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VOLUME
06: ISSUE 45
The
Tipping Point
Tipping
point: noun. the
culmination of a build-up of small changes that effects a big change
(Source:
Webster's New MillenniumTM Dictionary of English Copyright ©
2005 Lexico Publishing Group, LLC)
Have
you ever had the feeling that something was going to happen, but a specific
amount of time had to pass before it actually transpired? For instance,
in football, it's possible for the game to effectively be over, even in
the last couple of minutes of the contest - if the winning team
controls the ball. However, the referees still make the teams play out
every second of the game, so it can become 'official'. Well, that's kind
of how we feel about On The Go Technologies (OTCBB:
OGHC). They're on the verge of winning the big game...it's just a matter
of time.
To
be specific, On The Go Technologies took a giant
leap towards profitability. For their third fiscal quarter, which ended
on April 30th, the company improved revenues by 578% compared to the same
quarter last year. Yeah, that's right, 578%! On The Go reported $8.9 million
in sales for Q3 of 2006, well above 2005's Q3 sales of $1.5 million. And
in case you were wondering if sales in Q3 of 2005 were unusually low, they
weren't. In fact, that particular quarter was also considerably stronger
than 2004's Q3, when the company posted revenues of $1.0 million.
So
the quarter was a one hit wonder then? Not quite. Over the last nine
months (3/4 of their fiscal year), On The Go has raked in $22 million in
sales, for a whopping 688% improvement over the same nine-month period
from the prior fiscal year. In other words, the company is consistently
putting up these huge numbers.
Revenue,
though, isn't the exciting part - at least not the most exciting
part. We're excited to see just how close On The Go is to turning a profit.
For their 3rd fiscal quarter, the company narrowed the net loss (per share)
to $0.01. A year ago, the quarterly loss was $0.20. OK, you might argue
a loss is a loss, regardless of the size, so a little context may be called
for. The total dollar net loss for Q3 was only $79,291. Think about it...that's
less than 1% of the total revenue for the same quarter! Seeing how
well the company has managed to consistently improve top lines, we have
to think bottom lines are right on the verge of turning from red to black.
That's
what we mean by the 'tipping point'. On The Go Technologies is, as Webster
defined it, turning many small changes into one major change. In this case,
all
the hard, incremental work being done by CEO Stuart Turk is close to paying
off, as the company finds itself on the cusp of profitability. If things
continue as they are at On The Go (and we think they will), profitability
is only a matter of time. For investors, it's the tipping point - when
the stock is no longer a curiosity, but an exciting, viable enterprise.
The only question to ask is when is the best time to buy? Once they start
turning a profit, it may be tough to get shares at current prices. The
right time to buy is before everybody else figures out the triple-digit
increases in revenue are starting to translate into earnings.
Revenues,
Where have You Been All My Life?
Obviously
something changed for On The Go Technologies. A 578% increase in revenue
is no fluke. But why now? Where is all this newly found cash flow coming
from?
The
question is best answered by the man himself - On The Go President and
CEO, Stuart Turk. At the same time the revenue and earnings news was released
a few moments ago, he added, "The strong revenue increase this quarter
reflected the successful acquisitions of Infinity Technologies in
July 2005 and Island Corporation and Solutions in Computing in January
2006. Our resulting ability to cross-sell among our five VAR (value
added reseller) divisions has created valuable new opportunities. When
adjusted for non-cash expenses related to debt discount costs, our operations
during the quarter provided a net profit on a pro forma basis which
we believe is indicative of the strong progress we are making not only
from acquisitions but also from organic growth and targeted IT sales and
service initiatives coming to fruition."
In
plain English, the two acquisitions are making them more money than they're
costing them, which is a breath of fresh air in a 'growth at any cost'
kind of world we live in. Plus, it costs the company little (to nothing)
to add another revenue source, since their infrastructure is already in
place. And as he stated, there are plenty cross-selling opportunities among
existing customers. Did you catch the part about pro-forma profits? Yeah,
we did too. In some circumstances the term 'pro forma' is used to veil
true results. In this case, however, we really think it's a sign of GAAP
profits being just around the corner.
We're
convinced On The Go has the right management team in place, and has the
right business model, to keep repeating their recent success. We've
just seen too much improvement (heck, a complete turn-around) here to assume
anything else.
Getting
In On The Action
We
first started covering OGHC on May 23rd, when shares were at $0.19. Recently,
they've been hovering around $0.13. While we'd love for all of our picks
to go straight up after we publish them, this 6 cent dip doesn't concern
us. If anything, we view shares as being even more undervalued now
than they were then.
As
we discussed in our initial
profile of On The Go, the time to buy stocks (or anything, for that
matter) is when nobody else seems to want them. The time to sell
stocks is when everybody else wants them. It's no secret technology
stocks have been lagging all year long. It's also no secret technology
stocks are still well under their highs from the peak in 2000, which means
there's still enormous upside potential for recovery gains. Simultaneously,
and despite the company's stellar results of late, nobody seems too excited
about OGHC. They will be though. When tech finally starts to perk
up, and On The Go starts to turn profits, you can bet investors will get
real interested, real quickly. So the question to ask yourself about the
stock is simple. Do you want to get in at the bottom, or do you want to
chase it once it takes off?
One
last thing to think about - the pace of earnings improvement, and the current
price. On The Go turned a 20 cent loss into a 1 cent loss in their fiscal
third quarter. The company just lost a penny per share in Q2 as well. In
their first fiscal quarter this year (ending 10/31/5) the net loss was
again $0.01. See the trend? This most recent quarter was no accident; the
company is pulling itself up by its bootstraps. Not that the price-to-earnings
ratio should be the final determinant of a stock's value, but do a little
hypothetical math here. If On The Go can improve their quarterly earnings
by just a nickel, the P/E ratio is right around 3 (on a quarterly basis)!
For some perspective, they just improved last quarter's per-share
earnings by $0.19. You already know about the colossal revenue
increases. From an investment standpoint, it just seems like the potential
reward is far greater than any risk.
On The Go
Technologies Q3 Revenue Up 578% To $8.9M
Company Attributes
Strong Quarter to Recent Acquisitions
Concord, ON,
Canada, June 14, 2006 -- On The Go Technologies Group (OTC
Bulletin Board: OGHC), an advanced systems integrator and value-added
reseller (VAR) of information technology solutions, announced today that
revenue for the third fiscal quarter ended April 30, 2006 increased 578%
to $8,879,319 compared to the same quarter last year and 27% over the prior
quarter.
Net loss for the
quarter was ($79,291), or ($0.01) per common share, compared to a net loss
of ($379,027), or ($0.20) per common share, in Q3 '05, an overall decrease
of approximately $300,000. Adjusting for debt discount expense of $340,000,
the company realized net income for the quarter on a pro-forma basis of
approximately $261,000 or $0.02 per share. The debt discount costs are
non-cash expenses related to long-term debts amortized over the life of
these loans.
Revenues of $22,086,515
for the nine months ending April 30, 2006 increased 688% over the same
nine-month period in 2005.
The cost of sales
in fiscal Q3 '06 increased to $6,763,737, compared with $1,000,099 in the
same period in 2005. G&A expenses rose from $723,541 in Q3 '05 to $1,794,269
in fiscal Q3 '06. The increase in both categories was attributable to the
acquisitions of Infinity Technologies, Island Corporation and Solutions
in Computing as well as the addition of new personnel.
OTG President
and CEO Stuart Turk said, "The strong revenue increase this quarter reflected
the successful acquisitions of Infinity Technologies in July 2005 and Island
Corporation and Solutions in Computing in January 2006. Our resulting ability
to cross-sell among our five VAR divisions has created valuable new opportunities.
When adjusted for non-cash expenses related to debt discount costs, our
operations during the quarter provided a net profit on a pro forma basis
which we believe is indicative of the strong progress we are making not
only from acquisitions but also from organic growth and targeted IT sales
and service initiatives coming to fruition. We intend to continue building
the company's asset base and sales generation capacity as well as shareholder
equity."
About On
The Go Technologies Group
On The Go Technologies
Group is an advanced systems integrator and value-added reseller of information
technology hardware and software solutions to a wide range of industries.
The company provides high-end information technology products and services
through multiple operating divisions. On The Go's six divisions maintain
more than 125 authorizations and certifications from leading technology
companies. On The Go provides a seamless extension of a client's supply
chain through expedited delivery services, centralized billing, vendor
management, discounted pricing schedules and onsite integration services.
Clients include Fortune 500 companies in the financial, healthcare, entertainment,
scientific research, education and printing industries throughout North
America . For more information, visit http://www.oghc.com
or http://www.onthegohealthcare.com/video.
An investment
profile about On the Go Technologies Group may be found at http://www.hawkassociates.com/onthego/profile.php
.
For investor relations
information regarding On the Go, contact Frank Hawkins or Julie Marshall,
Hawk Associates, at (305) 451-1888, e-mail: info@hawkassociates.com.
An online investor relations kit including copies of On the Go press releases,
current price quotes, stock charts and other valuable information for investors
may be found at http://www.hawkassociates.com
and http://www.americanmicrocaps.com
.
This press
release contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks
and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements contains words such
as "expects," "believes," "anticipates," and "intends." Important factors
that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated
by such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, economic
conditions affecting the B2B environment; continued ability to obtain hardware,
software and peripherals at competitive costs; the company's ability to
finance its planned expansion efforts; the company's ability to manage
its planned growth; and changes in regulations affecting the company's
business and such other risks disclosed from time to time in the company's
reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company
does not intend to update any of the forward-looking statements after the
date of this document to conform these statements to actual results or
to changes in management's expectations, except as required by law.
Company Contact:
Al Kau
(888) 795-3166
(California)
al@thesearchforvalue.com
Investor Relations
Contact:
Hawk Associates
Inc.
Frank N. Hawkins,
Jr. or Julie Marshall
Phone: (305)
451-1888
Email: info@hawkassociates.com
We Value Your
Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Editor@smallcapnetwork.com
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
New
Name for NeWave
Within
the next few days, look for NeWave (OTCBB:
NWWV) to become 'Commerce Planet'. The name change will include
a new ticker symbol, which is yet to be assigned. However, current owners
of NWWV shares won't need to take any action as part of the switch. The
registrar and your brokerage firm will make any necessary changes for you.
The
decision to change the company's name will coincide with the announcement
of a detailed strategy emphasizing ongoing expansion, and further earnings
growth.
Materially,
we don't expect the name change to have much impact. But from a psychological
and public relations perspective, any action that creates a buzz or media
interest is a positive. In that light, the company may be able to use the
news as a platform to spread the word about what the company does, and
why the stock might be a good investment opportunity.
U.S.
Dollar: Overextended?
This
week marks the fifth week the U.S. dollar has strengthened against most
other major currencies, including two big ones - the yen and the euro.
The euro/dollar conversion rate ended at 1.2548 on Tuesday, well under
the peak of 1.2979 from earlier this month, and equally under the high
of 1.2972 from mid-May. The dollar/yen exchange was 115.29 at the end of
trading on Tuesday, and well above the 108.93 level touched in mid-May.
While
the sawbuck's bullish momentum is respectable, we're looking for the dollar
to take a break here, and even ease back a bit. It's currently overbought
to sustain this pace. We'll set a short-term target of 112.70 for the dollar/yen,
and a short-term target of 1.27 for the euro/dollar. After that, we'll
have to reassess.
The
catalyst for the dollar's renewed strength has been continued worries of
inflation forcing the Fed to keep pushing rates higher. That part is actually
true - sustained inflation is indeed going to force the Fed to tack on
a couple more rate hikes. However, some Forex speculators seem to be forgetting
that rate-based currency moves tend to be predictive, rather than
reactive.
In other words, the last five weeks worth of a bullish dollar effectively
'builds in' what the Fed may do with rates over the course of the summer.
So, the best part of the move may already be history. If anything, the
strong upward pace of the dollar is setting up a slight pullback.
That
said, keep any Forex trades on a short leash right now. Euphoria can be
dangerous.
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TGR
Group LLC has been paid a fee of $30,000 cash and 1,000,000 shares of newly
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