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VOLUME
03: ISSUE 11
A
penny for your thoughts
The good thing about banging your
head against a wall is that it feels great when you stop. The market equivalent
to that anecdote would be a seller who relentlessly pounds the bid on a
particular stock. When the seller is prepared to unload a good company's
stock for a mere penny a share, buyers of that stock may also experience
relief once the selling dries up.
On the face of it, investors should
be annoyed at the recent progress of ThinkPath's (THTHF) share price. That
said, the decline is the result of a large holder of shares who, earlier
this year decided to liquidate his/her position, apparently at any price.
The sell volume has been substantial and by extension there has been an
attendant price drop.
The ironic thing is that the company
itself is doing quite well and appears in no danger of disappearing. Prior
to this sell program, ThinkPath shares were trading in a range of 4 to
7 cents.
Granted, ThinkPath has a lot of shares outstanding-around 130 million-but
the value seems significantly higher than where the shares find themselves
now. At a cent a share, fully diluted, this is still only represents
a $1.3 million market cap on a company doing annual sales of about $25
million. Speculative opportunity? It would seem so. Risk doesn't get much
less than a penny a share.
The end is not nigh
ThinkPath, a global provider of technological
solutions and services in engineering knowledge management, has a current
market cap of $1.3 million. The 2002 fiscal year-end will be out in a couple
of weeks, with the first quarter 2003 numbers to follow a fortnight or
so later. The salient points for investors are as follows:
· Over $8 million in contracts
secured in the last six months.
· Monthly burn rate-at $70,000--
is less than half of the monthly average during 2002.
· The company expects to
be cash flow positive by the end of the third quarter, 2003.
· The Executive team is foregoing
remuneration during this period of consolidation.
· Bank indebtedness is currently
$1.6 million, less than half of that noted during fiscal 2002.
· The company has clients
in the diversified verticals of aerospace, automotive, manufacturing and
health care industries.
· Deepening relationships
and exploring new business opportunities with existing clients such as
General Dynamics and others.
In for a penny, in for a penny....
While the current environment is
challenging for all companies, it appears that ThinkPath's size, and the
presence of a large seller has worked in tandem to tank the shares. The
reality is that the company, while speculative, has a real business and
revenues, real clients and significant prospects for growth. For those
investors who wish to participate in a growing knowledge management concern,
we believe that ThinkPath shares --trading at 1 cent-- offer a compelling
opportunity.
Once the selling has diminished,
we look for a return to the previous trading range-and hopefully above-and
see the shares exhibit more balanced trading activity.
Below is the full text version of
Thinkpath's press release:
Press Release
Source: Thinkpath Inc.
Thinkpath Awarded Engineering Support
Contract
Tuesday April 1, 7:00 am ET
New Client for Thinkpath Engineering
Canada
TORONTO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--April 1,
2003--Thinkpath Inc. (OTCBB:THTHF - News), a market leader in Engineering
Knowledge Management solutions, announced to-day the signing of an LOI
with a Tier 1 automotive component design corporation. Thinkpath's engineering
team will provide high-level design support for a minimum period of one
year. The value of the win is estimated to be in excess of CAD$1.5 million
and the ramp-up to its commencement will start later this month.
The client is a global leader in the
design and manufacture of instrument and cockpit panels, plastic based
trim and acoustic products for all of the major automobile manufacturers.
About Thinkpath Inc.
Thinkpath (OTCBB:THTHF - News) is a
global provider of technological solutions and services in engineering
knowledge management including design, drafting, technical publishing,
e-learning, technical training and staffing. Thinkpath enables corporations
to reinvent themselves structurally; drive strategies of innovation, speed
to market, globalization and focus in new and bold ways. We are experts
in the aerospace, automotive, manufacturing and health care industries.
Headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Thinkpath
has 270 employees in 6 offices across North America. Further information
about the company, its services and products can be found at www.thinkpath.com.
Forward-looking Statements
This press release contains certain
forward-looking statements regarding Thinkpath Inc., its business prospects
and results of operations that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties
posed by many factors and events that could cause Thinkpath's actual business,
prospects and results of operations to differ materially from those that
may be anticipated by such forward-looking statements. Readers are urged
to carefully review and consider the various disclosures made by Thinkpath
in this news release and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission that attempt to advise interested parties of the risks and factors
that may affect Thinkpath's business.
Contact:
Vantage Point Capital
Deborah Bayne, 905/844-3748 or 800/580-4382
vinfo@vantagepointcapital.com
Source: Thinkpath Inc.
As always, your thoughts are most
welcome. Email them here: editor@smallcapnetwork.com
We read them all.
God
bless these guys, and gals.
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