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VOLUME 07 : ISSUE 53
Feature:
Simple + Brilliant = 'Smart' Investment
Company
Name:
Smart
Energy Solutions Inc .
Stock
Symbol :
SMGY
Coverage
Initiated:
May
30, 2007
Current
Price:
$0.58
Average
Volume:
83,384
52
Week Range:
$0.28
- $0.67
Suggested
Target:
$1.75
Suggested
Stop:
$0.50
Winning
the lottery can make you millions overnight, but let's face it....the odds
are slim, and it's a pure-luck proposition. On the other hand, being an
astute investor can also be incredibly rewarding, and with significantly
better odds. Oh, it might require a little more legwork, but in my experience,
taking intelligent investment risks at the right time has yielded better
dividends for me than any lottery ticket has.
Well,
we think we've found one of those stocks right on the verge of a being
a big win for its investors. Better yet, we've already done the legwork
for you. This company has a major patent, and the potential market
is starting to show some real interest. The nice part is, the market
is huge. With sales momentum being established, I think demand could
skyrocket soon. In other words, I see a very nice right place/right time
scenario.
The
company is Smart Energy Solutions (OTCBB:
SMGY). The device is called a Battery Brain. If you haven't
heard of it yet, odds are you will soon. Just keep in mind each time you
see the name in the future, it's also apt to mean a few more cents worth
of growth for the underlying stock.
The
'Brains' Behind the Idea
Some
of the best ideas in the world are also really simple ones, yet they create
enormous change. Post-its are now a multi-million dollar franchise, yet
who would have ever thought a little slip of paper with sticky stuff on
one side could become a crucial form of communication? Disposable diapers?
Not rocket-science, but ask anybody who had babies prior to 1950 (when
cloth diapers were the only option) whether or not they were a brilliant
idea - annual sales are in the billions.
Smart
Energy's patented 'Battery Brain' is equally simple, equally brilliant,
and I have a feeling it's going to make the same kind of mega-impact in
the automotive world. In a nutshell, the device monitors a car battery's
charge while the vehicle isn't running, and disconnects the electrical
system if it detects the battery is going to lose too much power to actually
start the engine. In other words, the Battery Brain won't let you strand
yourself if you leave your lights on, or if your car's 'always on'
electrical components (like a clock) start to drastically drain a battery.
The
first question I asked was 'Why didn't I think of that?' The second
question was, 'How can I invest in the idea?'
Better
still is the sheer affordability of the device. A basic retail version
can be purchased directly through the company for only $59.99, while the
price tag on higher-end units are a little more. Either way, they're much
cheaper and a heck of a lot more convenient than a tow truck.....pretty
much anybody with a car can justify the nominal amount. Translation: Demand
could become plentiful, now that the word is starting to spread.
Plus,
there's a boat version, a heavy truck version, and a car dealer 'add on'
version - each of which comes with a little higher wholesale price. Oh
yeah, the company can also produce the device and brand/box it under a
different name for the right retailers. These different versions each open
a whole new world of sales opportunities.
The
Final Straw
Today's
news pretty much drove our opinion into the 'completely on board' column
.....the Battery Brain is now going to be carried by the Amethyst Group
- one of the top 20 contract logistics providers in the United Kingdom.
A big
deal? I certainly think so, but only a drop in the bucket. Check out some
of the growth this company has cultivated in just the last few months....
April
30, 2007 - Canadian Tire Corporation agrees to stock the Battery
Brain in all their 460 stores.
April
24, 2007 - Smart Energy Solutions and Autolite® enter into
an agreement to license the rights to use the Autolite® brand name.
Feb 28,
2007 - Smart Energy Solutions reports it has been granted the federal government’s
GSA schedule contract.
Feb 14,
2007 - The company announced that Overton's has signed an agreement and
placed orders for the Battery Brain(tm) Marine product line.
Jan 8,
2007 - Smart Energy Solutions announced that O'Reilly Auto Parts has agreed
to sell and is now stocking the Battery Brain.
Dec 4,
2006 - Smart Energy Solutions announced a Distribution Agreement with Dextera
U.K.
And
the list goes on and on.
Did
you catch the first dates those new distributors started being added? It
was only a few months ago. Now with the sales calls starting to get traction,
I've got a feeling the product is close to hitting that 'critical mass'
where sales just start to explode.
Simultaneously,
Smart Energy may have extra revenue ammunition - there are some truck fleet
managers currently evaluating the device. And when we say 'fleet', yes,
we mean these companies could be ordering anywhere from a few hundred to
a few thousand Battery Brains within a few months.
The
Lone Fish In A Big Pond
Think
about this....there are over 600 million passenger cars currently in
use across the globe, not to mention huge numbers of heavy trucks and
boats. Each one is a candidate for the Battery Brain device. Over
60 million cars are manufactured every year across the globe.....each
of which is also a candidate for the Battery Brain device.
Considering
Smart Energy owns the patent and is the sole supplier, they clearly 'own'
the market. But, how many of those cars do you think are likely to be fitted
with a Battery Brain? A rate of 1% seems ridiculously low to me, but just
to be safe, let's think ultra-conservatively here. Do you think a modest
0.1% of the potential existing car market per year is realistic? I do.
Now throw in all those 'new car' add-on sales done by dealers, plus all
those sold through retailers. Let's not forget all those truck fleet opportunities
either. The potential sales number in the tens of thousands - if not
hundreds of thousands - of units per year.
I think
my guess of 500,000 units per year (for starters) is conservative. All
the same, if that many are sold over the next few months I estimate the
company would be raking in annual revenues of at least $10 million. Plus,
more
than 99% of the market would still be untapped.
Now
factor in merely mild growth. At a penetration of 0.2% of cars already
on the road plus just 0.2% of the new car market, annual unit sales could
end up being well above 1 million. Then we're looking at annual revenues
closer to $20 million, or more.
Compare
that to Battery Brain sales of $1.8 million in 2006. See the difference?
Not only is the potential for growth enormous, but when we start looking
at that kind of sales volume, we're also talking about seeing the company
move out of the red and into the black. While I've seen big revenue increases
boost stocks, I've seen stocks appreciate even more when a company swings
to a profit.
Timing
Is Half The Battle
Needless
to say, we like this opportunity quite a bit right now, but it's not just
because of the company's potential success - the chart looks ripe to
me as well.
First,
look at the support base around the 56 cent level. With only minor exceptions,
SMGY has been finding a floor there since March. I like to see stocks holding
their ground. In general, the longer a consolidation zone holds up, the
stronger it becomes. In the meantime, the few weeks worth of sideways movement
may be like the rubber band on a toy airplane - now fully wound up, this
thing could really take flight when it's finally released.
Second,
I like the volume pattern here. It seems like this stock has really found
a market in the last few months, which just so happens to coincide with
the introduction of the Battery Brain. True, volume has tapered off in
the last few weeks relative to the major wave of accumulation we saw between
October and January, but that's what I like - most everyone seems to
be hanging in there rather than making an exit. I'm guessing we'll
see another accumulation period push this stock upward once the next wave
of news starts to spread. I know I personally wouldn't want to miss an
event like that.
OK,
enough already - you know where I stand. Based on the potential upside
I've seen, I suggest a target of $1.75....200% above current trading levels
(and that may still be too conservative). The suggested stop level is 50
cents, where the 38.2% retracement level currently is.
I believe
the next few months could be a lot of fun for today's investors.
Smart
Energy Solutions Signs Distribution Agreement With Leading U.K. Distributor
- The Amethyst Group
POMPTON PLAINS,
N.J., May 30 / -- Smart Energy Solutions, inventor and manufacturer of
the innovative Battery Brain(TM) vehicle aftermarket device, announced
that it has finalized an agreement with the Amethyst Group, one of the
top 20 contract logistics providers in the U.K., to distribute Smart Energy
products throughout the U.K.
The Amethyst Group
has over 30 years warehousing and logistics experience in the auto industry.
As well as distributing its own aftermarket parts to the car and truck
industry it also provides full third party logistics services to a number
of major brands in the UK.
"Smart Energy
Solutions is pleased that the Amethyst Group has decided to become the
Battery Brain distributor in the U.K. and Ireland. They presently sell
and have established contacts in all the market segments that our Company
is servicing," stated Pete Mateja, CEO of Smart Energy Solutions. "They
have the infrastructure in place to quickly develop the market for Battery
Brain and provide us with a strong market presence."
"The Amethyst
Group is very pleased to be working with Smart Energy Solutions to distribute
the Battery Brain range of products in the UK. Battery Brain offers a fantastic
solution to a common problem, and the innovative features offered by this
product provide customers with peace of mind, as well as significant savings
in time and money. We look forward to presenting this exciting opportunity
to existing and new customers." David Smith Commercial Manager.
Battery Brain(TM)
is Smart Energy's flagship device that constantly monitors electrical discharge
of the battery for nearly all kinds of vehicles including autos, SUVs/trucks,
medium and heavy duty trucks, military, buses, RV's, boats, commercial
vehicles and personal watercraft. Should Battery Brain detect that the
battery is losing the required charge needed to start the vehicle's engine,
the device automatically disconnects the battery to preserve its starting
power. In addition, Battery Brain offers a built-in anti-theft feature
and will extend the life of the battery.
About Smart Energy
Solutions
Smart Energy Solutions,
Inc. (OTC Bulletin Board: SMGY - News; Berlin: UBM.BE - News; Frankfurt:
UBM.F - News) is the sole owner of the Battery Brain line of vehicle accessory
products. The company is headquartered in Pompton Plains, N.J., with operations
in Zhuhai, China, Milan, Italy, Moshav Beit-Nechemia, Israel, Petach Tikva,
Israel and Pompton Plains, NJ. Visit www.smgy.net.
About Amethyst
Group
Headquartered
in Tunbridge Wells, the Amethyst Group focuses on providing logistics for
automotive & machinery, toys and consumer products, and clothing and
fashion with particular emphasis on integrated e-fulfillment services.
The Trading Division sells commercial vehicle parts through a retail dealer
network as well as supplying the Ministry of Defence with parts to support
the Bedford vehicle fleet.
The Automotive
& Industrial Division is headquartered in Staplehurst, Kent concentrating
on the automotive and transport industries, MOD suppliers, industrial products
and manufacturing sectors.
Its warehouses
are mainly centrally located providing excellent locations for national
distribution, as well as southern locations ideal for their proximity to
Europe.
Forward-Looking
Statements:
Actual results
could differ materially from any forward-looking statements contained in
any Smart Energy Solutions press release. All statements made in this press
release are made as of the date of the release and could change due to
unknown risks and uncertainties. Source: Smart Energy Solutions, Inc.
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TGR Group, LLC
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San Diego, CA 92130
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TGR Group, LLC has been paid a fee
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