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VOLUME 07: ISSUE 5
Titan
Global Holdings - Our First Trading Idea of the Year
Company
Name:
Titan
Global Holdings, Inc.
Stock
Symbol :
TTGL
Coverage
Initiated:
January
13, 2007
Current
Price:
$1.21
Average
Volume:
40,572
52
Week Range:
$0.139
- $1.26
Suggested
Target:
$3.00
Suggested
Stop:
$0.70
I'm
usually glad the rest of the market overlooks incredible small cap ideas.
It gives our readers a little time to get in at low levels - if they want
to - before the rest of the crowd jumps on the bandwagon. In today's case
though, I think any action needs to be taken soon, as it looks like this
stock is getting real popular, real fast. Translation:
Shares have already rewarded shareholders with a 450% gain since May of
last year.
The
good news is, there still seems to have plenty of steam for the months
ahead....for those who don't hesitate.
The
company is called Titan Global Holdings (OTCBB:
TTGL), and if you haven't heard of them before, they're a diversified
telecom service provider and circuit board maker. Specifically, they make
printed circuit boards (mostly for the military), and pre-paid phone cards.
We'll look at the business in a little more detail below. For now....
Whether
you're familiar with the outfit or not, I think you're going to be very
glad we're telling you about them now. Why? Enormous potential for gains,
plain and simple. The way I figure it, this stock is trading at about 1/3
of its actual value. As such, I also think this stock has the potential
to at least double - and maybe triple - within a year. The numbers
just look that good.
Today's
news seems to confirm the suspicion, I think you'll agree. I also suspect
you'll want to be a share owner, if you don't already, by the time you
get to the bottom of today's edition. And when comparing the potential
risk to the potential reward, I think that might be a good decision for
small cap enthusiasts.
This
Year Vs. Last Year
Normally
we'd describe what the company does in this space, but honestly, I can't
wait to get to the part of the story that led me to do a double-take...the
dollars. Check out these numbers. They may seem too good to be true, but
trust us - they aren't typos. Once you get done thinking about the
historical results, prepare to be blown away by the forecasted results.
Titan
posted a revenue increase of 382% between fiscal 2006 and fiscal
2005.
The specific
breakdown is as follows.....
For 2006,
Titan's Communications Division reported revenue of $89.3 million, up
1,435% from $5.8 million the previous year. EBITDA was $8.5 million,
a 978% increase from a $785,000 EBITDA in the previous year.
Last year,
Titan's Electronics and Homeland Security Division reported revenue of
$20.5 million, up 16% from $17.7 million in the previous year. The EBITDA
loss of $554,000, much better than the previous year's EBITDA loss of $2.9
million.
The change
in the bottom line between fiscal 2005 and fiscal 2006?
The Company
reported $7.9 million in EBITDA earnings for 2006 versus an EBITDA loss
of $2.1 million the previous year.
Is there
anything about the company's recent history that makes you think they aren't
on track to live up to their own expectations? For us there isn't. We're
convinced this is a smart investment based on the trend, as well as an
extreme undervaluation. We see more potential gains for owners in the future
- long term and short term. Keep reading though...the coming year appears
as if it will be just as impressive.
This
Year Vs. Next Year
Those
2006 improvements? We expect more of the same in 2007. This time around
though, we may also see a big reward for investors.
The company
is planning on doing $140 million in sales in fiscal 2007 (beginning September
1st, 2006), compared to $109 million last year (ended August 31st, 2006).
That would be a 28% improvement.
Titan
Global Holdings expects to produce $17.5 million in EBITDA in 2007, versus
an EBITDA of $7.9 million last year.
TTGL currently
has capitalization of - and here's the stunning part - about $60 million.
Did
you catch the last part? Titan is looking to rake in revenues of $140 million
this year (and we fully feel they will) with a mere market cap of $60 million.
Folks,
there's the opportunity in this stock. A 'typical' market cap for
most stocks is anywhere from 1 to 4 times sales. For Titan Global, the
cap/sales ratio is 0.53......at least half of what some say it should
be. I'd contend it's even more undervalued than that.
To
put it in more relevant terms, if the share price moves up in line with
what you might call a 'just average' cap/sales ratio of 2, the market cap
should be somewhere around $280 million based on 2007 estimates. If that
indeed panned out, it would translate into a share price of roughly $5.60,
and
a gain of 360% for new buyers. Stunning....just stunning. Needless
to say, this is why I think you'd want to own shares today if you don't
already.
And
on a side note, the move from an EBITDA of $7.9 million to $17.5 million
puts
Titan within striking distance of a positive bottom line. If the swing
to profit occurs this year like I think it could, this stock may just launch
like a rocket. Obviously to reap the full benefit of such a move, one would
have to be in a position before that happened.
Getting
to There From Here
And
can it happen? Can Titan really produce the kind of results that would
drive its shares even higher? Based on yesterday's press release (below),
we'd
have a hard time understanding how it couldn't happen. Titan Global
Holdings is executing extremely well, and more importantly, are pulling
in dollars as proof.
Take
the news for instance. This time around, we learned the global communications
division saw $11 million in sales in December. That was 52% higher than
last November's results, and 28% higher than November's (2006) results.
And, results have pretty much been that way for months now. So yeah, we
have to think they'll be able to easily top last year's results and hit
that $140 million target.
And
why do I feel so strongly that Titan will be able to deliver on the plan
and reward investors at the same time. One simple reason - they've already
proven they can put up bigger and bigger numbers. I think comparing 2005
to 2006 should have made you a believer, but if not, maybe the chart will.
But first, a quick explanation of what they do....
What
They Do
While
'how' any company drives business is important, I don't know that this
is actually the important part today (the numbers below are the jaw-dropping
benefit to investors). But, it's still worth knowing at least how the company
can post the kinds of sales they do.
In
a nutshell, Titan Global is a holding company made up of a handful of subsidiaries.
Oblio
Telecom creates and markets pre-paid telephone products and sells them
through 60,000 distributors.
PINLESS,
INC. is a division of Oblio Telecom, Inc., and provides pre-paid long
distance products for the wire line and wireless markets
There
are two Titan PCB Corporations (labeled 'East' or 'West'). These
companies both manufacture circuit boards.
There's
a new venture as well....Titan is now getting into the pre-paid cell phone
business. The technical term is 'mobile virtual network operator'. Call
it what you want - we think it's a great fit for the company, as it taps
into the market that Titan already serves. Sales and earnings are increasing
across the board (no pun intended) for these key divisions, which is why
the 2007 forecast is so deservedly optimistic.
Our
Trading View
Not
that we've minced words yet, but in plain English, we feel Titan Global
shares are an amazing opportunity, and the currently-low level may be a
last chance to get in while the gettin' is good. But like we also said,
it sure seems like other investors are quickly latching onto this idea
- shares are going strong now, and have been accelerating for weeks. So,
if you're in agreement with us about this mind-bogglingly bullish idea,
the time to do something about it is soon....whenever stocks start trading
again after the long weekend.
If
that doesn't push you over into the "I'm now a TTGL owner" camp, then this
might - as the press release states, Titan expects to release Q1-2007
figures sometime this coming week. Yes, we can understand not wanting
to chase it after a strong run, but let's be realistic....if the numbers
are as good as the recent results have been, do ya' really think we're
going to see the stock stick around its current levels? We doubt it.
In our opinion, it's already undervalued. A little good news could go a
long way, and send the stock through the roof in a hurry. That's not a
prediction - we're just saying weigh the odds (and potential size) of the
upside against the downside. To us, the equation looks very tilted to the
bullish side of things.
We're
setting our suggested target at $3.00, with a suggested stop of $0.70.
Assuming anybody who likes TTGL gets in Tuesday at the same price as Friday's
close of $1.21, that would be good for a 150% gain. But, we'd say an entry
of anywhere up to around $1.40/$1.50 would still be a bargain. Beyond that,
it could make more sense to pick and choose an advantageous entry level....it's
really impossible to say until we start to see it trading post-earnings.
Of course, that's still well under our theoretical value. By the
way, if the chart progresses nicely don't be surprised to see us raise
the target.
Bottom
line......
Ladies
and gents, in our opinion, TTGL could be one of the ideas that makes 2007
a very profitable year for you - we just see that sort of potential. In
our view, the underlying results easily support a lot more price appreciation,
and we think current as well as new owners are going to be very pleased
when it's all said and done.
Titan
Global Communications Division Reports Record Revenues of $11 Million for
December Representing 52% Yearly Growth
Strong December
Financial Performance Indicates Significant Continued Growth from Communications
Division in Fiscal 2007
Dallas-Titan Global
Holdings, Inc. (OTCBB: TTGL),
a high-growth diversified holding company, announced today that its Communications
Division generated a record $11 million in revenues for the month of December,
a substantial 52% percent increase for the same month from the previous
year. The strong December results precede the Company's Q1 2007 financial
report anticipated for next week.
The December 2006
revenues indicate a positive monthly trend in growth with an increase of
approximately $2.4 million over the month of November, 2006, a 28% increase
in revenues.
The strong revenue
performance for December, which does not include revenues from the Company'
Electronics and Homeland Security Division, indicates continued growth
in the new fiscal year and further validates the Company's high-growth
business model of convergent subsidiaries that capitalize on the worldwide
demand for new communications and connectivity services and products.
"The record month
at Titan's Communications Division demonstrates that we are on the path
to reach Management's revenue guidance. We believe our aggressive growth
initiatives to expand market share for our Oblio and StartTalk subsidiaries
are taking hold," said Kurt Jensen, President and Chief Executive Officer
of Titan's Communications Division. "We have full confidence that this
organic growth will continue to build shareholder value and will help ensure
another strong fiscal 2007."
Oblio Telecom,
a unit of Titan's Communications Division, which accounts for approximately
80% of Titan's total revenues, is the second largest publicly-owned company
focused on the international prepaid telecommunications space. Oblio distributes
international prepaid telecommunications products to more than 60,000 independent
retailers throughout the United States. Oblio recently reported record
revenues topping $89.3 million in fiscal 2006.
"We achieved a
strong growth trend due to our management team's ability to anticipate
and identify opportunities to promote organic growth from our complimentary
subsidiaries," said Bryan Chance, Chief Executive Officer of Titan Global
Holdings. "These reported revenues are exemplary of Titan's overall ability
to build a healthy bottom line and commitment to building shareholder value."
Another major
contributor to the record December revenues was the better-than-expected
growth of Titan's StartTalk subsidiary, which owns, leases and operates
telecommunications hardware. StartTalk recently announced an anticipated
200% expansion of the Company's telecom network capacity to accommodate
growing traffic from Oblio's international telecommunications operations.
Additionally,
Titan recently announced an agreement to distribute targeted international
prepaid products in the U.S. that allows the Company to distribute Sprint
private-label prepaid calling cards to retail and other business via Titan
vast distribution network.
About Titan Global
Holdings
Titan Global Holdings,
Inc. ("Titan") (OTCBB: TTGL)
is a high-growth diversified holding company with a dynamic portfolio of
companies engaged in emerging telecommunications markets and advanced technologies.
In its last fiscal year Titan generated in excess of $109 million in revenues
on a consolidated basis.
Titan's Oblio
Telecom Inc. ("Oblio") telecommunications subsidiary, based in Richardson,
Texas, is a market leader in prepaid telecommunications products and the
second largest publicly-owned international telecommunications company
focused on the prepaid space. Oblio leverages strategic agreements with
Tier 1 telecommunications leaders Sprint and Level3 to supply its brand-name
prepaid calling cards. Annually Oblio sells an estimated 35 million of
its brand-name prepaid calling cards through its established distribution
channels estimated at more than 60,000 retail outlets.
Titan Wireless,
Inc. ("T Wireless") is Titan's wireless subsidiary and is a mobile virtual
network operator ("MVNO"). T Wireless sells its MVNO prepaid wireless products
and wireless services through Oblio's established distribution channels.
Titan's Electronics and Homeland Security division specializes in advanced
manufacturing processes to provide commercial production runs and quick-turn
delivery of printed circuit board prototypes for high-margin markets including
Homeland Security and high-tech clients.
For more information,
please visit: www.titanglobalholdings.com.
For investor-specific information and resources, visit http://www.trilogy-capital.com/tcp/titan/
or http://www.b2i.us/irpass.asp?BzID=1314&to=ea&s=0.
To view current stock quotes and news, visit http://www.trilogy-capital.com/tcp/titan/quote.html.
To view an investor fact sheet about the company, visit http://www.trilogy-capital.com/tcp/titan/factsheet.html.
Forward-Looking
Statements
Safe Harbor Statement
Under the Private Securities Litigation Act of 1995 -- With the exception
of historical information, the matters discussed in this press release
are forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties.
The actual future results of TTGL could differ significantly from those
statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
include risks and uncertainties such as the inability to finance the company's
operations or expansion, inability to hire and retain qualified personnel,
changes in the general economic climate, including rising interest rate
and unanticipated events such as terrorist activities. In some cases, you
can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as "may," "will,"
"should," "expect," "plan," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "predict,"
"potential" or "continue," the negative of such terms, or other comparable
terminology. These statements are only predictions. Although we believe
that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable,
such statements should not be regarded as a representation by the Company,
or any other person, that such forward-looking statements will be achieved.
We undertake no duty to update any of the forward-looking statements, whether
as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In light of
the foregoing, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such
forward-looking statements. For further risk factors see the risk factors
associated with our Company, review our SEC filings.
Contact:
Trilogy Capital
Partners
Financial Communications:
Paul Karon, Toll-free:
800-592-6067
paul@trilogy-capital.com
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