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VOLUME
02:
ISSUE 48
Meet The Best Performing Telecom
Company
The
gut wrenching pain inflicted by telecom companies on their investors have
been unequaled. Sure, the death of dotcoms hardly left their believers
unscathed but internet companies were abstract. Most had no tangible
assets outside of servers and expensive Herman Miller Aeron chairs.
Telecoms on the other hand billions in assets from fiber to routers.
Unlike their dotcom brethren, telcos also had big revenues but unfortunately
also big losses.
The list of telco carcasses number
far and wide from Northpoint Communications to Global Crossing.
The list of causalities looks to add a few members with the demise of Qwest
(Q)
and WorldCom (WCOME).
The rest of the group isn't faring
much better. Take a look at the American Stock Exchange Telecom
Index (^PHN) which is down a whopping 48%
in 2002 alone.
The problem with all the telecom
companies is that they are choking on debt. Servicing debt coupled
with intense competition and eroding margins has led to the increased number
of bankruptcies.
However, sometimes it may not be
that bad for a company to enter bankruptcy. Case in point, today's
edition is about the best performing telecom company. This company
not only filed for bankruptcy but also emerged from bankruptcy. This
is quite an accomplishment considering that most bankrupt companies never
make it back.
The image below shows how well some
of the top telecom companies have performed since September 17th.
Not a pretty picture but there is
one standout. Covad Communications (COVD)
was
left for dead but the company's resiliency and management led the company
out of bankruptcy. Since September 17th the company's stock has gained
120.41%.
That's a number all investors wish they could see.
It seems that investors aren't the
only ones noticing the company's turn around. Through our sources,
the SmallCap Digest has learned that there is an internal memo floating
around Sprint that mentions "the deal with Covad is Done".
We believe these sources to be reliable but have no guarantee on what the
deal is.
Just last Friday Sprint said
it will phase out digital subscriber line service, or DSL, in markets where
it's too expensive to provide it or where the company has found cheaper
means of supplying high speed data or Internet access. DSL service
is expensive to offer and not very profitable in areas where companies
like Sprint have to rely on other local carriers to hook customers up.
The company said DSL service in markets where it's the leading local phone
provider won't be affected.
Could a deal announcing the Covad/Sprint
alliance be far off? There is even more talk around the water cooler
as Covad is rumored to be signing deals with AT&T and other
large carriers as well.
Covad Communications is the best
turnaround story in telecom for 2001-2002 and without filing for bankruptcy
this never could've happened.
The biggest question for the company
now is whether it will be acquired or if it will continue to move forward
on its own.
D I S C
L A I M E R :
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