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VOLUME 08 : ISSUE 33
Bio-Matrix
Revenue Timeline Hyper-Accelerated, The Time Is Now
Remember
last Thursday how I said Bio-Matrix could be weeks away from
revenue? It's actually even better...the timeline has been fast-forwarded
to mere days. As a result, the narrow window of opportunity to get
in pre-revenue (which us typically when big biotech stock gains
are made) is closing fast. I think the time to become an owner
is today, before anybody else hears this morning's news.
We'll
look at the announcement of course, but I also want to let you know
we've changed our entry and exit parameters from last Thursday's alert.
There's also a major clarification I want to make sure everyone understands
....a good one. So, we'll close with that.
And
So It Begins
The
case for being an investor in Bio-Matrix Solutions Group Inc. (OTCBB:
BMSN) was pretty clear last Thursday. The final public tour of
the facility this week, and preparation for an inspection afterwards, was
a strong statement from the company about feeling ready to roll. If the
inspection goes well, they'll immediately receive their final required
tissue bank license, and could literally 'open for business' as
easily as flipping a switch.
We
estimated first year revenues could be somewhere between $4 million and
$8 million, which isn't bad for a company with a market cap of only $11.7
million right now. The company thinks they could annually be doing $30
million in stem-cell storage business within the foreseeable future.
When
they came out with Tuesday's news about opening two gene coding labs though,
we all should have guessed there was something bigger and better on the
way.
Well,
today's
news (which just came out) is the 'better'. Bio-Matrix has
received a letter of intent from VIBRAGENE - a genetic analysis company
- that calls for the use of Bio-Matrix's gene coding labs. Per the letter,
Bio-Matrix anticipates performing human DNA testing for VIBRAGENE, searching
for biomarkers that indicate susceptibility to various diseases. Most importantly,
it would be a revenue bearing venture for Bio-Matrix.
There
are two key points to stress here. One, there's no additional licensing
requirement for this venture - they can start anytime. And two,
there's no additional equipment or facility needed - Bio-Matrix's current
facility can do the job.
The
press release didn't cite any specific dollar amounts, but it did mention
VIBRAGENE anticipates needing about 100,000 specimens processed over the
next twelve months.
Though
we don't want to get too presumptuous, processing comparable gene
tests can cost anywhere from as low as $30 to as much as a few hundred
bucks, depending on what needs to be identified.
Just
for perspective and scope, let's say each test will generate $50 for Bio-Matrix.
At 100,000 pieces per year, that turns into revenues of $5 million. Point
being, no matter what the average price is, it could be significant
sales for the company.
More
importantly, this could be happening very soon...and the market
knows it, or they will soon enough. I strongly suggest stepping
into a position this morning before the news spreads any further.
Updated
Trade Parameters
Last
Thursday I laid out a specific entry limit and a suggested stop for Bio-Matrix
shares. I do that for one reason - to protect you from volatility.
After a strong February/March rally, it was tough to say how the stock
was going to proceed.
Since
then, I've observed BMSN to be plenty stable, and plenty liquid. Moreover,
we've seen the stock set up a nice consolidation base between some key
Fibonacci lines, finding a foothold around 40 cents.
So
with volatility not being an issue, I think it's fine to not to even worry
about an entry limit today (though reason still prevails), and scoot
the stop level down to 25 cents. That should give the stock adequate room
to breath, but still be defensive enough.
The
target of $1.45 still stands. That's a gain of about 190% from Wednesday's
closing level.
Sounds
lofty? I don't think so. The market cap would be about $34 million
at that level, which is roughly the amount Bio-Matrix plans on eventually
doing in annual sales. The average biotech stock trades at about
twice
its annual revenues.
A
Better Explanation
Some
of you asked the question, which means more of you thought it. Soooo...
The
question was, what's the big deal about Bio-Matrix? Can't anyone really
do the same thing?
Our
answer is, no, not really. In fact, it's unlikely anybody will
really ever be in a position to do what they do - at least as
far into the future as we can see.
Bio-Matrix
plans on being licensed as the first adult stem-cell cryogenic storage
facility in the world. It took them years to get there. It could take years
for anybody else to even get close too, and even then any competition
would have to deal with a major (and lengthy) licensing process. It's just
cost and time prohibitive, basically to the point where it makes more sense
for a would-be competitor to not even try to jump into the game.
As
for the 'big deal', something we didn't mention the last time around
was just how real this opportunity is.
A few
years ago if you had uttered the words 'cryogenic storage of adult stem
cells', people would have had no clue what you were talking about.
Today, analysts estimate the total stem cell therapy market could be worth
more than $8 billion annually within a few years, as the advantages
of 'tailor made' treatments come to light.
Better
still, the industry's focus has recently turned towards adult stem
cells and away from embryonic stem cells.
The
one pre-requisite to utilizing adult stem cell therapies is - you guessed
it - samples actually have to be stored before the need arises.
Considering they're getting very close to a final licensing inspection,
they may also be getting close to being the only adult stem call
storage game in town.
Anyway...
To
repeat something I mentioned last week, successful biotech investing
pretty much requires you to be preemptive rather than reactive. To
that end, revenues often seem to be the hot button. I wouldn't be
surprised to see BMSN break out on the VIBRAGENE news; the adult stem cell
storage opportunity is a nice kicker.
In
short, wait on the sidelines at your own peril. I think now's the
time to be proactive and become an owner, before anybody else finds
this stock.
Here's
the news release:
Bio-Matrix
Scientific Group, Inc. Signs Letter of Intent with VIBRAGENE for DNA /
Genetic Testing
SAN DIEGO, CA
Bio-Matrix Scientific
Group Inc (OTCBB:
BMSN), a biotechnology company focused on adult stem cell processing
and cryogenic storage, announced today that it has entered into a Letter
of Intent with VIBRAGENE, an anti-aging and genetic analysis company.
Pursuant to the
Letter of Intent, it is proposed that Bio-Matrix Scientific Group, Inc.
will perform human DNA genetic testing for biomarkers that may play important
roles in disease development. VIBRAGENE anticipates sending 100,000 specimens
to Bio-Matrix for testing during the next 12 months.
Additionally,
Bio-Matrix will supply DNA testing kits to VIBRAGENE for the collection
of DNA specimens.
Completion of
the proposed agreement is subject to a number of conditions, including
but not limited to, the establishment of pricing acceptable to the parties.
With recent advances
in sequencing of the human genome, personalized medicine will become increasingly
important in the treatment of diseases. The addition of DNA testing capability
at the company's Facility complements Bio-Matrix' business lines of processing
and storing stem cells for future medical uses.
Bio-Matrix currently
has two Class 100,000 DNA laboratories that will be utilized to reduce
the risks of contamination during DNA amplification and testing. These
laboratories, combined with our current cGMP/cGTP requirements as an FDA
registered Facility for stem cell operations, will assure clients of the
highest standards in all technologies used.
About Bio-Matrix
Scientific Group
Bio-Matrix Scientific
Group Inc. (www.BMSN.us)
is a biotech research and development Company that commercializes medical
devices and monitoring systems for the growing, worldwide stem cell research
market. The company aligns itself with strategic partners that offer key
technologies in biomedical device development, tissue engineering, cell
culturing, genome therapy and drug delivery systems to become a leading
source for stem cell research technology and innovation. Bio-Matrix' new
15,000 sq. ft. state-of-the-art facility, located in the heart of San Diego's
biotechnology corridor, will house Bio-Matrix' two secure Cryogenic Stem
Cell Bank, three research laboratories, aseptic cellular/tissue class 10,000/100
processing laboratory, hematology, microbiology and flow cytometry laboratories.
DISCLAIMER: This
news release may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements
are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, some of which cannot
be predicted or quantified. Future events and actual results could differ
materially from those set forth in, contemplated by, or underlying the
forward-looking statements. The risks and uncertainties to which forward-looking
statements are subject include, but are not limited to, the effect of government
regulation, competition and other material risks.
Contact:
Bio-Matrix Scientific
Group Inc.
Investor Relations
619.398.3517 ext. 301
info@BMSN.us
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