Two More Industries Just Became Trade-Worthy

Jul 9, 2020

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01:13 PM PST

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Happy Saint Patrick's Day, everybody! Although investors weren't particularly lucky on Tuesday, it's not like the market is too far gone to salvage now. So, we're lucky in the sense we still see a glimmer of hope for a rebound before stocks stumble over the edge of the cliff. I still generally say a corrective move is a necessary evil, but we've yet to cross that line.


When the Top Sector and the Top Market-Cap Collide, This is What You Get

Jul 9, 2020

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01:13 PM PST

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Back on February 19th, we pegged discretionary stocks, the industrial sector, and technology stocks as the top sectors you had to own in 2015... at least for the first half of 2015. It wasn't just some off-the-cuff opinion either. We did (and continue to do) some serious earnings growth and valuation research at the sector-level, and we still see those three areas as the top spots to be in this year.


We also mentioned yesterday how the oddly-strong U.S. dollar was beginning to be a real problem for major U.S. corporations that sell goods overseas. An expensive dollar means foreign buyers of our goods have to pay a lot to get them, and we've already gotten to a point where the sky-high greenback has hurt revenue for multinational corporations.


The solution? Own smaller U.S. companies instead, as they don't rely on international sales nearly as much. Indeed, small domestic companies that sell foreign-made goods actually benefit from a wildly-strong dollar.

It's Official - Small Caps Now Cheaper Than Large Caps by This Common Metric

Jul 9, 2020

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01:13 PM PST

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The good news is, the bulls finally started to fight back in earnest today. The bad news is, even with that good fight, it's not like the market cleared any of the critical hurdles it needed clear to rekindle the bigger uptrend.


Hope is Fading, But at Least Floors Are Coming Into View

Jul 9, 2020

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01:13 PM PST

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Happy hump-day, folks. Though stocks didn't follow-through too much on yesterday's implosion on Wednesday, in a lot of ways that's actually more bearish than another sharp pullback. The merely-feeble bounce effort early on in the day proves the bulls weren't willing to pour back into stocks, even when there was a glimmer of hope for a bounce. Instead, they squandered the opportunity for a quick recovery and mostly yielded to the bears again.


With the Bearish Ball Rolling Now, How Low Can We Go?

Jul 9, 2020

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01:13 PM PST

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Well folks, there you go. The bulls managed to hold off the bears through yesterday, but the effort collapsed today. The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ Composite both broke under some key support levels, and as such made it much easier for the market to keep falling.


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