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VOLUME 07: ISSUE 39
Phinder
Raises The Revenue Roof
You
gotta' love a good story that just keeps getting better - especially
when it's the story behind a stock many of you may own (or perhaps
should own). The icing on the cake is how the very best part of the saga
may still be in front of us.
In
the meantime, we think investors have the potential to make some very
good money. In fact, Phinder Technologies' (OTCBB:
PHDT) target level of $ 1.25 - a mere 400% above where shares were
trading when we first mentioned it on Wednesday morning - may be a
heck of a lot closer than you think. And frankly, based on the new number-crunching,
we think we're being a little conservative with our target.
Anyway,
check out the latest chapter - Phinder (pronounced 'finder') just confirmed
they've
received credit insurance on up to $10,000,000 worth of accounts receivable.
In English, that means they can now carry up to $10 million worth of outstanding
invoices at a time. Just to clarify, we're not saying there's a $10 million
cap on their total billing in a year...this means they can have up to $10
million in accounts receivable at a time.
A shareholder
should care for one very simple reason....this will allow the company
to start doing as much business as they want with the major (tier one)
telecom carriers, who need connection providers like Phinder. Considering
the company was on track to do a little over $10 million in all of their
last fiscal year, the credit insurance basically raised the revenue ceiling
about 1000%. Read on to see how.
Breaking
Into The Business
A little
technical explanation may help investors truly grasp the upside potential.
Here's how things work in the world of telecom....
The
giant phone companies you write a check to every month? Though the major
carriers appear to be a one-stop shop for all telephone needs, they rarely
do everything themselves. All the Verizons, AT&Ts, and Qwests out there
are in many ways a network of smaller companies all working together.
Enter
Phinder. From our first look on Wednesday, we already know Phinder is able
to originate international connections for the major carrier's customers
- they've been driving telecom (VOIP) revenue for the last several months.
Based on the growth we've already seen from the venture (they more than
tripled their telecom revenue in the last quarter we have data from),
we became convinced this company and its investors were looking at a huge
opportunity in the Latin American connection market.
Why?
Because the demand for connections to Central and South America has exploded
in the wake of economic growth and a population shift. Plus, the introduction
of lower-cost VOIP solutions (in regions where it's been uncommon to even
have immediate access to a phone) has created what is mostly an untapped
market.
Just
as salient - billions of dollars are spent on telecom service every
year. In fact, all the North American carriers combined pulled
in $403 billion worth of revenue in 2006. If Phinder can carve out even
just a fraction of those per-minute international calling charges, you're
still looking at what we'd consider a mega-opportunity. A modest 1/10th
of only 1% of that figure would still be worth more than $400 million annually.
Like
we said on Wednesday, Phinder being in the right place at the right
time could be a very good thing for shareholders.
Max
Capacity
Now,
we had to say all of that so this would make sense......
Your
phone company doesn't bill you until the end of the month, and doesn't
expect to receive a payment until up to 30 days after you get the bill.
And, for a multi-billion dollar company, it's really no sweat for them
to wait 30 days to collect your $50 or so.
On
the flipside, these big tier one companies expect similar terms on their
own debt. They typically don't send a check to their service or connection
providers until 30 days after the end of the billing cycle. When you're
talking about millions of dollars, all of a sudden it's not as easy to
be as gracious with a "buy now/pay later" approach - especially for
a smaller originator like Phinder.
See
where this is going? It's not like the smaller connection providers don't
want
to do more business - a lot of them just can't afford to float a month's
worth of credit to a big company. Aside from the lack of cash flow,
that kind of risk may be debilitating for a smaller originator.
Fear
not telecom fans - credit insurance to the rescue! The credit insurance
Phinder now has essentially removes the risk of providing the kind of flexible
payment terms most tier one carriers expect. Or in simple terms, Phinder
can now play ball with the big boys....something they were capable
of doing infrastructure-wise, but perhaps not from a financial
risk perspective.
But
that's not even the good part - at least not in our eyes. What we're excited
about is the competitive edge this gives Phinder.
The
business opportunity is indeed out there...the major carriers need providers
that CAN and WILL provide international connections. Though
there are willing competitors in the space, the kinds of dollars behind
the size of these deals means many of them just aren't capable. With
a virtual blink of an eye, Phinder has been ushered up to the front of
the line. We think its investors will be in tow, figuratively speaking.
A
Second Look At Our Target
When
we first looked at likely valuations for Phinder, we said annual revenues
of $30 million spread across those 70 million I&O shares could make
them worth $1.25 each - or 400% higher than where they were at the time.
The basis for the projection was a price/sales ratio of about 3.0. And
yes, between the numbers we've seen and our conversations with management,
we didn't think a potential double (more, actually) in sales was out of
line.
But
now....well, now Phinder is capable of maintaining up to $10 worth
of indebtedness at a time. With an average billing cycle of 30 days, the
company can use the $10 million credit capacity about 12 cycles per year.
As a result, they now have the potential to annually issue up to $120 million
worth of invoices.
In
retrospect, our first revenue guess of $30 million - which seemed aggressive
at the time - could be achieved by only tapping into 25% of the company's
billing capacity. Seems low. Even at only 50% capacity, sales could reach
$60 million. At that mark, the price/sales model (assuming 3.0 is still
the norm) could mean shares would be worth more than $2.50....almost
1000% higher than the levels we saw in the middle of last week. Kinda'
makes you think.
So
are we raising the target now that Phinder has raised their revenue roof?
Not yet, though we reserve the right to. The next step in the process
will be seeing the company win some business with a major carrier or two,
which are multi-million dollar opportunities. Once we see a couple of those
under Phinder's belt, then it may be worth discussing a more aggressive
expectation.
In
the meantime, consider this a reiteration of our strong opinion on PHDT.
Yesterday's announcement is huge, even if a little explanation was
required. We feel this stock has the potential to be an enormous winner,
and
so far the company has backed up the notion with progress towards that
end. Aggressive investors - if you like the idea as much as
we like the idea, then just be aware we don't see these low entry
levels staying available for too much longer.
Phinder
Finalizes Credit Insurance
MIAMI, April 13
/ Zupintra Communications Inc. (Zupintra) a wholly owned subsidiary of
Phinder Technologies Inc. (OTCBB:
PHDT), is pleased to announce that it has finalized the credit insurance
related to the $10,000,000 accounts receivable (A/R) financing as outlined
in the Company's March 28th, 2007 press release.
"Closing the insurance
was the last step in completing all the requirements necessary to fully
utilize the A/R line. Zupintra is now in a very strong position to negotiate
favorable contracts with international wholesale carriers," stated Lex
van Arem, CEO of Phinder Technologies Inc.
The insurance
covers over 25 countries, including but not limited to India, England,
France, Italy, the Netherlands, Canada and the USA.
Zupintra will
now be able to offer their services to tier 1 telecommunication companies.
These companies have significant international voice traffic needs, representing
a substantial business opportunity for Zupintra. Since Zupintra will now
be able to finance up to $10 million dollars of sales per billing cycle,
based on a 30 day cycle it is now in the position to fund up to $120,000,000
(one hundred and twenty million dollars) in annual revenue.
Phinder Technologies'
core business runs through its wholly owned subsidiary, Zupintra Communications
Inc. Zupintra is a facilities based wholesaler of international voice traffic
within the carrier to carrier network. As a wholesale VoIP provider, Zupintra
Communications Inc. signs both origination and termination contracts with
next generation carriers and profits from negotiated rates.
FRANKFURT - WKN
#: A0DQU5
In compliance
with the "safe harbor" provisions of the Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995, PHDT notes that statements contained in this announcement
that are not historical facts may be forward-looking statements that are
subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, PHDT wishes
to caution readers of this announcement that its future actual results
may differ materially from those that any forward-looking statements may
imply. There is no assurance the above-described events will be completed.
There can be no assurance of the ability of the company to achieve sales
goals, obtain contracts or financing, consummate acquisitions or achieve
profitability in the future. The above and additional factors are discussed
in detail in the company's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission. These may be viewed at www.sec.gov and many other Web sites
without charge.
Source: Phinder
Technologies Inc.
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TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
Challenger/Sugar
Sands Extends Its Reach
The
march continues for the recently-revamped Challenger Powerboats (OTCBB:
CPWB). In the fall of least year we learned the old Xtreme Companies
would be re-named 'Challenger Powerboats', reflecting the decision to focus
exclusively on the performance boat line using the same moniker. And early
this year, the acquisition of IMAR added the Sugar Sands and Gekko lines
to the company's mix.
Since
then, we've seen tremendous success from the new Challenger, with more
evidence coming earlier this week.
We
don't have Q4's results yet. However, we're ball-parking about a million
or so in revenue for the last three months of last year. We also saw a
lot of new sales come through in Q1 of this year. In fact, here's our tally.......
2/22
- $330K in Challenger orders
3/1
- $120K in Gekko orders
3/6
- $725K in Sugar Sands orders
4/10
- $450K in Sugar Sands orders
That's
at least $1.1 million in Q1 sales on top of our Q4 estimate of $1 million.
The recent order will go into Q2's revenue total. On top of that, four
more Sugar Sands dealers were added recently, further widening the Challenger
net. All in all, we still see a company making good progress post-paradigm
shift.
In
our view, despite getting sold off in a big way yesterday, the stock has
a huge amount of upside potential. We feel our edge is knowing and understanding
the story behind the story, which the rest of the market may not yet. But
once they do, don't be surprised to see CPWB run.
Clearly
Canadian Invades the West Coast
No,
not literally.....but yes, figuratively. Clearly Canadian (OTCBB:
CCBEF), as part of their revitalized distribution plan, has brought
two California distributors into the fold. Saccani Distributing will cover
the northern half of the state, while Valley Wide Beverage Company will
cover the southern half.
This
is a big deal. California, aside from being one of the most highly-populated
states, is also a big 'better for you market'. We think these two major
distributors will be able to capitalize on the best of both of those realities,
reaping some nice revenues for Clearly.
And
by the way, we haven't looked at CCBEF much recently, as a wave of big
news from several of our companies has washed over the site. However, we
haven't forgotten the potential here. We still think Clearly Canadian has
the potential to be an enormous winner over the next few months, as the
company continues to execute its growth plan.
For
more on the new California distributors, click
here.
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TGR Group, LLC has been paid a fee
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