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VOLUME 08 : ISSUE 30
Bio-Matrix
- The Lone Player in a Big Biotech Field
You
don't have to be a seasoned investment veteran to know timing is everything,
especially when it comes to biotech. If you find the right biotech company
at the right time, the potential investment gain is enormous. That's
why we're so eager to present today's new idea to you...we think it's one
of those 'right company, right time' scenarios.
Here
are the basics...the current market cap could be less than
next year's total revenue. As such, we feel the potential long-term
upside could be a double - if not a triple - of the stock's trading
level.
A couple
of not-so-rhetorical questions will really help set the stage here...
1)
What if you had an opportunity to become an owner of a biotech company
just a few weeks before they were planning on turning the 'revenue switch'
on?
2)
What if you found a biotech company that could reap the inherent potential
of the biotech industry, but forego the bulk of the inherent risk
associated
with biotech research and development?
Oh
yeah - did we mention this company is the only company out there
offering this kind of biotech support service?
Most
experienced investors would jump at such an investment, and rightfully
so. After our due diligence work, we're feeling the same.
Who
Are They, And What Do They Do?
We
think Bio-Matrix Scientific Group Inc. (OTCBB:
BMSN) shareholders have plenty to be excited about right now. Why?
The company is nearing the end of their developmental stage, and on
the verge of entering an operational status - as a processing and cryogenic
storage facility for adult stem cells derived from adipose (fat) tissue,
peripheral blood, and cord blood.
Company
Name:
Bio-Matrix
Scientific Group Inc.
Stock
Symbol:
BMSN
Coverage
Initiated:
March
27, 2008
Current
Price:
$0.56
Average
Volume:
26,571
52
Week Range:
$0.10
- $1.20
Suggested
Target:
$1.45
Suggested
Stop:
$0.45
In
layman's terms, Bio-Matrix can store tens of thousands of stem cell specimens,
which a patient can use via stem cell therapy at a later stage in life.
Their storage capacity could increase to millions of samples relatively
easily.
Without
turning this into a science lesson, I'll try and briefly explain why adult
stem cell processing and storage is becoming a bigger deal every year.
First
and foremost, I want to be clear that Bio-Matrix is not in the business
of doing stem cell research of any kind.
I know
for some folks the term 'stem cell' is a red flag, as it brings
up moral questions. The heated issue doesn't apply in this case though.
The social debate has only centered on embryonic stem cell research - not
adult stem cells. Bio-Matrix will only be involved in the processing and
cryogenic storage of adult stem cells found in adipose tissue (fat)
gathered with permission during liposuction [yes, through plastic
surgery]. Moreover, those adult stem cells can only be used for regenerative
purposes with that patient.
Just
for the record though, adult stem cell research has already been around
a long time...much longer than any controversial embryonic stem cell research.
So, it's not likely there will be any 'morality roadblock' popping up.
The
term 'regenerative' is really the key to it all too. There are numerous
but still-untapped possibilities here, such as treatment for cancer patients
(cancer
is the result of damaged cells), and even the fight against cardiovascular
disease. Those are just the beginning though.
The
attraction to the idea becomes pretty obvious with those benefits in mind.
For a small processing expense and a modest annual storage fee, an individual
has an opportunity to preserve their stem cells for decades. For Bio-Matrix
and its investors, it's a scalable and perpetual revenue machine.
Why
Them?
We
could truly give dozens of reasons why we think Bio-Matrix shares would
make for a great investment. We'll stick to the top ones though.
In no particular order...
1)
They're well protected from competition. I have to admit I learned
a little bit as I was studying this company, particularly about how the
facility and its location could play a role in its success.
The
San Diego-based company's management team believes their facility will
be the first commercial adult stem cell storage center on the globe. And,
they should know...San Diego is the largest biotech company community
in the United States, and the second largest biotech community
in the world.
Did
you know, however, California is somewhat the de facto standard
when it comes to stem cell storage? As part of $3 billion worth of funding
the state of California provided for stem-cell research, the state now
also requires any facility that houses stem cells of California residents
to be California licensed. I believe the costs involved with building or
improving current tissue storage labs to meet that standard will simply
be more trouble than it's worth to any potential competition.
In
other words, it seems like Bio-Matrix could own the adult stem cell storage
corner for a while - they're the only company even close to offering
storage of this type. What a great position to be in, when the competition
is nearly unable to even get in the game.
2)
Bio-Matrix is in good company, figuratively and literally. There are
800 biotech companies within 20 minutes of Bio-Matrix's location in San
Diego. In many senses, the area is to biotech what Silicon Valley is to
technology ....a region that reaped huge investment rewards for
a lot of people in the 80's and 90's. That's not a bad omen, not to mention
a nice local customer base.
3)
The business model allows for reliable, consistent revenue. When's
the last time you could comfortably say that about any company
in the biotech arena? There's no R&D here, and no multi-year FDA-approval
process like there is for a new drug. No patents will eventually expire.
This is a business that creates recurring revenue, and can be grown in
perpetuity.
4)
They're NOT really facing great risk when it comes to moral conflict or
potential legislation. As we pointed out earlier, any controversy is
limited to embryonic stem cell research - not adult stem cells.
5)
The 'market' and customer-acquisition network is already in place.
I was shocked - though pleasantly - to learn there were more than
12 million liposuction procedures done last year. Each one of those procedures
also means a potential customer, which brings up a point worth making....
Though
the ultimate beneficiaries here are individual patients, the company is
thinking on a much larger scale. They're marketing the service to plastic
surgeons and groups of doctors who in turn re-offer the service to individual
patients. It's our understanding Bio-Matrix already has numerous inquires
from doctor's groups, all looking for stem cell processing and storage
service.
6)
There's a real and growing demand for the service they provide, like
better health, and stem cell therapy for future regenerative medicine procedures
such as heart muscle and bone repair. And for only a minimal annual cost?
That's a no-brainer.
Those
five reasons likely answered your key questions, save one...
Why
Now?
As
loud as the 'why them' arguments speak to me, today's news clinches
my confidence.
The
full press release is below; I'll summarize it here though - Bio-Matrix
is opening its doors for one last investor tour. After that, they have
to seal the lab off from the public (forever) so they can start
bringing samples in to calibrate their equipment. When the calibrations
are complete, Bio-Matrix will then enter the tissue bank licensing process.
Once licensed as a tissue bank, welcome to revenue city.
The
fact that they're doing this now - giving one last public look then
prepping the lab for inspection - tells me they're getting close to
their endpoint, and revenue. This may well be the best time to get
involved ...right before any big news.
Though
it all still hinges on the final licensing decision, it's not too soon
to start thinking about the potential numbers here.
As
we said above, we've been told the company is already speaking with several
groups who may well become the company's first paying customers. All told,
these outfits could need not hundreds, but thousands of stem cell
specimens stored right off the bat.
With
four cryogenic tanks ready to roll, we believe 12-month revenue could be
in the $4 million to $8 million range for a company/facility like this.
The company is targeting annual revenues around $30 million within the
foreseeable future. The 15,000 square foot building has room for 47 more
cryogenic tanks, which could certainly generate those kinds of revenue
levels.
Now
compare those dollar amounts to the company's capitalization. With 23.4
million shares outstanding at 56 cents each, the market cap is a mere $13
million. That's less than half of the annual sales figure the company is
shooting for. Unbelievable.
By
average biotech stock standards, a company doing $30 million in sales should
be valued around $60 million or more, which means you could make a good
argument that BMSN is currently trading at 1/5 of its potential value.
I see enormous upside possibilities for the stock with that valuation
model.
Tradin'
the Stock
If
potential growth and fundamentals don't get your motor running, take a
look at the nearby chart. BMSN is actually going up this year...one
of the few stocks doing so. That alone tells me quite a bit
about how well the market is growing to like this company. Even nicer is
how BMSN is still well under its 2006 highs around $3.00.
With
that in mind, we believe an entry limit of 60 cents makes good trading
sense.
Strategically
speaking, we don't want to give anybody a reason to sell right into any
strength, and we certainly don't want to give anything away if we
don't have to. So, we'll cap our suggested entry at 60 cents for starters.
Once the market is open and we see how things are taking shape, we may
adjust the limit in the blog. Be sure to check it sometime early that morning.
As
for a target and stop, we feel BMSN could reach as high as $1.45, so we'll
make that our initial target. The market cap would still be a modest $32
million at that trading level for the stock (though a 150% gain for
tomorrow's buyers). Let's go with a stop of 45 cents.
One
last thought...this upcoming licensing inspection? Any approval
is granted immediately, on the spot. Once a license is awarded,
Bio-Matrix is instantaneously 'open for business'. And let's face it -
the
best time to own biotech stocks is before they make their big strides.
'Waiting to see' about major biotech news has left too many investors
out of the biggest part of any gain. Veteran Small Cap Network readers
will know this to be true based on big-gain experiences with CEL-SCI, BioCurex,
and other biotech names.
That's
why we feel so strongly about getting in now - as in tomorrow. When
the Bio-Matrix scenario is explained to other investors in the near future,
you may find the stock is running away because everyone else is jockeying
to get in before and even after the inspection is complete.
We
suggest keeping your entry low by beating them to the punch, and taking
on a position Friday morning. Don't be one of those investors who ends
up chasing a rally.
Bio-Matrix
Scientific Group to Open Its Facility for Public Tours March 31, 2008 through
April 3, 2008
SAN Diego, CA
- March 27, 2008
Bio-Matrix Scientific
Group Inc. (OTCBB:
BMSN) announced today that it will be opening its facility for public
tours between 10:00 am and 4:00 pm beginning March 31st through April 3rd.
The Company wants to provide interested parties the opportunity to view
all the equipment, labs and additions to the building.
A spokesperson
for the Company noted that Management is excited about the milestones achieved
and the near term prospects of the Company getting to revenue.
Currently, everything
is being set in place for the Company to apply for a tissue bank license.
This license will allow the Company to process stem cell specimens and
prepare them for cryogenic storage. Bio-Matrix already has its Biologics
license and FDA registration, allowing it to store specimens. The Tissue
Bank license will make the Company a complete stem cell processing and
storage facility.
Brian Pockett,
the Company's COO said "Currently, we are finishing up our Quality Systems
Documentation (QSD). Once the QSD is complete, we can apply to be licensed
as a tissue bank. Recently, we have brought into our facility testing devices,
additional cryogenic storage tanks, shipping tanks and support systems
that should make us one of the highest rated facilities of its kind in
the U.S."
Those interested
in touring the facility are encouraged to contact the Company to request
a viewing at the earliest time. While the building is open for tours, availability
will be limited. To request a reservation, please email at info@BMSN.us
or call 619.398.3517 ext. 301.
About Bio-Matrix
Scientific Group
Bio-Matrix Scientific
Group Inc. (www.BMSN.us)
is a biotechnology company that seeks to operate stem cell banking for
the storage of adult stem cell and cord blood. Additionally, the company
seeks to commercialize medical devices and monitoring systems for the growing,
worldwide stem cell research market. The company aligns itself with strategic
partners that offer key technologies in biomedical device development,
tissue engineering, cell culturing, genome therapy and drug delivery systems
to become a leading source for stem cell research technology and innovation.
Bio-Matrix operates a 15,000 sq. ft. state-of-the-art facility, located
in the heart of San Diego's biotechnology corridor. The Company anticipates
opening its facility for specimen storage in the first half of 2008. It
will house Bio-Matrix's secure Cryogenic Stem Cell Bank, three research
laboratories, aseptic cellular/tissue class 10,000/100 processing laboratory,
hematology, microbiology and flow cytometry laboratories.
DISCLAIMER: This
news release may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements
are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, some of which cannot
be predicted or quantified. Future events and actual results could differ
materially from those set forth in, contemplated by, or underlying the
forward-looking statements. The risks and uncertainties to which forward-looking
statements are subject include, but are not limited to, the effect of government
regulation, competition and other material risks.
Contact:
Bio-Matrix Scientific
Group Inc.
Investor Relations
619-398-3517
ext. 301
info@BMSN.us
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