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VOLUME 07: ISSUE 16
Sailing
Under 'Clear' Skies - A Sea Change for Clearly Canadian
Investors,
we think you should take notice of Clearly Canadian (OTCBB:
CCBEF) if you haven't already! The company was impressing the heck
out of us by its sheer rebuilding efforts alone. But, we think today's
acquisition news could be the difference between outstanding returns and
downright
incredible returns. Sales are expected to almost double, and
given that the newly-acquired division is already profitable, we see the
maneuver as a giant leap towards profitability. In any case...
If
there's one thing we've learned about Clearly Canadian recently, it's this....when
the company speaks, it probably pays to listen. President Brent Lokash
was pretty explicit a few weeks ago when he was laying out 2007's plans,
specifically saying the company was going to "...pursue acquisition opportunities
to strengthen our foothold in the beverage sector and diversify into the
complementary organic snack sector."
Ta-da!
We just learned a few moments ago the company has bought organic snack-food
maker DMR Food Corporation. If you're in Eastern Canada, you may know them
under their business name of 'Sweet Selections'.
Hand
in Hand
We
think this is a pretty sweet deal (no pun intended) for both sides of the
table. While we're not big fans of using buzz words just for the sake of
using buzz words, we still see an obvious synergy between a beverage
producer and a line of snack foods. The synergy is augmented when both
products are specifically health-friendly. After all, the same typical
consumer is being targeted by both companies.
We
equate it to the Pepsi/Frito-Lay relationship....as does Brent Lokash in
the press release (below). The 1965 union of Pepsi and Frito-Lay into Pepsico
(NYSE: PEP) offered immediate
advantages in terms of distribution, but we doubt anybody realized the
kind of cross-marketing opportunities that would present themselves
over the next four decades. Everything from coupons on the packaging to
common grocery store aisle placements has demonstrated Pepsico's food and
drink lines are treated as a team. The strategy has worked
well.
Now
Clearly Canadian is taking a parallel path, and as far as we're concerned,
a better one. Why? Read on.
Where
You're Going is More Important Than Where You Are
Think
bigger is better? Here's some organic food for thought....the worldwide
annual market for organic food products is estimated to be between $20
and $30 billion. The global annual market for non-organic foods is just
a little under $600 billion. Which seems like the better market to be in?
Your first gut feeling might tell you to go fishing in the bigger $600
billion pond.
The
thing is, as Paul Harvey might ask, what about the rest of the story? Some
estimates say annual organic food sales growth is between 17% and 20%,
while traditional food sales are growing between 2% and 3% per year. From
a growth perspective, that certainly makes the smaller $30 billion pond
look more attractive, especially if you're planning to fish in perpetuity.
Based on all the data, we'd have to say Clearly Canadian shares are
offering a superior growth opportunity right now by being in the faster-growing
industry.
And,
it doesn't hurt them to have one of the most-recognized brand names in
North America. Oh, did we mention Sweet Selections' business is growing
by more than 25% per year? Sweet indeed.
The
Dollars Behind The Deal
Here's
what we know about the deal so far...the initial price tag was a flat $450,000
(in Canadian dollars), with another $450,000 (CDN) to be paid over the
course of the next three years. The deal also gives 3 million CCBEF warrants
to DMR's current owners, allowing a purchase of Clearly's stock at a price
of $4.00 (US). As part of the deal, Clearly Canadian has essentially assured
DMR a profit of $2.55 million (CDN) on the warrants. If the net proceeds
from the warrants can't provide DMR that $2.55 million within a year of
exercising them, Clearly Canadian will make up the difference.
By
our math, to DMR the deal is worth $900K (CDN) in cash, and a net of about
$2.55 million in warrants (after exercised). That brings the price tag
up to $3.45 million as far as DMR is concerned. The cost to Clearly may
or may not be anything close to that. The $900K in cash is fixed, but the
warrants may well pay for themselves, in a sense. If the share price exceeds
$4.85, then Clearly won't have to do anything except make the shares available
for DMR's purchase. As we think you'll agree below, we feel it's a bargain
no matter how you slice it.
While
there's a little potential for dilution, depending on when and how the
warrant obligation is fulfilled, we wouldn't call it a significant concern.
We see it as a win/win scenario - the better the stock does between now
and then, the less likely it is that Clearly Canadian will have to pay
any of the $2.55 million, and DMR will make more money on the deal. Oh,
and shareholders will be reaping the same rewards DMR does, and won't have
to worry about any major cash expense down the road.
Putting
Their Money Where Their Mouth Is
Here's
the idea that speaks volumes to us....DMR just sold themselves to Clearly
Canadian for a little cash and a truckload of $4.00 warrants while
the stock was more than a buck under that exercise price. Most
of the potential value of the warrants is directly linked to the success
of the stock. What does that tell you? It tells us the acquiree
(DMR) thinks a heck of a lot about CCBEF's upside potential. Remember,
from DMR's perspective, the $3.45 million or so is basically a minimum,
but we have to think they're thinking bigger than that. Ergo, Clearly's
shareholders are actually on the same side of the table as DMR Food
Corporation. (What a fresh concept!)
So
what does DMR Food Corporation think they're worth? Take our math with
a big grain of salt, as we still don't have all the exact details yet either.
But...
Priced
modestly at the same annual sales figure of $6 million, we'd say the
targeted acquisition (cash) value could/should be at least $6 million,
if not more. Is that what the company is worth? We can't say for sure (yet),
but we do know this much....the press release says the acquisition will
almost double Clearly's sales. Clearly Canadian was on track to
do a little more than $8 million in revenue for fiscal 2006. So, let's
just conservatively say the new Sweet Sensation division is doing
$6 million in sales per year (and by the way, it's profitable).
If
shares reach $6.00, DMR's warrants will be worth about a net of $6 million
( ($6 - $4) x 3 million) - our ballpark-valuation. If DMR's management
agrees with our rough calculations, then they may think CCBEF could be
worth as much as the upper $5's (low end), or even up to $8 (high end).
Perhaps that's on the higher end of the scale, or maybe not. However, we
don't think any level significantly above $5 would be crazy - our current
suggested target is $5.15, and we're considering raising it. The point
being, we can't help but think DMR is expecting to get more than the basic
minimum.
Again,
don't get married to our math here. It's an educated guess, but could be
off a little. Besides, it's not the important part. The part
we think you need to keep in mind today is how DMR Food Corporation's leadership
- who obviously have a vested interest - just put an enormous amount of
faith in Clearly's shares. When you've got that kind of stock participation
from the folks who understand the opportunity as well as anyone, then we
feel it's a pretty meaningful endorsement for any interested investor.
It essentially allows the little guy to trade along with the people 'in
the know'.
No
need to repeat what we've been saying for a few weeks now. We can sum it
up like this - we think Clearly Canadian's products are healthy for your
body, and we think Clearly Canadian's stock could be very healthy for
your portfolio. In our opinion, there's still lots of upside potential
here, and it seems a lot of other qualified people do too.
The
press release...
Clearly Canadian
Acquires Eastern Canada's Leading Organic Snack Company
Management
Sees Diversity and Synergy Resulting from Strategic Acquisition
VANCOUVER, British
Columbia -- Clearly Canadian Beverage Corporation (OTCBB:CCBEF), (the "Company"),
is pleased to announce it has acquired DMR Food Corporation. Operating
under the name Sweet Selections, DMR is the leading seller of organic and
natural snack foods in Eastern Canada.
"With the recent
introduction of our Clearly Canadian Natural Enhanced Waters, including
dailyEnergy, dailyVitamin and dailyHydration, a certified organic essence
water, this acquisition accelerates our efforts to further establish Clearly
Canadian as a provider of healthy, good-for-you, products," said Brent
Lokash, President of Clearly Canadian. "We see great upside in Sweet Selection's
business over the next several years as retailers are placing a major emphasis
on organic and natural products. With a growth rate of over 25% per year
and a strong presence in Canada's largest grocery chains, Sweet Selections
is an ideal complement to Clearly Canadian's brand recognition and established
presence in the beverage sector. This combination creates a host of opportunities
to penetrate our key markets and fulfills our stated objective to enter
into the complementary snack food market."
Mr. Lokash added,
"Our model for growth into the organic and natural foods market is to emulate
what Pepsi/Frito Lay has done so well over the years in connecting beverages
and snack food. We believe the combination of these two companies will
provide a host of strategic opportunities to penetrate this exploding market
and create value for our shareholders. Sweet Selections is a fast growing
and profitable company. This acquisition will nearly double top line revenues
with little immediate dilution to our shareholders."
In connection
with the acquisition of Sweet Selections, the Company has paid $450,000
CDN upon closing of the transaction; 3,000,000 warrants to purchase the
Company's common shares at a purchase price of US $4.00 per share, provided
that if a gain of $2,550,000 CDN is not realized from a sale of the warrants
within 1 year from their sale of the warrant shares, the Company will pay
any shortfall; and $450,000 CDN payable over 3 years. In addition, the
Company has entered into a 3 year consulting agreement to retain the services
of Sweet Selection's founder, David Reingold.
About Clearly
Canadian
Based in Vancouver,
B.C., Clearly Canadian Beverage Corporation markets premium alternative
beverages and products, including Clearly Canadian(r) sparkling flavoured
water and Clearly Canadian dailyEnergy, dailyVitamin and dailyHydration
Natural Enhanced Waters, which are distributed in the United States, Canada
and various other countries. Since its inception, the Clearly Canadian
brand has sold over 90 million cases equating to over 2 billion bottles
worldwide. Additional information about Clearly Canadian may be obtained
at www.clearly.ca.
About Sweet Selections
Sweet Selections
packages and markets organic and natural dried fruit and nut snack foods,
including the brands Sunridge Farms, Naturalife, Sweet Selections, Simply
by Nature, and the newly introduced bulk format, Glengrove Organics, which
are sold in major food retailers and natural stores throughout Eastern
Canada. Forward Looking Statements Statements in this news release that
are not historical facts are forward-looking statements that are subject
to risks and uncertainties. Words such as "expects", "intends", "plans",
"may", "could", "should", "anticipates", "likely", "believes", "estimates",
"potential", "predicts", "continue" and words of similar import also identify
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on current
facts and analysis and other information that are based on forecasts of
future results, estimates of amounts not yet determined and assumptions
of management, including but not limited to, the Company's belief in the
future increase in revenues of its new acquisition, DMR Food Corporation.
These assumptions are subject to many risks, and actual results may differ
materially from those currently anticipated. These risks include, by way
of example and not in limitation, general economic conditions, changing
beverage consumption trends of consumers, the Company's ability to generate
sufficient cash flows to support general operating activities and capital
expansion plans, competition, pricing and availability of raw materials,
the Company's ability to maintain the current and future retail listings
for its beverage products and to maintain favorable supply, production
and distribution arrangements, laws and regulations and changes thereto
that may affect the way the Company's products are manufactured, distributed
and sold and other factors beyond the reasonable control of the Company.
Additional information on factors that may affect the business and financial
results of the Company can be found in filings of the Company with the
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and with the British Columbia and
Ontario Securities Commissions. CLEARLY CANADIAN BEVERAGE CORPORATION is
the registered holder of various trademarks or pending trademarks, including
CLEARLY CANADIAN(r) dailyEnergy, dailyVitamin and dailyHydration. CLEARLY
CANADIAN BEVERAGE CORPORATION, and its wholly owned subsidiaries, produce,
distribute and market CLEARLY CANADIAN(r) and CLEARLY CANADIAN NATURAL
ENHANCED WATERS.
Contact:
Clearly Canadian
Beverage Corporation,
Vancouver Shareholder
Relations:
Steve Cook, 800-983-0993
E-mail: investor@clearly.ca
or
Marketing:
Sonia Manson,
604-742-5314
Email: smanson@clearly.ca
Source: Clearly
Canadian Beverage Corporation
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