In
This Edition....
Despite
today's pullback - not to mention our generally bearish short-term stance
- we're not going jump to any conclusions about what's in store
for stocks in the near future. The fact is, today's dip isn't even really
threatening last week's gains yet, nor are any major support levels under
fire.
Instead,
we'll save those thoughts for the middle of this week after we've collected
a little more data.
For
today, we'll simply post a couple of new trading ideas (one bearish and
one bullish), and update a few existing trades.
New
Trades
As
we've been doing for the last few weeks, we're going to pair a short (bearish)
trade with a long (bullish) trade, respectful of the market's possibly-turning
tide. We know we'll have the wind at our back for at least one of the positions,
yet both of them have the potential to move in a profitable direction for
us.
International
Royalty Corp. (ROY) - Bearish
The
month of May was a fantastic ride for owners of International Royalty shares;
the stock gained 53% during that time.
Unfortunately,
the move was a little bit too big, in too short a period of time. Having
been overbought for a few days, the cracks are finally starting to leak
water. ROY is now under a couple of support levels around $3.33, and it
looks like there's enough profit-taking interest to keep pushing this stock
lower.
It
could be a case of 'buy the rumor, sell the news', as shares peaked
and started to tumble just a few days before the company announced the
Las Cruces, Spain project had finally found copper.
Acura
Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ACUR) - Bullish
We've
actually been following Acura Pharmaceuticals since May
8th. The fundamentals looked a little iffy, but the company's
history and development projects (mainly aversion technology) looked promising.
The technicals, however, weren't quite as compelling at the time.
As
it turns out, ACUR shares moved higher after our last look, right up to
a resistance level at $7.70. And, they pulled back to what's now
clearly become a rising support line. In other words, a decisive wedge
shape has been made. The lower line of the wedge was the springboard
for today's big move, which may well be the catalyst needed to break through
that ceiling/resistance line once and for all.
It's
a tad pre-emptive to jump on board now, but we've already seen new multi-week
highs today, and stronger buying volume over the last two weeks. It looks
like the market really wants to force a breakout here, so the risk/reward
ratio is favorable for the bulls.
Raise
or Lower Stops On...
We
don't have as many suggestions as we did last time, having pared several
of our trades so we could focus on our more productive ones. However, we
do
have a handful of things we need to take care of in the way of lowering
or raising stops.
Bank
of the Ozarks Inc. (OZRK)
We
shorted
OZRK last week at a price of $23.36. Since then, we've watched shares
sink under minor support, and move on to the current price of $21.85. That's
about a 6% profit cushion, which isn't a lot, but is at least enough to
start thinking defensively. Let's just draw a line in the sand around break-even
levels for the time being.
Quick
reminder... we're only looking for a move to support around $18.00 or $19.00.
Global
Crossing Ltd. (GLBC)
It
was only
last week we raised our stop on the Global Crossing long trade, but
more big gains since then merit an update.
The
last time we looked (on the 2nd), GLBC shares were around $8.90, meaning
we were up about 10%. Now Global Crossing's at $9.60 thanks to the
8% pop in the meantime. So, we're ahead by about 20%. Let's go ahead and
scoot the stop up a bit.
MGMT
Energy Inc. (MGEG)
This
one goes back to May
4th, with an entry price of $3.91. We haven't talked much about it
since then because, frankly, there wasn't much to talk about with
this docile chart. However, 'slow and steady' can indeed win the race.
As
of right now, MGEG is trading at $4.33, up 10% from where we wandered in.
That's enough of a cushion to place a defensive stop loss to protect most
of the unrealized profits so far.
That's
it for now as far as 'official' trades go, but keep reading - there's another
item to take care of, at least for some of you.
If
You Were Lucky Enough....
If
you're a thorough reader of everything we write, then the name Syndication
Inc. (SYNJ) may ring a bell. I mentioned it as a breakout
candidate in a community article last Thursday. And, break out it did
- it's up 385% since then.
If
you happened to be in a trade or get in a trade based on my comments,
then I equally suggest you now take your 385% profit and run.
Why
bail? For the same reason I don't make pink sheet stocks 'official
trade' stocks to begin with ....they're frequently worthless, and often
only supported by hype. The thing is, you never really know if that's the
case until after the fact.
In
that light, I don't know if SYNJ is the real deal or not, and frankly I
don't care - it was strictly a volatility play designed to take advantage
of the short-term stampede being cultivated by relatively hollow news.
It's absolutely not (yet) the kind of stock you'd want to be in for the
long haul... or even for a short period of time.
Chalk
it up as one of those one-in-a-thousand cases where everything falls into
place for a couple of days. I don't see any longevity to this strength
though.
Just
an FYI, I doubt I'll ever officially trade or even suggest
a pink sheet equity, but I do suspect I'll mention the few that
look interesting within my comments in the community pages.
As the Smartphones Turn...PALM,
S, AAPL, INTC, WIND Intermix
Not nearly the media event that Apple's
(NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone release became, Palm's (NASDAQ: PALM) Pre hit store
shelves this weekend with estimated sales between 45,000 and 55,000. That
leaves 10,000 to 15,000 people on the waiting list.
The new high-end phone, considered
a pivotal product for both Palm and Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S), has received
rave reviews. Like AT&T (NYSE: ATT) is for the iPhone, Sprint is the
sole provider of service for the Pre.
When Palm unveiled the device six
months ago, its stock tripled but in early trading today it was down 10%.
The Pre is key financially for Palm, which has been reporting net losses
for the last several quarters and wallowing in negative cash flow.
The company sees the Pre as the "coming-out
party for the new Sprint."
Another company keeping close eye
on Palm's Pre is Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC), who plans to acquire Wind
River Systems (NASDAQ: WIND) for $884 million.
It all stems from the sudden smart
phone mania predicted to be in full swing this summer. There's last weekend's
rollout of the Pre, a possible iPhone upgrade from Apple, Google Inc.'s
(NASDAQ: GOOG) G2 Android platform appearing and the re-emergence of Motorola
Inc., as a player.
While it's clear that Apple will
set the standard for the next year or two, there's a battle going on for
second place in smart phone space. Right now, the iPhone is using an ARM
processor, leaving Intel in the dark...until now.
Read
the rest at our community pages.
Small Cap Stocks BOBE, EAT, PZZA
and CMG Stage a Rally
Restaurants got hammered during the
recession; every one of every size. Mom and Pop's, chains, Small Caps,
Mid- and Big Caps, and the masses stayed in and ate comfort foods like
stews, breads and potatoes.
If you look at the four individual
company charts that follow, you'll see two things immediately: first, December
was a killer and second, they've all dramatically risen since those dark
days of winter.
McDonald's Corp. (MCD) said today
its same-store sales climbed 5.1 percent in May, boosted by strong international
sales. MDC said U.S. same-store sales climbed 2.8 percent, helped by classic
menu items and its new McCafe espresso-based coffees. In May 2008, Company's
same-store sales rose 4.3 percent in the U.S., aided by the launch of the
company's Southern Style Chicken Sandwich.
The National Restaurant News Restaurant
Index, an index of 61 publicly traded restaurant stocks across all categories,
is now up 20% since its low on March 6, 2009. Although the performance
of the overall index lagged the S&P 500, which is up 33% during the
same period, casual-dining stocks generally outperformed the market during
the last few weeks because of increasing consumer confidence and improving
traffic trends.
Read
the rest at our community pages.