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VOLUME
02:
ISSUE 50
Trading Alert: Opportunity Strikes
In our July
16th edition we introduced our readers to "The Best Performing
Telecom Company". At the time we didn't feel that Covad Communications
(COVD)
warranted a trading alert. Although there were rumors of a new alliance/partnership
with a large telecom company the evidence was not compelling enough.
In the edition we said:
It seems that investors aren't
the only ones noticing the company's turn around. Through our sources,
the SmallCap Digest has learned that there is an internal memo floating
around Sprint that mentions "the deal with Covad is Done". We believe
these sources to be reliable but have no guarantee on what the deal is.
We wanted more confirmation and now
the SmallCap Digest has received word that as of August 12th
Sprint's (FON)
DSL sales force will be offering Covad's services. There should
be a formal announcement coming soon from both parties because this is
a material development.
The following link takes you to Sprint's
Business DSL Site which is states:
We're in the process of upgrading
services. Please check back here soon to get all the details of the new
and improved Sprint Business DSL, with an expanded footprint and new solutions.
All indications point towards a very
exciting corporate development for Covad.
The
stock bounced nicely from $0.80 today to close at $1.01
per share up 12.22%.
Notice the chart on the left and the blue line at the $0.80
mark. The stock has essentially set a double bottom at this level
and is now a key support level.
Our target
for this trading alert is $1.30 which would represent a gain
of over 28% from
today's closing price. If the stock gaps open tomorrow (which means
it opens up significantly from today's closing price) make sure to NOT
chase the stock. Wait until 10:00am because chances are the stock
will be lower. This is not always the case but more often than not.
On any trade
it is important to set a stop limit order (for more information on stop
loss orders please read our July
12th edition). In the case of Covad the stop loss should
be set between $0.80 to $0.90 per share depending on your
risk tolerance.
Covad should
start trading up as shareholders and traders anticipate the announcement
of the deal. Currently the stock has an average volume of over 895,000
shares per day which means there should not be a problem getting
in or out of the stock. There are 209.1 million shares in
the float with over 21.5 million shares short which represents approximately
15%
of the float.
Will this deal
with Sprint prompt shorts to cover? Maybe, but that depends on if
this deal is one of a few more to come. What is important to focus
on is Covad's turnaround and if they are successful the stock will be up
significantly in the long and short term.
With that being
said, remember that this is a trading alert and not a "buy and hold for
retirement alert". We are issuing this trading alert based on Covad's
pending announcement of a partnership with Sprint which is to begin August
12th.
D I S C
L A I M E R :
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SmallCap Digest is an independent electronic publication committed to providing
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