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VOLUME
04: ISSUE 93
Feature:
Thermogenesis - Puts a Chill in your Blood.
As
mentioned on the SCBlog
the other day, biotech Thermogenesis (NASDAQ:
KOOL) showed up on my radar screen as an interesting company to
profile. While the shares may be a bit pricey at the moment, as is the
rest of the market, we have time to delve into this "cell therapy products
derived from single donor blood" company.
While
we still see upside in the chart, retracing 40-50 percent of the recent
run in September from under $4 to $5.80 currently would make us very happy.
That means that there could be opportunities to buy this company back in
the mid-$4 range, so if you like what you see, a small accumulation now
and subsequent buys on dips seem the ticket.
We also feel the NASDAQ could shed
a few points from these levels (near 2080) as well moving down closer to
the 2020 level which may cheapen up some good names.
Nasty little critters.
Tainted blood could carry all manner
of viruses including Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease (CJD)--the nasty human manifestation
of Mad Cow disease. One infected donor can potentially contaminate pooled
plasma products which are derived from a large population of blood donors.
KOOL, with its ability to quickly produce biological products from single
units of blood, has become a leader in this technology--whether for customers
using its BioArchive system for umbilical blood banks or CryoSeal to prepare
hemostatic and surgical sealants from patient blood. These biological products
may include hematopoietic stem cells for bone marrow rescue transplants
and blood-derived proteins to assist surgeons in arresting bleeding or
gluing tissues.
From
the numbers, it appears the company has progressed well. Current market
cap is large at $262 million. Cash on hand equals about $16 million, but
there is minimal debt. Q1 2005 revenues increased 12 percent to $2.4 million
over Q1 2004. For fiscal 2004 net revenues topped $11.6 million. Historically,
or at least since 1992, the company has been a leading supplier of state-of-the-art
Ultra-Rapid Blood Plasma Freezers and Thawers to hospitals and blood banks.
The company is heavily involved in
R&D and various clinical trials to validate its products. Operations
in Europe and the Middle East are being expanded as, interestingly; a portion
of the company's products is available only in those jurisdictions.
I'm not afraid to admit it...
I
have to admit, I like medical device companies for a few reasons. First,
they tend to expand already accepted therapies or efficacies and make them
more useful and accessible to patients and doctors. Two, the demographic
is aging and companies that are developing the next generation of products
are always compelling. Three, and this is just personal, I'm all for procedures
and products that help and protect patients and those really smart folks
that care for them.
I won't pretend to be a medical device
expert. I will state that I do believe that this is biological rocket science.
Thermogenesis is undoubtedly on the cutting edge of new and safer blood
storage, therapeutic extraction and plasma safety, whether it's for hemophiliacs
or for bone marrow rescue transplants. The company has characterized its
involvement in the stem cell sector thusly:
With the ethical debate surrounding
the embryonic stem cell research market and the decision by President Bush
to set aside $250 million to fund research on alternative sources of stem
cells to embryonic stem cells, the Company has accelerated its efforts
to acquire additional cell selection, cell expansion and cell modification
technology to increase the economic and therapeutic value of a BioArchive
cord blood stem cell inventory in future years.
I'll
be back...
And since the company is headquartered
in California, the recent Prop 71 to allow the state to spend $3 billion
over 10 years on stem cell research should bode well for the future of
KOOL, its technology and its shareholders.
As I mentioned previously, those
interested in establishing exposure to this niche--for now--sector would
likely be prudent to accumulate a bit of KOOL now and more on dips should
they occur. At Kool's stage of development it is difficult to get a firm
handle on a timeline, but for the reasons noted, it looks a good spec for
risk-oriented investors.
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