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VOLUME 07 : ISSUE 105
APDN's
Serendipity
Serendipity
is defined as "the effect by which one discovers something fortunate
while looking for something else." With that being the case, I think
Applied
DNA Sciences (OTCBB:
APDN) recently had a serendipitous moment in terms of potential
revenue. In fact, I'm wondering if the 'discovered' revenue path may end
up being bigger than the security/counterfeit revenue path we first
discussed back on October. More on that in a second....
Most
of you will remember the core of Applied DNA's strategy (so far) has been
the introduction of ways to prevent or stop product counterfeiting and
piracy. Globally, the practice costs legitimate companies $600 billion
every year. You know as well as I do the guys being counterfeited would
love to take a bite out of that number...and would be willing to spend
a few bucks to do so. Enter Applied DNA. They've devised a DNA-based way
to distinguish between fake and authentic products, whether it be clothing,
pharmaceuticals, or car parts.
What
you may not know yet - and here's the serendipitous part - is that
the process used to manufacture the DNA used in their counterfeit-testing
devices also creates generous quantities of bacteria, yeast, proteins,
or peptides. (Actually, it's more serendipitous to shareholders...the
company already knew the fermentors could be used for multiple products.)
The
fermentation process and all its products have very practical applications
within the $50 billion skin-care market.
And
yes,
that's billion with a 'B'. See why this caught my interest?
The
products in development will be a variety of ingredients for use by consumer
product companies with skin care lines. Applied DNA began offering samples
of protein fragment ingredients (under the name Dermal RX) to select
companies in July, and have also been testing an ingredient that exfoliates
skin without irritating it. There aren't a lot of details about which companies
are test-driving any or all of the fermented products, but considering
Applied DNA hired more employees to facilitate Dermal RX's development,
I have to assume it's a pretty serious venture at this point.
And
let me repeat....$50 billion worth of skin-care products are sold every
year. What kind of sliver could APDN take out of that pie? It's hard
to say, but let's conservatively estimate the company - as an ingredient
supplier - can pocket a modest 0.05% of that figure. That's still a
$25 million opportunity.
That's
not even the part I like the most though. What really lights my fire
is the diversity this brings to APDN's product mix. Not only are
there two markets instead of just the one (counterfeit protection), but
there are two distinct kinds of markets.
The
skin-care ingredient market isn't complex. Ingredients are ordered, shipped,
used, and re-ordered pretty quickly. That translates into a good cash
flow for Applied DNA while they're out marketing the bigger-ticket,
anti-counterfeit systems. More competition in this arena? Yeah, but it's
not ground-breaking work.
The
anti-counterfeit market - on the other hand - is ultimately bigger,
and the sales cycle is probably quite lengthy. But, there's little to no
viable competition in this space. Nobody can quite do what Applied DNA
does, and the technology just can't be beat.
A
way to win in the short-term, backed by a way to win in the long-term?
I think investors are the ones who should be experiencing serendipity.
Here's
the press release.
Can
112 Million Users Be Wrong?
I'd
be the first to confess...a couple of years ago, I considered 'social networking'
a passing fad. Since then, I've completely changed my tune, and
not just because of News Corp's $580 million acquisition of MySpace.com
(the world's biggest social networking site) in 2005. Any lingering
doubt was wiped away for me a few weeks ago when Microsoft bought a tiny
1.6% of Facebook (the 2nd biggest social networking site) for $240
million. Extrapolating Microsoft's purchase price for its stake suggests
that Facebook is worth somewhere between $10 and $15 billion.
The
numbers are astounding. MySpace has 61 million registered users. Facebook
has more than 51 million active users. That's 112 million users, and even
with some overlapping users it's still a huge number. MySpace signs up
220,000 people every day, while Facebook brings in 200,000 every day. Both
are ranked among the web's most-trafficked sites.
With
those kinds of numbers on the table, clearly something compelling
is happening within these networking sites. That 'something' is ultimately
what every website wants...traffic, users, and eyeballs. It's a
virtual dream come true if you're an ad-sponsored site.
And
it's not just social networking sites gathering users in droves. Customized
home pages are becoming the norm too. Google's iGoogle, originally
launched in 2005 simply as 'Google Personalized Homepage', is rapidly becoming
the standard by which web surfers measure their experience in all-things-Internet.
The site's functionality is hard not to be attracted to because there are
thousands of 'gadgets' its users can select to customize their own page.
What's
this got to do with small cap stocks? Ask yourself this...what kind
of impact would there be if a savvy, small cap company took advantage of
this traffic (highly-targeted and self-selected traffic, no less)?
I think it would be a slam dunk, putting said company in front of a lot
of new users.
Well,
that's exactly what Stockgroup Information Systems (OTCBB:
SWEB) is doing. The company announced this morning they've launched
their own market-related applications for use on iGoogle and Facebook pages.
The gadgets for both networking sites display 'SH Editorials', and 'StockHouse@TheBell'.
The 'SH Editorials' are opinions and ideas from the site's columnists,
while 'SH@TheBell' is an end-of-day wrap-up with some thoughts on the coming
trading day.
The
new tools should create a more robust experience for current StockHouse.com
users, but more importantly, I think they'll introduce StockHouse.com
to a whole new batch of traders and investors who may not have heard of
them otherwise. Given that StockHouse.com is already one of the web's
stickiest sites, I don't think it will take much to turn this new traffic
into dollars. All that's needed is a nudge towards the site...which is
what these applications are designed to do.
For
an idea of what they look like, click
here to see the iGoogle gadget, and click
here for the Facebook tool. The full press release is below.
Stockhouse.com
Applications Launch on Facebook and iGoogle
NEW YORK, NEW
YORK--(MARKET WIRE)--Nov 8, 2007 -- Stockgroup Information Systems Inc.
(OTC BB:SWEB.OB) (CDNX:SWB.V), a leading financial media company, announced
today the launch of Stockhouse applications on Facebook and iGoogle websites.
Stockhouse.com applications now provide Facebook and iGoogle users with
the latest financial information in one place, as soon as it is published.
Stockgroup's application
development for the world's leading online social networks creates more
opportunities for Stockhouse.com users to connect with a broader range
of communities. With its large community of citizen journalists, Stockhouse.com
has facilities for visitors to contribute news, information and insightful
opinions on the Russell 2000 and the long-tail of North American equities,
creating a compelling news source that cannot be matched by traditional
media. The Stockhouse.com community receives over 800,000 unique visits
per month, and more than 80 million page views per month.
Features of Stockhouse.com
include:
- The Internet's
first investor reputation system enabling investors to share insights,
rate and rank content for quality and have instant access to the results
- Citizen journalism
to allow contributions and observations from the community, for the community
- Collaborative
tools to allow conversations, groups and interactive discussions
- Personalization
and sophisticated social networking functions relative to the stock market
Facebook is a
social utility that connects people with friends and others who work, study
and live around them. Microsoft purchased a 1.6 percent stake in Facebook
last month valued at 240 million US dollars, in an advertising deal that
values the social networking site at 15 billion US dollars.
iGoogle is a personalized
homepage that gives users at-a-glance access to key information from Google
and across the web. On the self-designed iGoogle page, users can choose
and organize content using specially developed "gadgets" that can be shared
within the Google community.
"We are excited
to be integrating our applications into the extensive social networks of
Facebook and iGoogle to extend the reach of Stockhouse.com," says Bruce
Nunn, Vice President, Marketing for Stockgroup. "Our powerful new technologies
and platforms advance our vision of harnessing the wisdom of the crowds
to help individual investors gain stock market advantage."
Facebook users
can add Stockhouse.com applications to their profile by visiting:
http://apps.facebook.com/editorial
http://apps.facebook.com/thebell
About Stockgroup
Information Systems Inc. Stockgroup(TM) is a leading financial media company
focused on user generated content and collaborative technologies. The Stockgroup
platform for web-based portfolio management and financial content is licensed
to top North American brokerage firms and media companies. This platform
is also extended through Stockhouse.com, a leading online financial portal
owned and operated by Stockgroup. Stockhouse.com is home to Bullboards(TM)
message board - Canada's largest community of active investors. Recognized
for its engaged audience, Stockhouse.com provides a sought-after demographic
for advertisers.
Legal notice regarding
Forward Looking Statements
This release contains
"forward looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any statements that express or involve discussions
with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections,
objectives, goals, assumptions or future events or performance are not
statements of historical fact and may be "forward looking statements".
Forward looking statements are based on expectations, estimates and projections
at the time the statements are made that involve a number of risks and
uncertainties which could cause actual results or events to differ materially
from those presently anticipated. Forward looking statements in this action
may be identified through the use of words such as "expects", "anticipates",
"estimates", "believes", or statements indicating certain actions "may",
"could", or "might" occur. More information about potential risk factors
that could affect our business is included in the Company's 10-QSB for
the quarter ended June 30, 2007, which are on file with the SEC at www.sec.gov.
Stockgroup undertakes no obligation and does not intend to update these
forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances occurring
after this press release. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance
on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the date of
this press release. All forward looking statements are qualified in their
entirety by this cautionary statement.
To find out more
about Stockgroup (OTCBB: SWEB, TSX-V: SWB), visit our website at www.stockhouse.com.
The TSX Venture
Exchange and the OTCBB have not reviewed and does not accept responsibility
for the adequacy or accuracy of this press release.
Contacts:
Stockgroup Information
Systems Inc.
Steve Gear
Director of Capital
Markets
(604) 288-2861
or 1-800-650-1211
Email: steve.gear@stockgroup.com
Stockgroup Information
Systems Inc.
Bruce Nunn
Vice President,
Marketing
(604) 331-0995
Email: bruce.nunn@stockgroup.com
Website: http://www.stockhouse.com
Karyo-Edelman
Will Mbaho (604)
623-3007
Email: william.mbaho@karyo-edelman.com
Source: Stockgroup
Information Systems Inc.
We
Value Your Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Email
the Editor
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
Another
Look at Titan Global's Government Biofuel Benefits
Wednesday's
news is kind of what I was talking
about a couple of weeks ago when I detailed Titan Global's (TTGL)
entry into the often-government-supported world of biofuels. Per the Wednesday
press release, we learned Titan had received grants from the state of Tennessee
(where recently-acquired Appco Oil is based) to pay for the installation
of biofeul pumps and storage tanks. It was only $190,000, so it's not like
winning the Super Bowl or anything. However, it does validate my idea that
the biofuel industry is getting a lot of help from local and state governments.
Here's
the whole press release.
Clearly
Canadian To Host Earnings Call, Release Q3 Results
It's
do-or-die time for micro cap stock Clearly Canadian (CCBEF).
The company has announced they'll be releasing Q3 earnings on November
14th (Wednesday) at 4:05 pm EST. There will be a call and webcast at 4:30
pm EST the same day.
You
may recall my last comment on the company from an October
15th blog entry. Basically, I'm not impressed by all the recent news.
It all sounds good, but lacks substance. Of course the company is ramping
up the top line sales figure...they bought two more companies. My problem
is, the combined companies should be doing more revenue than they're doing.
More than that, I wonder if they spent $2 to make $1. Based on the stock's
chart, I'm not the only one with that opinon.
Bottled
water sales - the original staple for the organization - are actually down.
The 'My Organic Baby' stuff seems to be doing pretty well, and the snack
food division....well, I can't really tell what's up with that. Judging
from the number of new outlets and retailers, snack food sales should be
through the roof. They're not though.
In
the company's defense, they are in the midst of rebuilding their beverage
distribution network. However, why should shareholders be penalized in
the meantime while they get all their ducks in a row?
I really
need to see some proof that these acquisitions are going to pay off. Hopefully
it'll be in next Wednesday's numbers. My fear is, there's more promise
here than profit. I hope I'm wrong, but we'll see.
The
call in number is 800-949-8476. To see the webcast, go to www.clearly.ca.
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