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VOLUME 07 : ISSUE 91
A
'Pickle' Takes Root in Florida
Whoever
coined the phrase 'onward and upward' could have easily been talking
about Spicy Pickle's (OTCBB:
SPKL) stock. Since last Friday's close, SPKL has gained about 25%,
and is still climbing. As amazing as that is, I'm even more amazed
by how consistent - or should I say persistent - the volume has
been.
Monday
was obviously an explosive, high-volume day...the first trading day after
we (and a couple of other sites) started our coverage. Though it
would be tough to rival the 2.4 million shares that changed hands that
day, the market is still speaking pretty loudly with investment dollars.
Each day's worth of good volume and strong performance for the stock just
further solidifies SPKL's hold on these newly-achieved trading levels.
If
you're wondering where all this demand is coming from , then I'm going
to guess you haven't seen the brief web video. To see it, click on the
nearby picture. I think it'll all make sense then. It's just a smart franchise
concept, meeting modern consumer demands. The food's great too...I can
personally vouch for that.
Anyway,
while I can say the food's great right now, some hungry Floridians
will soon be able to agree with me. Why? Spicy Pickle just announced
they've signed a new Florida franchisee. It's the first in the state,
though I doubt it will be the last.
This
first store is slated to open in the Gainesville/Ocala area. It's a great
market for a Spicy Pickle...University of Florida college students, faculty
and staff, plus the big medical community there are the Pickle's targeted
demographic. In fact, I suspect we'll see a few more pop up in Gainesville
once the first one catches on. Beyond that, I think this first Florida
store could also be a seed for the entire state, which just so happens
to be the fourth most-populous state in the union.
As
far as the stock is concerned, I really do believe the initial volatility
is over. We're starting to see higher highs and higher lows, with the gains
coming at a controlled pace on stable volume. So, it seems safe to get
back in the water.
The
press release is below. In the meantime...
Merck's
Leading the Pack
Remember
our Merck (NYSE: MRK)
trade from the beginning of the year? Yes, it's true - we suggested this
large cap back in January (just click
here to see the original newsletter) as part of our 'Dogs of
the Dow' experiment. I think we may have touched on it once
since then, as we've just been so busy with small cap stuff. However, I
think it's time to check in again today.
Just
a little background here...the Dogs of the Dow theory is simply the notion
that of the thirty stocks comprising the Dow Jones Industrial Average,
the
ten with the highest dividend yield at the end of a calendar year are apt
to outperform the other twenty in the following year. It's not a totally
crazy idea; on a relative basis, the highest dividend yields suggest
those ten are undervalued.
To
put the theory to the test - and to give our readers a potential money-making
idea - we selected Merck as our pick among the ten dogs. A good scientific
test would have picked all ten, but sometimes you have to leave the laboratory
and get out in the real world...one high-quality blue chip at a time is
enough for me.
Though
we're only 3/4 of the way through the year, I have to say I'm fairly pleased
with the results so far. It's been a roller coaster ride for sure, but
Merck is currently up about 17% from when we picked it. For the sake of
comparison, the Dow is up 11.4% since then. Chalk one up for the theory.
More
importantly, I'm starting to think MRK is getting within striking distance
of our suggested target of $59.74.
Take
a look at the nearby chart. There's one thing that's become clear in the
last few months - MRK is a stop-and-go stock. That just means these
shares move a little higher for a few weeks, then flatten out for a few
weeks....then up again, then flat again. If you zoom out enough on a longer-term
chart, you can see the ascending stair-step pattern taking shape (dashed,
on our chart).
Since
late 2005, when the rally really started, it seems like a brief dip under
the 100 day moving average line (mostly a symptom of the moving average
line catching up with consolidation levels) was viewed as a buying
opportunity. Coinciding with those pullbacks was a retest of what has now
become a long-term support line (red, on our chart).
Well
guess what? Over the last three months, MRK really hasn't gone anywhere
but sideways. However, we did see that support line as well as the
100 day line intercept this chart. And sure enough, it again sparked a
short-term rally. It's not yet a break-out from the sideways range,
but it's a good start. Based on the size of previous runs, a break-out
from here could easily carry MRK to $59.74.
I know
some of you may be worried about the big gap from April. They tend to act
like a vacuum, and that big one between $46 and $50 could really weigh
in. To be honest, I'm not all that worried about it. If you look closely,
MRK left behind a few other gaps during this uptrend (12/19/05, 7/25/06,
04/02/07, and 9/19/07). It hasn't been an issue yet. Quite the contrary
- the gaps actually seem to precede a rally.
By
the way, yeah, I think it's too late to take on a Merck stock position.
However, you might be able to leverage the remaining distance between here
and our target price with a call option. Moreover, I definitely
don't think it's too late to add some Spicy Pickle to your portfolio. Here's
their press release for today, and I expect a whole lot more of them just
like this one over the next couple of years.
Press Release
Source: Spicy Pickle Franchising, Inc.
Spicy Pickle
Announces New Franchise Signing New Store Marks Florida as the 15th State
Thursday, September
27, 4:05 PM ET DENVER, Sept. 27 -- Spicy Pickle(r) fast casual restaurants
(OTC Bulletin Board: SPKL)
today announced it has signed its first franchisee in the state of Florida.
A new franchisee
with restaurant experience in another concept has entered into a franchise
agreement to open the first Spicy Pickle Restaurant in the Ocala/Gainesville
region of central Florida.
The Spicy Pickle
real estate acquisition department is in the Ocala/Gainsville area now
reviewing demographic studies and identifying potential locations.
Marc Geman, CEO
of Spicy Pickle Franchising, Inc, commented: "We are excited to have our
first franchisee in the state of Florida. The state of Florida can support
a significant number of stores, and having our first location could act
as a springboard to additional franchisees and help us penetrate other
regions within the state."
Mr. Geman further
commented "Much like our very successful Boulder, Colorado location, the
Ocala/Gainsville area offers a similar demographic with a high concentration
of University, Medical, and Research facilities. This also marks the 15th
state in which there will be a Spicy Pickle Restaurant."
By the end of
2007, Spicy Pickle anticipates opening approximately 14 more units, bringing
its network to 40 restaurants in 13 states. Nearly 50 additional franchise
development agreements have also been signed.
In addition to
its franchise activity, Spicy Pickle currently has a breakfast menu in
test, potentially opening a new daypart for the chain. The company is also
in the process of building a major commissary in Denver to cost-effectively
supply its local restaurants with panini, sandwich breads and sweet treats,
baked daily according to Spicy Pickle's high standards. All other units
nationwide will continue to bake their panini and sandwich breads in-house.
The Denver commissary is expected to open by the end of the year.
About Spicy Pickle:
Founded in 1999,
Spicy Pickle Franchising, Inc. (OTC
Bulletin Board: SPKL) serves high quality meats and fine artisan breads,
baked fresh daily, along with a wide choice of eight different cheeses,
twenty-two different toppings, and fourteen proprietary spreads to create
healthy and delicious panini and sub sandwiches with flavors from around
the world. As a leading "fast-casual" concept, Spicy Pickle offers menu
items that are far beyond traditional fast food -- but without the price
point of casual dining. The hallmark of a Spicy Pickle restaurant is quality,
service and an enjoyable atmosphere. The company is headquartered in Denver,
Colorado, with franchised locations now open across nine states and many
more in development nationwide. For more about Spicy Pickle, including
franchise information and inquiries, visit http://www.spicypickle.com.
Forward-Looking
Statements:
Certain statements
in this press release, including statements regarding the number of restaurants
we intend to open, are forward-looking statements. We use words such as
"anticipate", "believe", "could", "should", "estimate", "expect", "intend",
"may", "predict", "project", "target", and similar terms and phrases, including
references to assumptions, to identify forward-looking statements. The
forward-looking statements in this press release are based on information
available to us as of the date any such statements are made and we assume
no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. These statements
are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results
to differ materially from those described in the statements. These risks
and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following: factors
that could affect our ability to achieve and manage our planned expansion,
such as the availability of a sufficient number of suitable new restaurant
sites and the availability of qualified franchisees and employees; risks
relating to our expansion into new markets; the risk of food-borne illnesses
and other health concerns about our food products; changes in the availability
and costs of food; changes in consumer preferences, general economic conditions
or consumer discretionary spending; the impact of federal, state or local
government regulations relating to our franchisees and employees, and the
sale of food or alcoholic beverages; the impact of litigation; our ability
to protect our name and logo and other proprietary information; the potential
effects of inclement weather; the effect of competition in the restaurant
industry; and other risk factors described from time to time in our SEC
reports.
COMPANY CONTACT:
Marc Geman, CEO
Spicy Pickle
Franchising, Inc.
303-297-1902
Ext. 7000
Marc@spicypickle.com
Source: Spicy
Pickle Franchising, Inc.
We
Value Your Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Email
the Editor
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
MIV
Therapeutics (MIVT) Surges on Orthopedic Collaboration News
It's
about time. Just a few weeks after announcing the first human implant of
their next-generation coated heart stent, small cap biotech company MIV
Therapeutics (MIVT)
seemed to fall of the face of the earth - partially bringing their stock
with them. Then today out of nowhere, the stock has turned into a rocket
thanks to some only mediocre news...the company is now collaborating with
orthopedic device-maker Smith & Nephew. The two companies intend to
co-develop drug-delivering orthopedic devices. The stock jumped more than
15% on the news, on the most volume we've seen since July.
Don't
get me wrong - I think MIVT is an undervalued stock. I just don't know
if the Smith & Nephew news is a real reason for the stock to finally
perk up. It could be months or even years before the two organizations
can start co-manufacturing a thing.
What
I really think is that MIVT was ready and waiting to rebound; all the market
needed was an excuse. That's fine - if that's what it takes, so be it.
Though
I'm interested in owning an undervalued stock, based on the recent struggle
for this stock, I'd personally rather see the 50 day line crossed again
at 44 cent before taking the plunge. It's only a couple of pennies above
where we are now, so it's not like you'd have to leave a lot on the table
to get a little extra certainty under your belt (if there's even such a
thing as 'certainty' anymore). If you wanted to add to the certainty, you
could even wait to see MIVT cross the 46 cents mark. That's where the 38.2%
Fibonacci retracement line is.
Click
here to see the chart.
Stockgroup
(SWEB) Supported at 200 Day Moving Average Line, But...
I
don't know what's up with this micro cap company in terms of news...we
haven't heard a peep out of Stockgroup (SWEB)
since the middle of August when they reported their Q2 earnings. However,
a lack of news hasn't prevented the stock from trading into a rather interesting
situation. Let's apply a little technical analysis and see if we can figure
out where SWEB's chart is trying to go.
The
first thing I see is support at the 200 day moving average line. In fact,
it's almost bizarre how precise the support has been since the line was
first remet on August 16th. Along with the 200 day average line, I also
(now) see a short-term support line.
On
the upper side of the chart we're seeing the opposite situation...resistance
at the 50 day line. At the same time, we can also see a long-term straight
resistance line taking shape.
The
net result of all this support and resistance is called a wedge - one that's
coming to a point quite quickly in Stockgroup's case.
This
has the potential to be a good for bad thing. Obviously SWEB will have
to break through one side of the triangle or the other sooner or later.
And as far as we're concerned, that'll be sooner...there's not much room
left in the tip if this wedge. The question is, which direction?
While
nothing is ever set in stone, I have to vote for a bullish break. The company
has been doing well, and when comparing opposing technical (i.e. chart)
forces, it's usually better to side with the longer-term trend lines.
Either
way, this should be fun to watch unfold. If you're a speculator and/or
fan of the company, the time to step in is before anything starts to happen;
it may happen too fast to effectively chase it.
Click
here to see the chart.
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Larry Isen, the editor and publisher
of the OTC Journal, through various entities he controls, has purchased
1,200,441 shares of Spicy Pickle at an average cost of $.2125 per share.
These purchases were made in Spicy Pickle private offerings. The aforementioned
purchases were made between August of 2005 and August of 2006. In addition,
Larry Isen has received 785,000 shares of Spicy Pickle common stock for
consulting services. In addition, MarketByte LLC, an entity controlled
by Larry Isen, has received a fee of $30,000 cash, and 300,000 newly issued
restricted shares for coverage of Spicy Pickle. TGR Group LLC, the publisher
of the Small Cap Network, has received $30,000 and 300,000 newly issued
restricted shares for coverage of Spicy Pickle. Mr. Isen is an affiliate
of TGR Group. In addition, two other individuals affiliated with TGR Group
have purchased a total of 300,000 shares at $.25 per share and received
an additional 70,000 for consulting services. Current positions of the
aforementioned can be found at www.otcjournal.com and access.smallcapnetwork.com
in the Spicy Pickle information section.
On January 19th, 2007 TGR Group LLC
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From March of 2005 through July of
2006, TGR Group LLC was paid a fee of $40,000 by MIV Therapeutics for coverage
of the company. In addition, TGR Group LLC was also awarded 272,000 warrants
with an exercise price of $.26 by Trilogy Capital Partners for coverage
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and shares have been sold in the open market. On April 3rd of 2007, MIV
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