In
This Edition...
New Trading
Ideas: ICOC and TK
Trade
Updates
New
Trading Ideas
The
bulls are still working hard to nip a downturn in the bud; it remains to
be seen whether they'll be successful or not. In the meantime, our strategy
of splitting our trades up evenly between short and long picks continues
to work well. So, we've got one of each for you today.
ICO
Inc. (ICOC) - Bearish
ICOC
shares were up a little today, but it's the first gain we've seen since
early last week, and it was a low volume gain at that. The downtrend that
began in early June still appears to be intact.
In
fact, if you take an extreme zoomed-out look (which we did), you'll see
how the peak hit in early June is also in line with a long-term, falling
resistance line. Based on the chart's action following encounters with
that line suggests a significant pullback may have been started.
Just
an FYI, it's not that ICO Inc. is a terrible company, nor is it that they
took losses in recent quarters... almost every company took losses.
It's just that ICO has developed the bad habit of coming up short of analyst's
earnings estimates. Doing so can really plague your stock, even in between
quarterly reports.
Teekay
Corp. (TK) - Bullish
This
shipping stock finally broke out of its slump in early June, though perhaps
a little too quickly. The bounce from $14 to above $23 in less than two
weeks may have been a little too much, too fast. Sure enough, TK was back
to the $19 area a week later.
Now
that the stock has settled down, we can see the potential buyers are still
interested; sellers were limited in number at the top as well as on
the way down. How can we see this? Volume, and the fact that
the stock found support at the 20 day average line a few days ago and has
started to move higher again.
With
some major hurdles now out of the way on the chart, we're looking for the
upside to continue.
Trade
Updates
We
don't have a lot to tweak with our open trades... just a couple of things
to take care of.
Let's
change the stops on....
Bank
of the Ozarks, Inc. (OZRK)
This
short/bearish trade got off to a great start, sinking from $23.36 to a
low of $19.70 right out of the gate. Over the past few days, however, OZRK
has drifted back up to just over $21.00.
We
suspect the recent lift is temporary, as the buying volume behind it has
been pathetic. On the other hand, there's no reason to take chances when
we have some profit to protect.
I'll
let you decide where to move your stop - I'll just suggest somewhere under
the entry level of $23.36. Don't make it too tight though... we want to
give it a little wiggle room to re-find its bearish direction.
Harvard
Bioscience Inc. (HBIO)
Our
long trade on HBIO is still profitable (about 7%), and it's been pushing
upward over the last three days following a rough end to last week. So,
I'm optimistic that the bigger uptrend is still intact. On the other hand,
it looks like Harvard Bioscience is struggling to move back above its 20
day moving average line. Could it be resistance?
I want
to hang onto it for the bullish reasons given above. On the flipside, I
don't want to take chances now that we've seen its vulnerability. I suggest
setting a stop at this week's low of $3.35. That will leave some profit
behind for us if a headwind is hit, but also gives us a chance to reap
a bigger reward if the stock continues to recover.
MGMT
Energy, Inc. (MGEG)
For
the longest time keeping tabs on this penny stock was like watching paint
dry. It had been stuck at $4.35 since June 8th following our entry in May
at $3.91. Today it all changed, with a big leap to $4.75 and close at $4.55.
We're now up about 16%... enough to worry about protecting. Let's scoot
the stock up to, say $4.00? That should leave enough room for volatility.
(It's also where we found support during the days right before this big
pop.)
As
for the reason the stock moved today, there's not one - at least not from
the company itself. We haven't seen or heard from MGMT in a long time.
And,
let's make exits on...
Sunrise
Solar Corp. (SSLR)
After
this thing started trading again on the 19th (much lower than where it
left off on the 4th), I gave it the benefit of the doubt. The stigma of
scandal has just been too much to overcome though. Let's dump SSLR and
move on to better things.
Points
International Ltd. (PTSEF)
We're
simply seeing the selloffs come too easily here, while the rebounds are
a total struggle. I'm tired of fighting the trend. Let's just go ahead
and get this one off our plate at what's close to a break-even.
Homebuilders LEN, MTH, RYL Grab
Bear By The Horns
It's an unlikely sector to lead the
market in early, mid- or late trading, but homebuilder stocks took the
bear by the horns today.
The fact that the Fed kept interest
rates near zero on Wednesday, saying that the pace of the recession is
slowing, gave homebuilders optimism that a bottom may be closer than originally
thought.
Another government report showed
the first-quarter gross domestic product growth shrank at a slower pace
than initially thought. GDP shrank at an annual rate of 5.5% versus the
initially reported 5.7% decline.
Hey, even not as bad as expected
news is better than the alternative.
For example, Homebuilder Lennar Corp.
(AMEX: LEN) reported a larger-than-expected quarterly loss and a smaller-than-expected
drop in revenue. Shares rallied 16%.
In fact, in Indio, a small city east
of Los Angeles, the supply of foreclosed houses for sale is plentiful.
Even so, work crews are finishing a batch of new homes for Lennar Corp.
Read
the rest at our community pages.
NPWS Jumps Over 220% Today and
MCZ Sets Record Quarterly and Fiscal Numbers, Pharma Spherix (SPEX) Quadruples
Volume on Phase II Trial News
Entertainment
accessory provider Mad Catz (MCZ) http://www.madcatz.com/
trading on the AMEX in the $0.29 range on an average 3-Month daily trading
volume of 306,334 shares with a market cap of $15.98 million released 2009
quarterly and fiscal year end numbers and shares leaped at the open of
trading.
The good news... MCZ posted a fiscal
2009 net sales rise of 28.3% (a record) or $112.6 million and a fourth
quarter net sales rise of 3.9% (a record) or $22.8 million. Gross profit
for the fiscal year increased 10.8% to $32.0 million from $28.9 million
in the prior fiscal year.
The bad news... Reflecting a $27.9
million pre-tax non-cash goodwill impairment charge, as well as a tax expense
of $4.0 million in the fiscal fourth quarter for a valuation allowance
relating to the deferred tax asset at the Company's US subsidiary, MCZ
incurred a net loss for the year ended March 31, 2009 of $32.6 million,
or a loss of $0.59 per diluted share.
The solution; get rid of all the
obstacles and clean up the books; which they've hopefully done this time
around.
Read
the rest at our community pages.