried about in the shadow of today's action for the market.


We'll take the usual near-term look at stocks, but we're going to do that last in today's newsletter. The first thing we want to get to is a continuation of the topic we put on the table in yesterday's edition.

New Pick: We're Pulling the Trigger on a Premise

Jul 9, 2020

/

01:13 PM PST

Rating

No ratings


Welcome to the weekend, everybody. On the off-chance you've forgotten, Monday is Labor Day, so the U.S. markets will be closed. It also means most of you will have a three day weekend. Enjoy it. Before you get your weekend plans underway, though, let's take one last look at the market and some key information for this week. That way we can hit the ground running come Tuesday.


New Pick

Are Copper & Aluminum Good Buys Now?

Jul 9, 2020

/

01:13 PM PST

Rating

No ratings


Welcome to the weekend, fellow traders. While Friday may have been fairly tame on the news and market-action fronts, the biggest news of the day was pretty big - the Federal Reserve's take on the U.S. jobs market at the Jackson Hole, Wyoming, economic symposium was less than enthusiastic. Investors interpreted as a way of saying rates aren't going to be rising in the immediate future. I'm not surprised. We mentioned to you in yesterday's newsletter the market didn't truly see any major rate hikes on the way, and Yellen pretty much confirmed it today.


Anyway, what we thought was pretty interesting about the Fed's basic assessment wasn't that the job market still wasn't all that great; we knew that already. What was interesting is how some of the obscure numbers she cited were the same obscure numbers we serve up to you guys every month when the unemployment data comes out.

The Market's Red Flags Are Already Waving, & Tips on Trading AAPL

Jul 9, 2020

/

01:13 PM PST

Rating

No ratings


So let me get this straight. Stocks rallied several times over the past year or so whenever it looked like the economy was weak and the Fed was going to remain dovish and simulative. Now some Fed leaders says the economy is so strong we need to seriously consider raising rates to cool it off, and stocks rally on that news too? Just for the sake of discussion, is there any plausible scenario that could actually send stocks lower?


Of course, it's not like we haven't seen this situation before, where bad news is good and good news is even better. Some of the market's best rallies have unfurled simply because the majority of the trading crowd refused to see any downside. All those situations ended badly to some degree, but the market sure was red hot until reality set in.

<<120  121  122  123  124  125  126  127  128  129  >>