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VOLUME
02:
ISSUE 66
Diomed Is A Painful Treatment
The
risk of owning a company that hopes to revolutionize an entire industry
is if the company fails. Failure results in the loss of capital for
just about everyone. Diomed (DIO)
was our February
profile and we were proud to have found a company that appeared
to be on the cusp of changing cosmetic surgery.
In particular, the company's patented
and newly FDA approved EndoVenous Laser Treatment (EVLT)
varicose veins solutions was said to be a less cost inhibitive and minimally
invasive procedure. This is in stark contrast to the current treatments
such as stripping and other more painful and costly solutions.
According to Diomed, EVLT is the
most painless and effective way to remove varicose veins which affects
one of every two people 50 or older, and about 15 percent of men and 25
percent of women overall according to the Society of Cardiovascular and
Interventional Radiology. EVLT has been featured in such media as Good
Morning America, Forbes, Newsweek and
New York Times.
The technology behind the company
was exciting and the smart money that invested in Diomed put shareholders
in the same class as some heavy hitters. Individuals that helped
finance the company include Sir Richard Branson the founder of Virgin
International (Virgin Airlines and Records), Jack Rivkin- Executive
VP at Citigroup Investments and former head of research at Smith Barney,
Jonathan Cohen- JHC Capital Management - Formerly at Merrill Lynch
and Smith Barney, and Robert Lessin- Chairman of Wit SoundView Group.
Unfortunately as Diomed proves, smart
money does not guarantee success. Initially, shares of Diomed reached
$9
per share as the excitement about the company's future prospects peaked.
However, corporate performance failed to meet the expectations of Wall
Street. The stock has fallen to an all time low of $0.56 per share.
On September 10 a registration statement
was filed with the SEC by Diomed whereby 20.9 million shares of
common stock were registered for sale. This would bring the total
number of shares outstanding to 30.1 million shares, giving Diomed
a market capitalization of $16.85 million.
Originally, Diomed was estimated
to bring in approximately $17 to $18 million in revenue for 2002.
However, for the six months ending June 30 this year the company had revenues
of $2.125 million and losses of $3.585 million. According
to the most recent SEC filing the company has enough cash till December
of this year so there is a good chance that the company will still need
to raise additional capital.
It is possible that the company will
be unable to raise additional capital unless there is more evidence that
EVLT is gaining in the market place. Diomed reported second quarter financials
on August 14th with less than stellar results. There was some good
news as EVLT revenue in the second quarter rose to $530,000 as compared
to $283,000 in the first quarter of 2002. The number of EVLT lasers
sold increased from 11 in the first quarter of 2002 to 18 in the second
quarter of 2002.
To win back its investors Diomed
has a long road ahead and doubling EVLT revenue every quarter for the next
six quarters would certainly help. There is no guarantee that this will
happen but at the current price many investors have already given up and
left Diomed for dead.
The future of this company rests
on the laurels of EVLT. If the national roll out picks up traction
then the share price will move from the current levels. On the other
hand lowered growth could mean the end of the company as cash runs out
or massive dilution with financing performed at less than favorable terms.
This is not the time to add to your
Diomed holdings or establish yourself as a new shareholder. Without
knowing how well EVLT is being received in the marketplace the risks of
investing in the company are far too great. If you already own it
then selling now makes little sense. However, tax loss selling season
is almost upon us so if there are gains that need to be offset by losses
then Diomed would be a good candidate to sell.
Diomed exhibited all the elements
of a successful company with a great product, an all star team of financiers,
and national media attention. None of these things matter if at the
end of the day the company can't perform its duty which is to bring in
profits. Is Diomed destined to fail? We don't think so but
our expectations have been lowered tremendously and until the company shows
us that it is moving in the right direction there are no reasons for new
investors to look at Diomed.
D I S C
L A I M E R :
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for Trading Alerts compensation and disclosure. TGR Group LLC
has been paid a fee of $50,00 iin cash a by Mohammed Patel, an individual,
for publishing information on Diomed Corp for a period of one year.
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