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VOLUME
05: ISSUE 6
Feature:
Force Protection - Fighting Fit.
As
we have oft-mentioned, Force Protection (OTCBB:
FRCP) is a smallcap company in the right sector at the right time.
After the close Friday, the company
announced (http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/050121/215496_1.html)
a significant financing deal--roughly $16 million, as well as simplifying
its share structure through preferred share conversions, elimination of
anti-dilution provisions and a pending reverse 12 for 1 stock split. The
company further intends to seek a national market listing in the first
calendar quarter of 2005 once all those initiatives have been completed.
For our assessment of the reverse split strategy and how we believe it
positively affects Force Protection, a read of our January
12th piece would be appropriate.
Recent
daily trade volumes for the shares have been in the millions and, as we've
said before, we'd like to see the price break the December highs to technically
herald a run higher. We would continue to suggest accumulation at
these levels and indeed anywhere under 30 cents. A stop-loss in
the 19-21 cent range would be prudent. This is the smallcap
market, after all.
The company has also named a new
interim CEO in the person of R. Scott Ervin, a very experienced corporate
attorney with an extensive background in corporate governance. Mr. Ervin
has been a director of FRCP for more than three years. The company continues
the process of determining a permanent CEO.
Once all the capital structure measures
are implemented, the company, by our estimate, should have roughly 35-37
million shares outstanding. With the new share structure, including conversions,
and the strong working capital base, the company will continue to move
ahead; increasing its contract wins and enhancing production capabilities.
As well, FRCP will continue to develop new vehicles to augment its already
impressive product line.
The cleaner, leaner company should
well be of increased interest to institutional investors and analysts.
Are there still risks to FRCP? Of
course. Is Friday's announcement a large step in increasing the visibility
and viability of the company for current and prospective shareholders?
Undoubtedly.
Over the past year, the company has
garnered significant contracts and worked to position itself as the vehicle
of choice to protect the troops from all manner of growing insurgent attacks.
Not
much else to report. The company is moving ahead both corporately and on
the deal front. Risk-oriented investors would be wise to have long-term
exposure to FRCP in the speculative end of a portfolio.
Personally, I wish that was no need
for the products and vehicles that FRCP sells. Realistically though, I'm
sure that we all want to make certain that the troops who are in those
areas have the best possible protection as the myriad dangers increase
and intensify.
We believe that FRCP decisively addresses
that important need and will see increased exposure and deal flow in the
weeks, months and indeed, years ahead.
We
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