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VOLUME
06: ISSUE 45
Is
the Donald Being Trumped?
Move
over 'American Idol' - there's a new television show that puts the 'real'
back in reality TV. This morning, Clearly Canadian (OTCBB:
CCBEF) announced the story of their rebirth will be documented within
a new reality television series. The producer of the new show is none other
than Nick Davis Productions. If the name sounds familiar, it should - this
is the same Nick Davis that produced several television shows for Lifetime,
ABC, UPN, VH1, and USA just to name a few. Needless to say, the guy knows
what he's doing.
As
for Clearly Canadian, the opportunity is obvious. This is the kind of exposure
you couldn't pay for even if you wanted to.
Less
Is More
Let's
face it...'word of mouth' is the most effective and powerful form of publicity
any organization can ask for. We've collectively learned to tune out TV
advertisement, or have our TiVo's skip them altogether. In simplest terms,
the consumer has been trained to use television commercial time to do anything
except pay attention to commercials. That's tough for advertisers, especially
when TV spots used to be so cost-effective. Ironically, the most powerful
promotional messages are now the ones integrated directly into the entertainment.
It works, too, whether or not the promotional nature of the message was
intentional.
One
example of this is the television show 'American Chopper', appearing on
the Discovery Channel. What started out as a documentary series on a father/son
custom motorcycle shop turned into a gold mine for their business. Overnight,
everyone knew what the duo did, and what their bikes were like. The business
could have never afforded to buy an hour's worth of television commercials
every week. But with the hour-long show, they got something even better.....free
advertising and a captive audience.
Or
does anybody remember the famed introduction of BMW's Z3 a few years ago?
It was popularized before it ever actually became available for public
purchase. How? It was the same car driven by James Bond in the movie 'GoldenEye'.
After the movie was released, the anticipation, discussion, and sheer wonder
about the car was more hype than the BMW company could have ever mustered
up through conventional advertising.
So
when we learned Clearly Canadian was going to be featured as the subject
of a new reality show, we also had to start thinking this could take the
company to the next level (in a proverbial sense). After all, look at the
bare minimum benefits of the show:
The phrase
'Clearly Canadian' will be repeated dozens of times each episode
The Clearly
Canadian product line could be introduced to millions of viewers who may
not be familiar with their products
Regular
watchers of the show will start to feel a vested connection with the company
(And if you don't think it happens, how many of us who watched 'The Apprentice'
or 'American Idol' didn't have a favorite we discussed at the water cooler
the next day?)
The term
'less is more' is simply a fitting description for the company's involvement
with the show. In other words, it's just a matter of quality versus quantity.
The
quantity of dollars spent for this kind of publicity will be squat, while
the quality of this kind of publicity will be priceless.
Everyone
Loves A Winner
Ever
wonder how the NBA's famed Michael Jordan made his millions? The immediate
answer might be he got it all by playing great basketball. Well, there's
no doubt he made plenty of dough being a great a basketball player - probably
the best ever. He was the NBA's Most Valuable Player five times, led the
Bulls to six NBA Championships, and led the league in scoring in ten different
seasons. Or to put it another way, they guy was a winner, plain and simple.....but
that's not quite how he made his fortune. He made a big chunk of his
fortune by capitalizing on his winner status.
Surely
nobody really thinks Michael made all those high-top sneakers himself,
nor that he's an expert on men's fragrances. The thing is, it didn't matter
during the 80's and 90's. In the era when everyone wanted to be like Mike,
everyone
was also willing to pay just about anything to be like Mike. Why? People
love winners. People want to be associated with winners. People will buy
what winners tell them to buy. (That's why I still have a pair of Air-Jordan
shoes boxed up in my closet.)
Our
regular readers will know what kind of progress Clearly Canadian Beverage
has already made in the last few months, not to mention the big plans they
have for the future. By the virtue of being included on our watch list
at all, the company is doing something compelling. However, the story just
can't be fully told in this electronic medium, even with our best efforts.
Besides, as popular as this website is, the reach of television is far
greater. In that light, we're thrilled the company's turn-around story
is going to be detailed over the course of a television season. Or
as producer Nick Davis describes it, it's a Cinderella story. Either way,
when this show finally airs, a heck of a lot more people are going to know
how Clearly Canadian is reinventing itself as a winner.
Don't
misunderstand us. We're not saying Clearly Canadian is becoming a legendary
sports figure looking to venture into athletic gear or television broadcasting.
And as much as we'd like to see Clearly Canadian President Brent Lokash
go one-on-one against Michael Jordan, that's not going to happen either.
We're just saying there's a strong parallel between Michael Jordan and
Clearly Canadian, in that both are winners. Once the Clearly Canadian
reality show is broadcast, the company is going to have a lot more 'winner'
muscle to flex. Bottom lines should be improved as a result.
A
Shareholder's Perspective
As
an investment, the last few weeks have been more than satisfying for owners
of CCBEF. Our coverage started in mid-March when the price was $2.55. Friday's
closing price of $3.07 represents a 20.4% improvement since then, thanks
to new interest in the opportunity. But the renewed strength isn't hollow;
the company has achieved results deserving of that kind of return. For
instance, in May, the company produced year-over-year double-digit revenue
gains...for the first time in five years. And since January, the company
has made some major top-level management changes - all for the better.
So no, we're not surprised about the gain.
Over
the last three days, the stock has leveled off from its recent 52-week
peak of $3.12. In the bigger picture though, the mild pullback to the current
price of $3.07 is minimal compared to the bullish 50-cent move we've seen
in just a few weeks. In fact, there seems to be some support around the
3x3 displaced moving average. More than that, as we pointed out in the
last bog entry, the rallies are all occurring on higher volume while the
dips are all on lighter volume. If anything, this slight pullback may
be a pretty nice entry point, especially in light of today's news.
We
had initially batted around a mental target of $3.30 for CCBEF. Now though,
the goal seems a little low. The company is doing everything right,
and the marketplace is responding as if they like it. Plus, this stock
was trading as high as $268 in the early 90's (seems unbelievable, doesn't
it?) Stocks can rise as quickly as they fall, and if the company stays
on its present course, it could eventually fully reclaim all of that lost
ground. That's a loooooong term look though. All the same, the $3.30 target
is looking more and more like it's not aggressive enough. We'll have more
thoughts on our target when and if we get there.
PRESS RELEASE
CLEARLY CANADIAN TELEVISION
SERIES; Reality Television Meets Wall Street
VANCOUVER, B.C., June
12, 2006 -- CLEARLY CANADIAN BEVERAGE CORPORATION (OTCBB:
CCBEF) Television viewers love underdogs and have developed a growing
infatuation with the business world. Renowned Manhattan-based Nick
Davis Productions (NDP) is looking to match these two national obsessions
into a non-fiction reality series following the incredibly, engaging tale
of Clearly Canadian as it moves toward its goal of regaining prominence
in the alternative beverage industry.
Not only will this series
enthrall viewers from the first episode, it will undoubtedly redefine business
reality television. Filming for the premiere episode of "Clearly Canadian:
Reality of a Turnaround" recently commenced in Ft. Lauderdale, Miami, and
Vancouver. The pilot episode will focus on the creative corporate maneuverings
(and sometime humorous attempts) employed to revive the fortunes of this
once mighty beverage company.
Stated Brent Lokash,
President of Clearly Canadian: "This proposed series is both exciting and
yes, a little scary at the same time. The massive exposure of the brand
and product lines to a national television audience in the tens of millions
is exciting. The fact that we have little room for error and our moves
will be documented for all to see is scary; however I am confident that
we have the right team in place to execute our initiatives".
Nick Davis Productions
is currently producing THE CHIEF for Court TV, and is also developing a
top-secret pilot for Turner Classic Movies. NDP is also the creator
of the Award-winning Court TV series Stories of the Innocence Project and
has produced and developed shows for Lifetime, Bravo, ABC, UPN, Discovery,
VH1, A&E, USA, and Sci-Fi Channel.
Back to the Flavor
The thrust of the Clearly
Canadian story is simple, yet fascinating. Can this once super growth Company
turn itself back into a winner and meet or exceed its past dominance within
a total $63 billion beverage market, specifically in the alternative beverage
sector it pioneered 20 years ago? To date, Clearly Canadian has sold in
excess of 2 billion bottles of its unique naturally, flavored waters.
Producer Nick Davis notes:
"As the story of Clearly Canadian unfolds, viewers will experience what
could truly become a modern-day Cinderella story. Unlike shows such
as The Apprentice, the people, the business and the deals are real and
massive amounts of money are on the line. Until now, there's never
been a show that takes us behind-the-scenes of a real company trying to
succeed. This full-access reality series will honestly portray all the
corporate drama, the financial intrigue, deal-making and pressure that
exists in the high stakes corporate world."
About Clearly Canadian
Based in Vancouver,
B.C., Clearly Canadian Beverage Corporation markets premium alternative
beverages and products, including Clearly Canadian® sparkling flavoured
water and Clearly Canadian O+2® oxygen enhanced water beverage which
are distributed in the United States, Canada and various other countries.
Since its inception, the Clearly Canadian brand has sold over 90 million
cases equating to over 2 billion bottles worldwide. Additional information
about Clearly Canadian may be obtained at www.clearly.ca.
CLEARLY CANADIAN BEVERAGE
CORPORATION
___________________________________
Brent Lokash, President
Forward Looking Statements
Statements in this news
release that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements that
are subject to risks and uncertainties. Words such as "expects",
"intends", "plans", "may", "could", "should", "anticipates", "likely",
"believes", "estimates", "potential", "predicts", "continue" and words
of similar import also identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking
statements are based on current facts and analysis and other information
that are based on forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not
yet determined and assumptions of management, including, but not limited
to, the Company's belief that Clearly Canadian has the right personnel
to execute on its stated strategic initiatives, including the launching
of innovative new products and the leveraging of the brand equity of Clearly
Canadian. These assumptions are subject to many risks, and actual
results may differ materially from those currently anticipated. These
risks include, by way of example and not in limitation, general economic
conditions, changing beverage consumption trends of consumers, the Company's
ability to generate sufficient cash flows to support general operating
activities and capital expansion plans, competition, pricing and availability
of raw materials, the Company's ability to maintain the current and future
retail listings for its beverage products and to maintain favorable supply,
production and distribution arrangements, laws and regulations and changes
thereto that may affect the way the Company's products are manufactured,
distributed and sold and other factors beyond the reasonable control of
the Company. Additional information on factors that may affect the business
and financial results of the Company can be found in filings of the Company
with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and with the British Columbia
and Ontario Securities Commissions.
For further information
please contact:
Shareholder Relations/Steve
Cook
(e-mail: investor@clearly.ca)
1 (800) 983-0993
CLEARLY CANADIAN BEVERAGE
CORPORATION is the registered holder of various trademarks, including CLEARLY
CANADIAN®. CLEARLY CANADIAN BEVERAGE CORPORATION, and its wholly
owned subsidiaries, produce, distribute and market CLEARLY CANADIAN®
and CANADIAN O+2®.
We
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Send 'em on over: Editor@smallcapnetwork.com
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TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
No
Confidence in Consumer Confidence
Some
of the recent market weakness has been blamed on the Conference Board's
Consumer Confidence reading for May. The score of 103.2 wasn't as low as
the prediction of 100.7, but it was still a disappointing tumble from April's
reading of 109.8. You didn't have to look far to find plenty of pundits
citing this as the evidence of even further gloom and doom for the market.
Our take, however, is you may be better served by ignoring the data altogether
- it's been close to useless for investors of any time frame.
Just
for some perspective, April's Consumer Confidence score of 109.8 (released
on April 25th) was almost a four-year high. The media touted it as a time
and reason to buy stocks. The market is down between 3% and 8% since then,
depending on the index. So, clearly it was not a time or reason to buy
stocks.
Conversely,
last October's reading of 85.0 was a multi-month low. Had investors shed
stocks because of poor confidence levels, they would have missed out on
one of the best rallies we'd seen in months. Yet, advisors of all sorts
were steering people clear of the market.
The
point is, don't get bogged down by data that doesn't actually have an impact
on stocks. Not only is it not always helpful, in many cases, it's downright
misleading. Confidence tends to be worst at short-term bottoms, while it
tends to be very strong at short-term tops. As investors, we're often told
quite the opposite. Don't get sucked into a theory unless you know the
true historical results - not just the premise. In this case, the slight
dip in May's confidence level doesn't really mean much of anything.
Verizon
Staying Aggressive
In
last Friday's edition of SmallCap Digest, we looked at Verizon's (NYSE:VZ)
push for government permission to offer cable television service via their
current infrastructure. However, the company isn't going to rely on that
initiative alone to enter into the next phase of their existence. In short,
the company is going ahead with a plan to replace their current copper
wire lines with fiber-optic lines. The technology is expensive, and the
plan may even seem a little premature - especially if the government doesn't
approve the cable TV deal. What makes Verizon a standout, though, is no
other major carrier is taking a chance on laying new fiber-optics yet.
Investors
haven't been happy with the Verizon decision, either. The stock is currently
near $31.50, well under March's high around $35.00, and way under the peak
around $42.00 we saw in late 2004. Yet, the company continues to be aggressive,
and forward thinking.
We
have to admire guts, but quite frankly, this move is also about as smart
as it is gutsy. Although fiber-optic lines are more expensive (and not
in major use in all markets yet), they are still the future, by their virtue
of being smaller, cheaper, and more effective at delivering all sorts of
data. Our take is simple - it's more a question of 'when' instead of 'if'...fiber-optic
and light transmission technologies are going to become standard. So, once
the 'when' is defined, we expect Verizon to be rewarded handsomely for
having the infrastructure ready to go. Verizon shares could make for an
interesting addition to long-term portfolios, especially as de-valued as
they are now. The interesting part is, even with the major cash outlay,
the company's fundamentals remain impressive.
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cumulatively referred to as "SCD") , is an independent electronic publication
committed to providing its readers with factual information on select publicly
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TGR is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. All companies
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Moreover, as detailed below, TGR
accepts compensation from third party consultants and/or companies, which
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