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VOLUME 07: ISSUE 31
Cliffs
Notes for Stockgroup Groupies
Hey
everybody, in case you couldn't make it to Stockgroup Information Systems'
(OTCBB: SWEB) webcast
last Thursday, don't worry - we've got a handful of highlights for you.
And whether you're a small cap enthusiast or a full-blown SWEB shareholder,
we think you're going to like what we've got to say.
On
the other hand, our briefing still doesn't seem to do it justice. We've
always felt it's more empowering to get the whole story, rather than just
a taste. So, we hope each of you takes a few moments to replay the webcast.
Instructions to do so are at the bottom of today's thoughts. In the meantime.....
We
teased you with a little bit of news last week. Earnings for the full year
came in at $7.8 million, up 27% from the previous year. Advertising revenues
increased by 33% in 2006 from 2005, totaling $4.2 million. Financial software
and content systems revenues were $3.5 million, up 18% in 2006. Due to
some expansion expenditures incurred in 2006, we saw a net loss of $791K.
There's
something we didn't tell you though - primarily because we didn't know
until after the conference call.
The
fourth quarter of last year? It was merely the 16th consecutive quarter
of increased revenue. Sales came in at $2.3 million, up 21% from Q3,
and up 28% from Q4 of '05.
Moreover,
the net loss of $791K really didn't concern us, as the company was investing
in some serous R&D and product development in 2006 that would have
a much bigger impact down the road. You know - the whole 'you gotta'
spend money to make money' idea.
The
piece of the earnings picture we weren't expecting.....$88,000 in net
income for Q4. We weren't looking for any earnings in Q4, and were
pleasantly surprised with a positive result.
We
were under the impression expenditures from last year would still be making
major impact, but now, maybe we need to rethink things. That gain, though
small, says quite a bit to us. Why? It's a two-fold sign....(1) the
company can profitably monetize their current R&D efforts, and (2)
the company can increase sales by at least a little more than expenses.
The
Heart of the Matter
As
much as you may be expecting us to itemize the 2006 overview and the 2007
outlook, we're not going to do it. Yeah, yeah - we know that's what we're
'supposed to do' given our role. But frankly, you can get that kind
of stuff anywhere. We'd rather give you the goods you really may not find
anywhere else...like some of the enlightening things we heard during
the conference call's Q&A session.
In
the interest of brevity, we've paraphrased the questions and answers. Though
we've made every effort to reproduce the spirit of the question and the
answer - like we said above - there's still no substitute for the real
thing (yet one more reason to check out the conference call on your
own).
Q:
What exactly is the upside to the Reuters deal inherited with the January
acquisition of Telecommunication Systems Incorporated's Mobile Finance
Division? (This was a question we were looking for some clarity on
as well.)
In
simplest terms, Reuters has about 70,000 customers using their wireless
data service. While Reuters is among the crème of the crop in terms
of market data, they needed Mobile Finance to create the technology required
to make the wireless data service work. Stockgroup's role is to manage
the technology connecting the Reuters data with those wireless devices.
For this, Stockgroup collects a per-user fee.
The
advantage Stockgroup has in the relationship is scalability, while someone
else does the one-on-one marketing work. The technology is the technology,
whether there's one user or a million. At the same time, Reuters is doing
the heavy lifting in terms of going out and attracting new customers.
Q:
Any plans to enhance public relations and investor relations?
Yes,
which should significantly aid the awareness effort. The company added
a dedicated investment relations arm a few weeks ago. Having that work
done at all is a major step in the direction of maintaining shareholder
value. The public relations effort is a priority as well.
Q:
What about potential shareholder dilution in the future?
As
it stands right now, the company doesn't see any need to raise capital
through further stock sales. Stockgroup is sitting on about 2 million in
cash, and is debt free....an outstanding position to be in for a company
that did just under 8 million is sales last year.
Interestingly,
CEO Marcus New mentioned (volunteered, actually) that Stockgroup
passed on a couple of ventures which could have been fruitful, but were
too expensive to initially get involved with. So, when he says he's looking
for the best way to preserve or enhance shareholder value, we have to believe
it.
Of
course there's more....including the corporate look back/look ahead. To
get all of those details plus additional answers to investor's questions,
the best thing to do is replay the webcast. You can do that just by clicking
here.
Wow!
If
you were waiting for proof that Stockgroup's stock had some upside, we
hope you didn't wait too long. We suggested some exposure to SWEB back
on January 27th, pretty certain of the potential. Since then though, the
potential looks like it's really being tapped.
We
were fishing for an entry level of 60 cents with our initial alert. However,
after seeing the stock hold right above there for a week, we realized being
stingy might not pay off in this case. We resubmitted the idea on February
1st, this time without any suggested price restriction. For anyone who
took action at the time, you're now up by at least a very nice 34%....and
that's assuming you got in at the high of 74 cents around then - you
may have done even better on the entry.
Or,
even if you waited for our reiteration last week, you would have been reminded
of the opportunity while shares were trading around 80 cents. Though your
gain would only be around 24% from there, that's still not too bad for
less than a week's worth of work.
And
what's our take now that the stock has come this far? Hey, despite a big
chunk of the potential gain already being realized, we still think there's
a lot of meat left on the bone.
Don't
forget - our target is $1.51, for starters. A move from here to there would
still be about a 50% gain. Obviously it's not as big as the 100%+ gain
the very earliest readers might end up enjoying. But, it's still a pretty
nice chunk of change for aggressive traders seeking an idea that could
possibly overcome the spring/summer lull.
We
Value Your Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Email
the Editor
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
CEL-SCI's
Multikine to be Highlighted at Cancer Conference
If
you took our advice this weekend and watched the CEL-SCI (AMEX:
CVM) webcast, then today's news may not surprise you. If you didn't
get a chance to watch the webcast, then we'll again suggest you do.....very
impressive stuff.
In
any case, just a quick announcement - one of CEL-SCI's key people is going
to be speaking to the participants at a conference for the International
Academy of Oral Oncology. He'll be going over the effectiveness of Multikine
in treating head and neck cancer.
Tthis
kind of awareness is the kind Geert Kersten CEL-SCI was looking to create,
as discussed in the webcast....though he really emphasized appealing to
the institutional investor crowd as well.
Again,
if you didn't catch the new presentation, be sure to click
here and see it.
In
the meantime, here's
more on the Oral Oncology presentation.
Web2
Corp. Meets YouTube: Video Blogging a Countdown
Interesting
idea here...Web2 Corporation (OTCBB:
WBTO), who will be launching 'YouGetIt.com' in about twenty-five days,
plans to promote the new site concept between now and then by capturing
the whole process on video. Each day before YouGetIt.com is up and running,
the latest headaches, milestones, and final touches will be video-blogged
for anybody who wants to see all the behind-the-scenes stuff we normally
wouldn't see.
Could
be worth a look-see. For more information about the launch-countdown video
blog, click here.
By
the way (and we hope you were wondering), YouGetIt.com is a site designed
to focus in on a geographical market of Internet users rather than virtual
market. There are two dimensions to the site...local browsers, and local
advertisers. The browsers should get tailor-made surfing relevancy, while
the advertisers can pinpoint ads to a specific locale. For more details,
check out this page
on the company's site...there's a full description there.
Hype
aside, it's actually a pretty novel idea, and a good example of the Web
2.0 philosophy. Better still, it's got some serious revenue potential if
the thing gets traction....seems to be much more effecient at connecting
buyers and sellers than most search engines do.
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