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VOLUME 07: ISSUE 42
CCBEF:
Quick, While Nobody's Looking
There's
an old saying "the squeaky wheel gets the oil." It's just a cute way of
saying whatever it is making the most noise will usually get the most (and
most immediate) attention. I think the same is true for stocks. However,
when it comes to stocks, I've also observed how the opposite of the cliché
often should be true......sometimes, the best opportunities are the companies
just laying low, focusing on doing whatever it is they do.
Case
in point - Clearly Canadian (OTCBB:
CCBEF). We've heard a little bit from Clearly over the last few weeks,
now in their post-rebuilding phase. However, they haven't felt the need
to clamor for attention. I can appreciate that. All too often, it seems
like a press release is an attempt to make something more than what it
really is. In Clearly Canadian's case, I just get the feeling they're mostly
focused on executing the plan (driving sales), and less concerned about
hype.
The
reason I feel investors should care? Sometimes the best time to become
a stock owner in a good company is when most everyone else isn't thinking
about it. With demand not being frantically bolstered, it's a chance
to find some bargain prices.....before any demand does get frantically
bolstered.
I think
Clearly Canadian might be a prime example of this 'timing is everything'
scenario. Check out some of the recent highlights, and then check out the
chart after that.
Did
You Know?
Though
they may have been slightly off the radar over the last few weeks, Clearly
Canadian has actually been making big strides for its shareholders.
Just take a look at these highlights....
The
company attracted $3.5 million worth of financing from some institutional-level
names.....and they paid a per-share price above CCBEF's market value
at the time.
Two California
distributors were added. One of the key tenets of the new-and-improved
Clearly Canadian plan is stronger distribution. Since January, we've seen
some major distributors added to the army. Now, one of the biggest markets
on the continent is getting big exposure to the Clearly line.
Clearly
Canadian jumped into the organic snack food world by acquiring DMR Food
Corporation.
The newest
line - Natural Enhanced Waters - is now on store shelves. Specifically,
chain-store shelves....a relatively new market for Clearly.
My Organic
Baby - a new division made possible by the DMR acquisition - is being featured
in Shoppers Drug Mart's (a major Canadian drug store chain) rewards program.
And
let's not forget what put the company on the map in the fist place - bottled
water. While all these other things have been getting launched, created,
or acquired, Clearly Canadian continues to stay focused on (re)establishing
itself as the premier name in the world of bottled water.
In
Good Company
I know
I've already used "the squeaky wheel gets the oil", but there's another
saying also in my mind right now...."birds of a feather flock together."
The same can be true in the stock market, in a sense. While a lot of investors
focus on picking the right stocks, they may not realize up to half the
war is waged by the influence of sectors and industries. Ergo, a good
company may be a great investment - if the sector is a strong one.
Well
guess what.....Clearly Canadian is in some good company.
First,
just to establish an idea of the kind of potential CCBEF may have, we have
to draw a comparison to another winner in the specialty-drink space - Jones
Soda (NASDAQ: JSDA). The
stock has only doubled since early March. Their earnings news was stellar,
and interestingly, Jones followed up a few days later with the launch of
a pure cane-sugar line of drinks. It seems to have started a buying epidemic.
But,
the compelling part of the Jones Soda story to Clearly Canadian's investors
may be this....their growth plan is quite similar to Clearly's.
Their core product is a niche soft-drink concentrate sold through non-mainstream
channels. But now, the company is starting to look at major retailers as
possible distribution channels.
Does
any of this ring a bell? More health-oriented ingredients, novel flavors,
a niche product looking to go mainstream.....all things Clearly Canadian
is doing too (and in our opinion, can do just as well). We're taking a
cue from the Jones Soda story, thinking Clearly Canadian has comparable
potential.
The
follow up question might be 'Couldn't Jones Soda just be a stroke of luck?'
Our answer? Yes, it could be - but we don't think it is.
Like we mentioned a moment ago, Clearly Canadian is in some good company,
as most stocks in the industry have been doing quite well.
Check
out the nearby chart of the Dow Jones Soft Drink Index (DJUSSD).
The index is up nearly 20% over the last 52 weeks, with a big chunk of
that move being reaped by very recent momentum. While the index itself
is predominantly made up of large caps, we contend there's also incredible
potential from the smaller names in the industry. And yes, this
includes Clearly Canadian.
In
fact, I'd go as far to say I'd rather take a look at the smaller
companies in this segment. The Dow chart itself looks a tad toppy. However,
I think the smaller stocks within the group (which aren't in the index)
are likely to find quality buyers once the initial euphoria of the larger
names wears off. My point is, I feel the potential has been proven.
Timing
is Everything
Although
bullish in the grand scheme of things, I've been watching this stock trade
in a range for several weeks now. During this time, I've noticed a couple
of key things worth mentioning that may make now a great time to consider
becoming an owner.
Take
a look at the horizontal line at $2.40. I think the bulls have drawn a
line in the sand there. It's been tested three times in the last five weeks,
and each time it's held up as support -with the last instance on Wednesday
thrusting shares 29 cents higher by the end of the day. Of course, with
the way CCBEF moves in tandem with its stochastic chart (just an oversold/overbought
indicator), I wasn't really surprised to see a rebound off that low. With
that in mind, we're not yet back to 'overbought' levels, so we may have
at least a little room to move to the upside.
What
really gets me excited, though, is when I take a step back and look at
the much-bigger trend. Though up-and-down since November, the 'ups'
have been bigger than the 'downs', and I still see an uptrend in place.
Just take a look at the orange trend lines framing the chart. Needless
to say, we're currently well on the lower side of an expanding range.
I just have a feeling this pattern is going to keep on playing out until
we finally see the stock get enough traction to break out - and stay
broken out.
The
bottom line is simple - between the kind of expansion the company is creating,
and the stock's recent dip, I've got to believe CCBEF is a bargain right
now. I'll just remind you that some 'smart money' just bought shares
at $3.00 when shares were trading at $2.85. Now they're trading at $2.65?!?!
I don't see too many opportunities like that. Our suggested target remains
at $5.15....94% above the current trading level.
We
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TGR Group, LLC
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San Diego, CA 92130
Phinder
Lays One of the Last Pieces of the Puzzle
Phinder
Technologies (OTCBB: PHDT),
through its Zupintra subsidiary, has integrated the 'Talking SIP' platform
into its infrastructure. I didn't know what it meant either, but here's
what I learned from the company....
SIP
stands for 'session initiation protocol', which is simply software that
makes their service work. The 'big deal' is just that their capacity will
greatly increase, allowing them to start offering service to the likes
of AT&T, Verizon, Qwest, and others. I don't know what was in place
before the SIP, but it's my understanding that there's not a comparison.
In
addition to the capacity, this particular SIP application also manages
the billing aspects associated with its use.
Overall,
I'd consider this one of the last pieces of the puzzle to be put in place
before the Phinder machine really gets up and running. Like we said a few
days ago, we really do feel we're at the ground-floor, watching the company
take flight - in a meaningful way - right before our eyes. We think investors
are coming along for the ride.
For
more on the news, click
here.
Challenger
Reports Year-End Numbers
We
finally heard the word - Challenger Powerboats (OTCBB:
CPWB) has filed their annual accounting statements, which includes
full-year sales, expenses, and earnings data.
They
did $280K in sales the last quarter of last year, and ended up doing $238K
for the year. Yes, that means without Q4, they would have had negative
sales. In Q2, they had to book a major return-to-vendor, which is deducted
from revenues. They were able to increase their inventory by the same amount
though. They lost 16 cents per share in 2006, versus a loss of 14 cents
per share the year before.
For
the complete filing data, click
here.
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