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VOLUME
03: ISSUE 75
Feature:
Securing Oil to the Home of the Brave.
The
US needs--in very short order-- to shift its dependency from foreign oil
to ensure security of supply and to address increasing domestic demand.
Calgary-based Assure Energy (OTCBB:
ASUR) is our firm pick to ride that wave. (For a complete background
on Assure see our Trading
Alert).
We continue to suggest accumulation
of Assure shares in anticipation of drilling results announcements
in the short term and significant, ongoing growth for the long term. Downside
is mitigated by generous--and growing--cash flow (currently $1.2 million/month)
while Assure's large, strategic land portfolio augers well for share price
appreciation as an aggressive exploration program proves up production
and reserves.
In
addition to its aggressive exploration focus, Assure Energy offers a direct
means of participating in the current --and accelerating--shift by the
US administration to address the security of its energy supplies as well
as its rapidly growing domestic demand.
Why Assure? Simply put, this company
has already demonstrated significant benefits (as well as long-term potential)
for shareholders:
Proven growth strategy through the drill
bit (exploration) and strategic acquisition. In 2003, 9-month revenues
are up 5-fold (to $4 million) over the same period 2002 ($700,000):
The potential to increase production
from the current level of approximately 1200 BOE/d (barrels of oil equivalents
per day) to 5000 BOE/d in the next couple of years:
Accelerated exploitation and development
drilling opportunities in seven core areas expected to dramatically improve
production, reserves and cash flows. Successful exploitation equals
increased net asset value per share--drilling results to be announced in
Q1 2004:
A portfolio of several high impact,
high working interest of natural gas and petroleum exploration opportunities
in Canada's Western Sedimentary Basin.
Very reasonable incentive packages for
employees that hinge on increased production.
Focus on increasing monthly cash flow
from the current C$1.5 ($1.2) million.
Location, location, location, ensuring
security and surety of supply.
Tiptoe,
through the 10Q....
Trolling through Assure's most recent
10Q filing, one item of interest--among many--- to shareholders is the employee
agreements struck with three key production personnel. These contracts
evidence that management can structure employee deals where the upside
hinges directly on the company's success. That means, simply, that the
key personnel have a vested interest in Assure's success; as do its shareholders.
The employment agreements with these
three individuals--experts in exploration, operations and land management--are
extremely reasonable against industry standards. What's cool are the built
in incentives giving these folks the ability to enhance their remuneration
directly in line with Assure's success. In part through stock options
granted at a very fair $3 per share, but mainly through participation in
a large $1 million-plus bonus pool which, will only be fully funded
by the company once it achieves 5000 BOE/d. By the way, should that
production milestone be met a couple of years hence--or sooner--Assure will
have grown four-fold from its September 30, 2003 production rate of 1200
BOE/d.
It can safely be said that whether
employee or shareholder, everyone is in this together. And that's always
a good addition to shareholder comfort when key employees see the company's
potential and are willing to effectively put their own 'money on the line'
to prove their long-term conviction. And proof that Assure has the moxie
to strike great deals for its shareholders, internally as well as externally.
It
ain't going to get any better--than this.
Given recent and, unfortunately,
ongoing geo-political events overseas, energy prices have become
almost secondary to security of supply. Canada, a peaceful neighbor, provides
sources of oil and gas that are both close and secure.
The resource industry in Canada long
ago recognized its strategic advantage and is aggressively marketing itself
to export more of these vital commodities to its largest trading partner,
the US. The far off Middle East can't compete with Canada in terms of convenience
and stability. It has become apparent that the US needs to source
other oil and gas sources to quickly shift its dependency to more secure
suppliers.
In today's (Friday) National Post--one
of Canada's national newspapers -- an excerpt from an article detailing
Canada's oil and gas industry's drive to exploit the US import quotas:
"International
oil market analyst David Knapp, senior editor for Global Oil Market Analysis,
said displacing such a huge amount of imported oil won't be easy because
of the lack of pipeline infrastructure and refinery configurations. However,
assuming there are no constraints, he said Canadian oils have a security
advantage. Rather than becoming intensely competitive on price against
the Canadian crudes, the Saudis and others would cede that share and fight
their battles somewhere else ." Full article
here.
Assure Energy for America.
It's not just talk, eh?
Need
another reason to Sign up for your FREE Preferred
Membership?
Over
the past year, we've brought you 13 Trading
Alerts. If you had invested $1000 in each one, your $13,000 investment
would have grown to $23070, if you had sold, say, Friday November 7th,
to pick a day. That's a 78 percent return in a less than a year.
The best? Obviously, Cel-Sci. The worst? ThinkPath. If we strip those two
out--the highest and lowest returns--the return on your $11,000 investment
would have been a very respectable 51 percent. Not too shabby.
By comparison, the S&P index
has returned about 20 percent over the last year. The NASDAQ--to which we
also alerted you at the low in March 2003--has returned around 40 percent
in the same period. The NASDAQ Tracker (NASDAQ:
QQQ) did slightly better than its benchmark having risen 45 percent.
Oh yes, we told you about that one, too at $24 in February 2003. Now it's
$35.
And we're only looking at Trading
Alerts. I suspect if we included all of our Company Profiles (check
our Track Record), the numbers would likely have been even better.
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