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2000
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VOLUME:
01
ISSUE: 13
Dear SmallCap
Network Members:
The
SmallCap Digest is updating our SHORT TERM TRADING ALERT on Cross Media
Marketing (AMEX:
XMM.)
We are increasing our BUY LIMIT on XMM shares from
$7.25 to $8.25 based on results of the Company's conference call
Monday at 4:30 pm. EST. We are also revising our TRADING TARGET
to $12.00. Complete revised XMM trading parameters follow this earnings
update.
We're pleased to provide
Members with this exclusive follow-up highlighting the discussion from
yesterday's Conference Call...
Cross Media Marketing
third quarter revenue increased 71% to $25.9 million compared to $15.2
million for the same quarter last year. Third quarter net income was $2.3
million, resulting in earnings per diluted share of $0.26, compared to
a net loss of $5.0 million or $0.92 loss per share for the year ago quarter.
Third quarter revenue increased 10% or $2.3 million and net income increased
30% or $0.5 million on a sequential basis from the second quarter.
For nine months of fiscal
2001, revenue increased 64% to $69.2 million compared to $42.2 million
in the prior year. Net income for nine months of fiscal 2001 increased
to $3.9 million or $0.46 per diluted share. This compares to a loss of
$37.4 million or $8.21 loss per share for the year ago quarter.
Net income and EBITDA through
nine months of fiscal 2001 include a one time non recurring, non cash charge
of approximately $1.0 million as a special dividend in connection with
the retirement of the Company's outstanding preferred shares.
EBITDA increased 21% or $0.7
million over the second quarter to $4.0 million and totaled $9.4 million
for the first nine months of fiscal 2001.
More remarkably, from
the end of Fiscal 2000 through the end of the third quarter:
Total assets grew from $44 million
to $59 million, up 30.6%!
Working capital grew from $5
million to $17 million, up 240%!
Stockholders equity grew from
$9.6 million to $23 million, up 140%!
Projected return on equity for
2001 should come in at 73%!!
In July, the Company adopted
more conservative accounting policies in regards to revenue recognition
which reduced their annual revenue projections for 2001 by about $8 million.
The Company reiterated it still expects to hit their revenue target of
$98-$110 million this year. The Company reiterated guidance of $9-$10 million
in net income and EBITDA of $15-$17.8 million for the current year.
The completion of the LifeMinders
acquisition added 20 million members, $20 million in cash, a very strong
balance sheet and the most sophisticated and advanced technology structure
in place to reach this significant and substantial new audience.
XMM is currently selling
at less than 7x 2002 estimates, with net income projected to
grow by about 50% in 2002 versus the current year. Margins have increased
very consistently quarter over quarter, making the Company even more attractive
to institutional investors as performance continues to be demonstrated.
To review the full press
release for these third quarter results, please
click here.
BASED ON THESE PHENOMENAL
RESULTS WE ARE REVISING OUR TRADING PARAMETERS FOR XMM:
BUY LIMIT:
$ 8.25 (<8x 2002 earnings forecast)
STOP:
RAISED TO $ 7.00 ON THE CLOSE (-15%)
TARGET:
RAISED TO $12.00
TIMING:
50-75 DAYS
Technically, XMM shares
are close to breaking out of their recent trading range and thus could
also be vulnerable to a brief pullback. We would use any weakness to accumulate
XMM
shares. Any pullback beneath $7.00 COULD be great for long term investors,
but a close at or below this price would nulify our short term trade.
Short term traders
who missed our first call and like XMM fundamentals, should consider
taking a PARTIAL POSITION up to our revised buy limit and hope for
a pullback.
Look forward to updates as market conditions warrant. For more information
on XMM, please
click here. Members can also follow the prior link to a replay
of the conference call by clicking through to the INVESTOR RELATIONS page.
If you'd like to change your
address enter a new address or delete an old one, please
click here.
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