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VOLUME 07 : ISSUE 52
New
Organic Line, Non-Organic Growth
When
I first saw this morning's news regarding Clearly Canadian (OTCBB:
CCBEF), I knew right away I wanted to get something out to our readers
- I think it's a big deal. But, having learned to skim headlines just to
maintain my bigger picture market view, something else caught my eye shortly
after that. In some ways it has nothing to do with Clearly Canadian.
In other ways it has everything to do with Clearly Canadian. Either
way, the company's investors have something to really chew on today.
First
things first though. If you've been around our site for more than a few
weeks, then you probably already know Clearly Canadian isn't just
water anymore. In January they launched their Enhanced Daily Waters line.
In February they started to offer water in a grocery-friendly 1-liter bottle,
and then turned around and bought DMR Food Corporation - an organic snack
food producer. Later the same month, we learned Canada's largest food distributor
would be taking care of this new organic food line. In March the company
told us their newest line of enhanced waters was going to start showing
up on the shelves of some major chain stores.
In
other words, they're expanding. No surprises there - it's exactly
what President Brent Lokash said was going to happen back in mid-January.
Today's
news is more of the same...Clearly Canadian is becoming further entrenched
in the fast-growing organic ('good for you') market. The latest salvo
in the battle is the acquisition of My Organic Baby Inc. As you may
have guessed, they produce a full line of organic baby foods, and happen
to be one of Canada's biggest in the category.
The
Deal
So
what's the big deal about yet another acquisition? From an investor's
perspective, I see two positives behind the deal.
The
first upside is the obvious one....top line growth. Whatever My
Organic Baby was doing in revenue last year, now Clearly Canadian will
be adding to its revenue tally. More sales = more cash flow and flexibility,
so this has the potential to allow other doors to be opened for the company
in the future.
The
follow-up question is (or I think at least should be), how does the
enhancement of the top line affect the bottom line? My answer to the
question also happens to be the second positive I see for Clearly Canadian
and its shareholders.
The
acquisition cost a modest $400,000 (CDN) in cash, 615,000 shares (which
is currently worth about $1.5 million), and 3.7 million warrants with an
exercise price of $4.00. This is where the deal gets sweet - it's a
win/win scenario. The company has also guaranteed My Organic Baby Inc.
a $600,000 (CDN) profit on the stock within two years, and guaranteed a
$3.7 million (CDN) profit on the warrants within two years. However, since
the
size of the deal is intrinsically linked to the stock's price,
the
better the stock performs, the lower Clearly Canadian's acquisition cost
becomes. If CCBEF hits about $5.00 within a year (or two, for the warrants)
the deal basically becomes self-financing.
See
the upside? If shares hit $5.00 then My Organic Baby pockets the original
amount of the deal. But, if CCBEF moves to - let's just say $7.00
- then the stock and the warrants will be worth $13.8 million to My Organic
baby.....yet won't cost Clearly Canadian one additional dime - it's
all built into the stock's gains. (And don't forget, Clearly Canadian
will be raising nearly $15 million from the exercise of the warrants.)
This
is one of those rare cases where the buyer, the buyee, and the shareholders
all actually want the same thing - for the stock to go higher. The
higher it goes, the better everybody does. The way I see it, it's just
a very effective way of financing a deal without putting one party at
a disadvantage.
The
Chart: Half Empty, or Half Full?
Don't
think I haven't been seeing what's going on with Clearly's stock - I have.
A month or so ago I figured $2.40 would serve as a floor, having seen it
successfully retested twice. When that level finally broke after the third
retest, CCBEF tumbled all the way down to $2.20 before it managed to pick
itself up by its bootstraps. And, at $2.54 again, I'm feeling slightly
better.
Of
course I'm not exactly thrilled with recent results from the stock - nor
do I entirely understand them. The issue I'm really struggling with though
is whether or not it's safe to get back in the water. Generally speaking,
I believe it is.
This
story has been a good one, and the company has made no secret of top line
growth being the priority right now (as opposed to a bigger bottom line).
I personally have no problem with that. Building a cash flow can be much
harder than squeezing profits out of sales, so I'm actually glad to see
the expansion effort taking shape.
In
the meantime, I think the bounce around the $2.20 area may have highlighted
longer-term support around that level. This was about where we made several
lows in the fall of last year, and could be the 'not going to get much
better than that' point for bargain shoppers.
Simultaneously
though, I have to say I'd like the CCBEF opportunity a whole lot better
if it was above $3.00. A friend of mine says (and he's right) Wall Street
is the only place where people buy less of something when it goes on sale,
and more of it when the price is inflated. I guess that has to do more
with momentum and certainty, but hey - that's the nature of the game.
I just feel Clearly Canadian is a good company, and is on the right track
- whether or not the recent chart says the same. Are you a trader or
an investor? I guess that's the ultimate question. I still like CCBEF
as an investment.
The
'Other' News
I mentioned
above some news that may or may not have an impact on your thoughts about
Clearly Canadian, but I know it did on mine. This morning, Coca-Cola
(NYSE: KO) announced they
had acquired bottled-water maker Glaceau - for $4.1 billion. Glaceau is
the maker of Vitaminwater, Fruitwater, Smartwater and Vitaminenergy. Does
any of that seem familiar to you? Clearly Canadian pretty much has
the same product line.
So?
Here's the 'so'......when Coke shells out $4 billion dollars just to gain
a foothold in this segment of the market, that says a lot to me about
the strength of that market. Per the press release, "Glaceau is an
attractive acquisition for Coca-Cola because of its position in the enhanced
water and energy drink categories, which Coca-Cola is betting will make
up a large portion of the beverage industry's volume and gross profit growth
in North America through 2010."
What's
that mean to Clearly? If your first thoughts are a buyout, I will tell
you I've heard nothing from the company to make me think they're
looking for a suitor, (though I guess anything's possible now that M&A
has become the norm). The first thing I thought of was validation.
When one of the two giants in the beverage industry says there's potential
in water, I'm not going to argue them. Looks to me like Clearly Canadian's
product line is aimed at the right target market.
By
the way, it looks like we have a new company to present to you next week.
Not sure which day yet, so stay tuned - they've got a pretty slick little
gadget. In the meantime, here's the press release from Clearly.
Clearly
Canadian Acquires My Organic Baby
Innovative
Organic Baby Food Company Emerging as Leader in Fast Growing Sector
VANCOUVER, British
Columbia -- Friday May 25 -- CLEARLY CANADIAN (OTCBB:
CCBEF), is pleased to announce it has completed the acquisition of
My Organic Baby Inc. (www.myorganicbaby.ca), Canada's first full nation
wide line of organic baby food.
"My Organic Baby
is an incredible opportunity and provides yet another vehicle for top line
revenue growth for Clearly Canadian," stated Brent Lokash, President of
Clearly Canadian. "Consumer spending on baby products has shown double
digit growth during the last five years and more consumers are making the
change to organic, especially where their children are concerned. Nothing
is more important for a baby's positive development than healthy and nutritious
food. With national retail distribution and its wide product offerings,
My Organic Baby is in a great position to capture the family's desire for
organic products for their children."
My Organic Baby's
founders, David Reingold and Orlee Muroff will be joining the Clearly Canadian
team and will play a critical role in expanding My Organic Baby. This will
include the introduction of an organic product line for toddlers under
the name My Organic Toddler and overseeing the roll out of all My Organic
Baby's products into the massive U.S. market place.
Mr. Lokash continued,
"With its current listings in Canada's leading national retailers of baby
food and organic products, My Organic Baby is already establishing strong
brand awareness, which is a cornerstone of our company."
In connection
with the acquisition of My Organic Baby, the Company has paid $400,000
CDN upon closing of the transaction; 615,000 restricted common shares of
the Company, provided, that if a gain of $600,000 CDN is not realized from
a sale of these shares within two years months, the Company will pay any
shortfall; and 3,750,000 warrants to purchase the Company's common shares
at a purchase price of US $4.00 per share, provided that if a gain of $3,750,000
CDN is not realized from a sale of the shares attached to the warrants
within one year, the Company will pay any shortfall.
Additionally Clearly
Canadian announced that James Dines has stepped down as Chairman of the
Advisory Committee. Mr. Dines stated, "I believe the course has been set,
and the company fully understands and embraces the exponential benefits
available through the continuous branding of Clearly Canadian as a recognizable
and trusted name in the organic and natural sector. That was my original
goal and with that accomplished I will leave it to this very capable management
team to continue to execute the vision we have so diligently laid out for
the future of Clearly Canadian."
About Clearly
Canadian
Based in Vancouver,
B.C., Clearly Canadian Beverage Corporation markets premium alternative
beverages, including Clearly Canadian(r) sparkling flavoured waters and
Clearly Canadian dailyEnergy, dailyVitamin and dailyHydration Natural Enhanced
Waters which are distributed in the United States, Canada and various other
countries. Since its inception, the Clearly Canadian brand has sold over
2 billion bottles worldwide. Clearly Canadian's recent acquisition of DMR
Food Corporation marks the Company's debut into organic and natural products
with a wide range of dried fruit and nut snacks offerings from SunRidge
Farms, Naturalife, Sweet Selections, Simply by Nature and Glengrove Organics
brands. Additional information about Clearly Canadian may be obtained at
www.clearly.ca.
Forward Looking
Statements
Statements in
this news release that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements
that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Words such as "expects," "intends,"
"plans," "may," "could," "should," "anticipates," "likely," "believes,"
"estimates," "potential," "predicts," "continue" and words of similar import
also identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are
based on current facts and analysis and other information that are based
on forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determined
and assumptions of management, including but not limited to, the belief
in the growth potential of My Organic Baby. These assumptions are subject
to many risks, and actual results may differ materially from those currently
anticipated. These risks include, by way of example and not in limitation,
general economic conditions, changing beverage consumption trends of consumers,
the Company's ability to generate sufficient cash flows to support general
operating activities and capital expansion plans, competition, pricing
and availability of raw materials, the Company's ability to maintain the
current and future retail listings for its beverage products and to maintain
favorable supply, production and distribution arrangements, laws and regulations
and changes thereto that may affect the way the Company's products are
manufactured, distributed and sold and other factors beyond the reasonable
control of the Company. Additional information on factors that may affect
the business and financial results of the Company can be found in filings
of the Company with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and with
the British Columbia and Ontario Securities Commissions.
Contact: Clearly
Canadian Beverage Corporation
Shareholder Relations:
Steve Cook, 800-983-0993
investor@clearly.ca
or
Marketing:
Carolyn Corcoran,
604-742-5318
ccorcoran@clearly.ca
Source: Clearly
Canadian Beverage Corporation
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