OK, Valuations Are Becoming a Big Problem for the Market Again
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And so ends another trading day, another trading week, and another trading month. Despite the calendar saying things aren't
supposed to be this way right now, we just logged our second consecutive week of sizeable gains. All told, the S&P 500 advanced about 1.8% in May... much better than the average 0.1% gain we normally see for this month.
One has to wonder if the odd bullishness we saw in May of 2014 is a hint that we're in for an unusually bullish spring and summer this year, or if it's all something of a setup for a pullback. Our forecast is still - mostly - for a flat to bearish period for stocks over the next few weeks, for a couple of reasons.