Trade
Updates: Take Profits on DXYN, VRS, Raise Stops on GNW, HUN
As
much as I'd like to talk about the market today, I just don't have room
or time. There are too many stock picks we've recommended recently that
require immediate attention... though all of it is the good kind
of attention.
I promise
to get a market-oriented edition out ASAP. For right now though, I think
it's time to take profits on some stocks, and raise the stops on a few
others.
Take
Profits On...
The
Dixie Group Inc. (DXYN)
We
recommended DXYN back on May
1st as a longer-term penny stock pick. At the time shares were
trading at $2.38. Now they're at $3.91... a 64% gain for those who acted.
I still
intend to keep The Dixie Group on the radar as a longer-term idea, but
with the way the chart is straining now, I can see a pullback is around
the corner. Just sell it and get sidelined for a while.
Verso
Paper Co. (VRS)
We
posted the VRS pick on the evening
of the 29th, which would have been executed on the 30th. The opening
price was $1.00.
Verso
was recommended as a short-term breakout trade, and break out it did.
It's currently at $1.41, up a hair more than 40% from where most of you
would have bought in.
Though
I'm tempted to stick with this one for a while and see how much more the
stock can recover (it was at $5.00 in September fer cryin' out loud),
discipline is telling me to stock to the original plan - bail out when
it looks like the surge is starting to crumble. Well, Verso's gone
nowhere but sideways for the last three days. That's not down, but it sure
isn't up. Let's lock in the gain here and move on.
Hansen
Medical Inc. (HNSN)
Hansen
was actually picked because it was an undervalued large cap wearing penny
stocks' clothes (it was priced under $5.00). The intent here was
for HNSN to be a longer-term idea with a very low price, but today's pop
has forced me to rethink things... at least temporarily.
The
opening price from the day we picked it was $5.10; now it's at $6.59 thanks
to today's 19% surge. All told, those who bought in from our
initial recommendation would now be up 29%. That's a little too good
to pass up.
Maybe
the right answer is to sell some now, and hold some for later. Your call.
Raise
the Stops On...
TAM
S.A. (TAM)
Frankly,
it's a little irritating the way this one played out. I can't complain
too
much because our trade is in the red, but the darn thing bolted out of
the gate and has made two bullish gaps back-to-back.... something I don't
think can be sustained.
We
published the pick after
the close on the 5th, which means you could have gotten in at the opening
price of $7.90 on the 6th (versus the close of 7.59 on the 5th). Now it's
trading at $9.26 and still headed north.
This
was supposed to be more of a long-term holding, and it sill is, which
is the dilemma... I know there's pullback risk here. I think the best
thing to do is set a stop somewhere around $8.20. That will protect some
of
your profit, but won't leave you out in case this thing really takes off.
Genworth
Financial Inc. (GNW)
Like
TAM S.A., Genworth was meant to be a longer-term holding, but a big gap
today changed the game. If you got in at the opening price of $3.57 on
the 6th (following
our reco from the evening of the 5th), the current price of $4.34 means
you're up about 21%. Not bad for a day's work.
GNW's
gap today is even bigger than TAM's though, and just as scary.
As
we did with TAM S.A., I think the right thing to do is to play offense
and defense. Don't sell it yet. Instead, why not put a stop-loss around
$4.20 to protect you if things turn sour quickly?
Huntsman
Corp. (HUN)
Finally,
a well-behaved, non-temperamental stock. No major gaps. No surges. Very
little volatility. Smooth sailing.
Like
Hansen Medical, we picked Huntsman back on April
27th as a long-term, undervalued large cap idea. That hasn't changed.
The
opening price from the 27th was $4.96, versus the current price of $6.02...a
decent 21% gain so far. However, we're not nervous about locking
in our gain for HUN, because the uptrend has very well-paced.
Instead,
we'll just add a protective stop ...maybe something in the $5.60-ish area.
Why
there? No particular reason, though if tripped, it would still leave
us with a 13% gain.
And
The Rest?
I know
there are still some other trades we've put out there that we didn't update
today. In those cases, most likely there was nothing particularly pressing
with the charts we had to act upon. That's not a bad thing or a good
thing - it's a neutral thing. I didn't see anything wildly concerning
with any of them though.
Still,
I'll try and get an update posted soon (probably in the blog). Or,
I'll let you decide what to do with them. Your call.
One
More Thing...
If
you know of other traders who would like to receive the same trading ideas
you've been getting, let 'em know about us. Better still, forward this
e-mail to them and tell them to sign up as well.
Also,
don't
forget we
now Twitter. We're planning on delivering our best trading idea
via Twitter,
so if you want our recommendations as soon as they're published,
that's the best way.