VOLUME
01:
ISSUE 06
Dow
Jones
9,232.97
-151.26
4:33
pm EST, Weds., October 17, 2001
NASDAQ
1,646.34.
-75.73
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info, visit access.smallcapnetwork.com
S
& P 500
1,076.28
-
21.26
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Russell
2000
424.48 - 10.05
To SmallCap Network Members:
SmallCap Network Members who DON'T trade, still may want to read through
this special alert. You may want to check out today's SHORT-TERM TRADING
ALERT issue, Chad Therapeutics
from an investor's point of view.
Before we get into some suggested trading parameters, it is important to
cover some basics.
First, we caution SmallCap Network Members that trading micro and small
cap stocks is inherently risky. SmallCap Network Members are strongly urged
to use limit orders when buying and selling thinly-traded micro and small
cap stocks.
Further, this is intended as neither an offer to buy nor a solicitation
to sell securities. The information contained herein is intended for SmallCap
Network Members capable of assuming the risks associated with short-term
trading. The SmallCap Network has received NO COMPENSATION for publishing
the following trading alert and Members should consider doing further due
diligence on this Company.
Chad Therapeutics (AMEX:
CTU) appears to be an excellent micro cap trading opportunity.
CTU
has
experienced excellent performance since closing at $1.00 on May 7, 2001.
The stock currently has a relative strength rating of 96, meaning it has
outperformed 96% of all other issues over the last 13 weeks.
Since hitting an intra-day high of $3.70 on September 17, CTU has
pulled back to the $3.00-$3.23 area over the past few sessions while volume
has diminished. Yesterday, the shares didn't trade and in today's weak
market action, CTU traded down x on x,xxx shares.
The chart below provides a graphic representation of the recent uptrend
in trading action of CTU shares over the past few months. The lower red
line represents this uptrend while the upper red line represents the recent
"wedge" formation created by the issue's most recent pullback.
In addition, CTU is in the
Medical
Equipment and Supplies group. Over the past 13 weeks, this group has
been the seventh best performing group in the market, appreciating 5.38%.
In comparison to the broad market (as measured by the S&P 500,) the
group has outperformed by 16.47% over the same time frame.
CTU's 13-day EMA is $3.09 and the 50-day EMA is 2.97. In our experience,
when a top-performing stock in a top-performing group pulls back to this
range, it provides an excellent trading opportunity for speculative investors.
With these factors in mind, here are suggested trading parameters for those
SmallCap Network Members interested in trading CTU shares:
PRICE TARGET:
$ 4.07
BUY LIMIT:
$ 3.18
STOP LIMIT:
$ 2.88 OR 8% below cost basis per share
EST. TIME FRAME:
30-45 days
The SmallCap Digest strongly suggests
$2.88
as the downside price barometer and loss limit for this trade.
Should the stock trade or close at $2.88 or lower, CTU shares should be
sold no later than the next day's opening. This would represent a
close well below the current 50-day EMA and we would abandon this trade
quickly. It's still a bear market until proven otherwise, so we'll play
this trade close to the vest.
Positioning CTU shares in the $3.05-$3.10 range will limit the downside
risk in the trade to about 8%. If we've called it right, and CTU hits
our trading target of $4.07 over the next 30-45 days, the POTENTIAL return
on this trade would be about 32%, an acceptable 4-1 upside/downside wager.On
a fundamental note, our immediate take is that Chad Therapeutics
has
undergone a nice recovery in its business and has turned its first profit
since second quarter June 1998. Sales have risen nicely and new products
appear ready to emerge from their pipeline. Investors are encouraged to
explore more about CTUvia the quote link above.
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