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VOLUME
02:
ISSUE 19
SmallCap Digest Weekend Edition:
Fueling Gains
The world is breathing a sigh of
relief as recent bullish economic indicators suggest that the recession
is over. For individual investors, the monster moves in the
stock market bring back certain euphoric adrenaline that previously was
reserved for the 90's. "It's been a while" is the best way to describe
the current environment. The difference between this current rally
and a few previous blips in the last few years is that this time around
there is substance to the gains. This rally is based on fundamentals
such as opposed to the relief rallies we are familiar with.
It is very important to learn from
our past mistakes. Investors that put all of their eggs in one basket
realized astronomical gains during the previous bull market. This
formula does not work when the markets are down and many people ended up
losing everything including their initial investment. There is no better
time to exercise diversification than in this new rally. In any market,
the hot performing industry will always change as the big momentum players
shift their money from one sector to another. However, for those
investors that are more risk adverse and are not aggressive market timers,
owning companies of varying market caps in different sectors is proven
to be just as profitable.
Oil
and gas has been one of the most depressed sectors in the past few years
but we are beginning to see signs of life. Oil prices have been increasing,
and chances are that they will continue to creep upwards. OPEC and
non-OPEC oil producers have finally put their arguments aside and agreed
cut production. This may be bad news for consumers at the gas pumps,
but investors can take advantage of this impending price increase by owning
companies in this sector.
If from now until December oil prices
continue their trend, similar to 1999, then companies in the industry will
achieve substantial gains. Our favorite idea in this sector is a
company we profiled last November. FieldPoint Petroleum (FPPC) is
an undervalued oil and gas company that has outperformed the industry in
a very depressed environment.
For 2001 3rd Q Ending Sept:
Quarterly revenue increased 51%
versus
same period last year.
Nine month revenues increased 64%
versus the same period last year.
Nine month cash flow from operations
increased 40% over the same period
last year.
Oil and gas production increased by
55%
for the nine months versus the same period last year.
In 2002, we expect FieldPoint to have
an even better year as oil and gas prices continue to climb. FieldPoint
CEO Ray Reaves
is looking to acquire additional assets and boost production
to grow the company's assets. Despite the outstanding company performance,
the stock has been a laggard. It has underperformed our other two
profiles by a wide margin. Most investors wouldn't mind being right
two out of three times and produce cumulative gains of
68.31%.
However, in FieldPoint Petroleum we feel that the company deserves a higher
valuation based on fundamentals and future growth prospects.
Stock prices often do not reflect
the true value of a company. This is the case for FieldPoint and
investors should take advantage of the mispricing. We originally
profiled FieldPoint when the stock was $1.90 per share. This
represented a potential return of 58% from
our target price of $3.00 per share. We are still confident
that in 2002 the company will hit our $3.00 target.
By averaging our initial profile
price of $1.90 and Friday's closing price of $1.09, investors
who dollar cost average FieldPoint would have a cost basis of $1.49
per
share. This would represent a double for investors who initially
purchased the stock and are now averaging down. Patience is the key
for investors that own FieldPoint. Over the course of the next 12
months, an investment in the company means you will own a piece of the
oil and gas industry. The question is not if but when the industry
will become hot again. By owning FieldPoint, investors will be able
to take advantage of the gains the industry will produce in the near future.
Click
Here For The Original Profile
D I S C
L A I M E R :
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and expressions are the sole opinions of the editors and are subject
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