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Russell
2000
737.47
-0.17
VOLUME
06: ISSUE 37
Early
Detection of the Stock
We
started following BioCurex (BOCX.PK)
back in October
of '03 at a mere $.17 cents when Celgene (NASDAQ:
CELG) and Genentech (NASDAQ:
DNA), two of the most prolific names in biotech today, were hovering
around $10 and $40 respectively. Although all three of these biotechs have
been big winners no doubt, can you guess which of the three have yielded
the highest returns to date? Celgene has quadrupled, Genentech has doubled
and yes, BioCurex has appreciated an astounding five times over.
However,
this could be just the beginning of what may prove one of the biggest cancer
detection breakthroughs in medical history. The fact that BioCurex is not
yet a common biotech name amongst the herd also makes it safe to assume
that there still exists significant upside potential in the stock.
Case
in point. In 1991, most had never heard of Abbott Labs (NYSE:
ABT). If you had, then you are among the minority of savvy due diligent
investors always working to uncover the next homerun micro or small cap
stock. We welcome you to the club. At the time, Abbott had just developed
the first automated PSA test for use on the IMx® System. The technology
helped propel Abbott into the biotech limelight further solidifying the
brilliant investment decision made by those pioneer investors who were
willing to take a shot early on in the Company's quest for elite NYSE status.
The Company has since become a leader in cancer diagnostics.
Speaking
of Abbott, some of you may remember back in March
of last year when Abbott Labs and BioCurex announced they had entered
into a licensing agreement for BioCurex's RECAF™ material and
technology. Needless to say, the stock went nuts. Do you think Abbott
sees something here? Hmmm...
I think
it's a given that more often than not, micro and small caps take time to
develop, sometimes years. But, if you have the patience and can stomach
the roller coaster ride at times, it is extremely rewarding to know you've
outperformed your peers and expectations. BioCurex is no exception.
Early
Detection of Cancer
Today,
after the close, BioCurex announced that its RECAF™ cancer test
detects initial stages of prostate cancer with 75% sensitivity and 100%
specificity when compared to healthy individuals; and 68% sensitivity with
97% specificity when compared to men with benign prostate conditions (release
below). Impressive to say the least when compared to the PSA test,
which is currently the standard screening method for prostate cancer. We
believe its ability to detect prostate cancer at such early stages holds
enormous growth potential for the Company.
Dr.
Moro, Biocurex CEO and founder of RECAF™ stated: " Routine complete
checkups are currently performed once per year. They are expensive and
inconvenient. On the other hand, a RECAF™ blood test done once
every three to six months would exonerate the immense majority of those
tested as normal. Yet, it would still be able to pick up cancers shortly
after they arise and not a year later. This could save the medical
system a great deal of money and would be easily justified given the high
mortality rate of cancer. The significance of early detection to the individual
patient is vital.
A
test - such as RECAF™ - that can detect different types of cancer
at early stages (as announced recently for breast cancer) could be used
as a low cost routine exam to detect cancer in general. This would then
allow for treatment of early stage cancers, which are the most curable."
For
those laymen, including myself who should never step foot in a biotech
lab other than to observe, this means BioCurex's RECAF™ may very
well become the next generation of cancer detection, as its potential for
accurately detecting various forms of cancer in its infancy appears more
than promising.
Based
on recent positive news developments, we think BioCurex may be turning
the corner again, therefore, we strongly suggest accumulation of
the stock at current price levels.
Early
Detection of a Trading Opportunity
Technically,
shares of BioCurex appear ripe for a run. Shown in this monthly chart,
the stock seems to be waking up once again on better than average volume
closing out April with a seven month high. As many of our long-term readers
know, when this stock gets rolling, watch out. Currently trading at just
over $1.00, the stock has traded as high as $3.89 a share over the last
few years. If you prefer to trade vs. invest, then you know it's all about
price action and momentum. It appears BioCurex has momentum yet again.
If
shares of BioCurex can trade above its April high of $1.33, it would
be no surprise to see it make a move to the one-year 5/8-retracement level
pegged at $1.70. A nifty 62% gain from current levels. Most would consider
that a good year. If it can get there, we'll take another hard look at
its trading prospects. For now, 62% is the goal.
Like
trading any small stocks, be nimble and be quick. A stop loss of $.85 cents
may be prudent as you just never know what's going to happen when trading
the volatile world of small caps.
Regardless,
whether you choose to trade the short-term or invest in the long run, owning
some shares of BioCurex makes perfect sense to us, especially when the
masses have no idea who they are.
Prostate
Cancer Detected Very Early With RECAF Blood Test
RICHMOND, British
Columbia, May 11, 2006. -- BioCurex Inc. (BOCX.PK
- News) announced
today that its RECAF cancer test detects initial stages of prostate cancer
with 75% sensitivity and 100% specificity when compared to healthy individuals;
and 68% sensitivity with 97% specificity when compared to men with benign
prostate conditions.
Sensitivity is
the ability of a test to detect existing cancers (if all patients who have
a cancer test positive = 100% sensitivity).
Specificity represents
how well the test avoids false positives (no false positives = 100% specificity).
Cancer patients
vs. normal individuals:
STAGE*
SENSITIVITY
SPECIFICITY
CANCER
SAMPLES
Early
(I+II or A+B)
75%
100%
84
III
(C)
85%
100%
20
IV
(D)
86%
100%
28
Cancer patients
vs. patients with benign prostate conditions:
STAGE*
SENSITIVITY
SPECIFICITY
CANCER
SAMPLES
Early
(I+II or A+B)
68%
97%
84
III
(C)
80%
97%
20
IV
(D)
68%
97%
28
Dr. Moro, CEO,
stated: "These results complement those previously announced for breast
cancer and they strongly suggest that the RECAF blood test could detect
early stages of all the major cancer types. We have reported on the ability
of RECAF to detect cancers of many tissue types using samples which grouped
early and late stage cancers. The present study further differentiates
the stage of the cancer in comparison to normal and benign prostatic growths.
So far, in all
of our studies on different cancers, we have compared the average amount
of RECAF in the blood of different groups of individuals (e.g. normal donors,
patients with benign tumors, or cancer patients), but the normal amount
of RECAF - or any other protein in blood - varies from one individual to
another. Therefore, a range of values is used to determine if a person
has a cancer. This means that the RECAF value we use to determine if a
person has cancer must necessarily be high in order to avoid informing
a healthy individual that he has cancer, when he may just be at the upper
end of the RECAF normal spectrum. But, if we did sequential blood tests
on each person and assuming their RECAF value is rather constant over time;
then a small change in the level of circulating RECAF would detect cancer
at the earliest stages. We do not know yet if the normal RECAF concentration
is constant enough to make this personalization possible. However, if it
was consistent, this suggested approach might prove to be a winning strategy
in the fight against cancer. We could then have an exquisitely sensitive
tool to detect many types of cancer.
Routine complete
checkups are currently performed once per year. They are expensive and
inconvenient. On the other hand, a RECAF blood test done once every three
to six months would exonerate the immense majority of those tested as normal.
Yet, it would still be able to pick up cancers shortly after they arise
and not a year later. This could save the medical system a great deal of
money and would be easily justified given the high mortality rate of cancer.
The significance of early detection to the individual patient is vital."
A test - such
as RECAF - that can detect different types of cancer at early stages (as
announced recently for breast cancer) could be used as a low cost routine
exam to detect cancer in general. This would then allow for treatment of
early stage cancers which are the most curable.
The Company's
success in obtaining early diagnosis with excellent discrimination between
cancer and benign disease using RECAF is clearly an advantage in comparison
to using PSA - the standard screening method for prostate cancer. Of men
with elevated PSA, only 30% are found to have prostate cancer after biopsy***
and the biopsy only samples a portion of the prostate and does not indicate
whether there might be cancer in adjacent cells that were not biopsied.
The table below
shows the curability of different stages of prostate cancer:
Prostate Cancer
Stage Curability**
Stage I (or A)
87%
Stage II (or
B) 81%
Stage III (or
C) 64%
Stage IV (or
D) 30%
About BioCurex:
BioCurex, Inc.
is a biotechnology company that is developing products based on patented/proprietary
technology in the areas of cancer diagnosis, imaging and therapy. The technology
identifies a cancer marker known as RECAF tm, which is found on malignant
cells from a variety of cancer types but is absent in most normal or benign
cells.
BioCurex has signed
a licensing agreement with Abbott Laboratories for BioCurex's RECAF TM
Cancer technology as outlined in a joint press release dated March 29,
2005. The release noted that the cancer marker RECAF TM has emerged as
a potential biomarker that may be useful in the development of new cancer
diagnostics tests. Preliminary studies from the investigators at BioCurex
have reported a high level of clinical sensitivity and specificity for
RECAF in many of the most common cancers, including prostate, breast, colorectal,
lung and others.
To read more about
the Company, please visit the News section in our web site (www.biocurex.com).
Note:
The Company has
not authorized the release of this information in any form that contravenes
the Communication Act and will not be responsible for unsolicited massive
distribution of this material by e-mail or facsimile by unauthorized parties.
Statements in this press release, which are not historical facts, are "forward-looking
statements'' within the meaning given to that term in the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The Company intends that such forward-looking
statements be subject to the safe harbors created thereby. Since these
statements involve risks and uncertainties and are subject to change at
any time, the Company's actual results could differ materially from expected
results.
Contact :
Ricardo Moro
BioCurex, Inc.
Tel: (604) 207-9150
* Prostate
cancer staging:
Stage
I (sometimes referred to as stage A): Tumor cells are found in less
than 5 percent of prostate tissue removed, and the cells are not very aggressive
in nature.
Stage II:
(sometimes referred to as stage B):
Tumor cells are found
in less than 5 percent of prostate tissue removed, and the cells are more
aggressive in nature
or
the tumor is larger
in size, but is confined to the prostate gland
Stage III:
(sometimes referred to as stage C): The tumor has grown through the capsule
which surrounds the prostate gland, and may involve seminal vesicles (tubes
that carry sperm).
Stage IV: (sometimes
referred to as stage D1 or D2): The tumor has spread to other structures
beyond the seminal vesicles to any other organ or structure.
Source: University
of Virginia
Also see: Source
** CA Cancer J.
Clin. 1993;43;83-91. C. Mettlin, G. W. Jones and G. P. Murphy. Cancer patient
care evaluation studies of the American College of Surgeons Commission
on Trends in prostate cancer care in the United States, 1974-1990.
*** Urology. 2000
Sep 1;56(3):418-22. Finne P, Finne R, Auvinen A, Juusela H, Aro J, Maattanen
L, Hakama M, Rannikko S, Tammela TL, Stenman U. Predicting the outcome
of prostate biopsy in screen-positive men by a multilayer perceptron network.
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Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Editor@smallcapnetwork.com
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
Tech
Tip - Stochastic Indicator
You
may have noticed our recent introduction of the stochastic indicator in
our May
9th edition. We received a few inquiries regarding this, so by popular
demand, here is a bit of info on how it can be used effectively to identify
an oversold market.
The
stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator. It is plotted on a scale
from 0 to 100 and indicates buying and selling pressure. A stock or market
is considered in oversold territory when the stochastic indicator is below
the 20 level, and considered overbought when above 80.
There
are three common signals given by stochastic. The most commonly used is
the cross over. In simple terms, when the fast line crosses above or below
the slow line, a signal is generated. A second type of signal is when the
oscillator moves below the 20 line or above the 80 line and then crosses
back above/below. A third type of signal, and the most reliable, is stochastic
divergence. Stochastic divergence occurs when the stock price makes a new
high or low, but is not confirmed by the indicator. When you see all three
signals trigger simultaneously, you're often looking at a high percentage
probability trade.
Now
let's apply it practically.
Looking
at this daily
chart of the Russell 2000, it becomes quite clear when stochastic is
screaming buy or sell. We've noted the buy opportunities with yellow arrows
over the last four months where stochastic has shown us extremely oversold
conditions, thus creating a ripe buying opportunity for the short-term.
More importantly, look carefully at the first arrow and circle back in
the beginning of the year, we have bullish divergence revealing itself
as the Russell broke a new low, but stochastic did not confirm a new low,
hence the fierce rally following this signal. Many savvy traders saw the
same thing in early January and acted on it.
Oil
Getting Slick Again
Take
what you just learned and apply it to this daily
chart of LS Crude; one can make the argument that oil is ready to rally
once again, as it has pulled back to its 3/8-retracement level and recently
put in a short-term double bottom. Additionally, by looking at the stochastic
oscillator, it appears oil may be a bit oversold in the short-term and
due for a tradable rally to the upside in coming days. Since volatility
in the price of oil appears to be the theme in coming months, we anticipate
some decent trading opportunities in oil related stocks and sectors.
It's
also important for us to note, we see no major long-term sell signal in
the price of oil yet. However, oil no longer appears to be driving the
markets now that inflation and interest rate fears have taken center stage.
Regardless,
it's definitely not good for summer vacationers looking to sight see the
country in their brand new SUVs. Hurry up with Ethanol already.
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TGR Group LLC
has been paid a fee of $25,000 and one million newly issued restricted
shares by Biocurex for coverage of the company. Under SEC Rule 144, all
one million issued restricted shares are now eligible for sale into the
public market. TGR Group has submitted the appropriate filings to sell
the shares. In addition, on March 22, 2005, TGR entered into an extended
agreement with Biocurex for a fee of 25,000 newly issued restricted shares.
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