If Everything is So Bullish, Why Does This Keep Happening?
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For those of you keeping score, Thursday's action was the seventh bullish day in the past ten trading sessions. As of today's close the S&P 500 has gained 9.6% since the capitulatory low hit on Wednesday from two weeks ago. We figured there would be a bounce from there, but this advance has now exceeded all of our near-term expectations.
This isn't necessarily a good thing. While we love momentum as much as the next guy, as we've mentioned before, there's always a question of sustainability. It's possible for stocks to keep climbing after gaining nearly 10% in just two weeks. I looked back for several years though, and it doesn't happen very often... at least not without a dip first, to cool the trend off to a more palatable pace.