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VOLUME
06: ISSUE 41
The
Picture is Getting "Clearer"
We
featured Clearly Canadian (OTCBB:
CCBEF) back in January
of this year, well before it hit radar screens of the small cap investing
masses. Since then, shares of Clearly Canadian have appreciated over 20%.
Clearly a decent return compared to the averages, however, we're looking
for bigger and better things to surface in coming months from this unique
turnaround beverage story.
To
sit here and roll through what has been with a Company like Clearly doesn't
do much for me and likely wouldn't do much for you. Although it is a fairly
interesting story, the history of Clearly is not going to make us any money,
but speculating (and being right) on what transpires from here is how we
try and stay ahead of the pack and that's likely why you read this newsletter
anyway.
This
morning, the Company announced the "official launch" of its reformulated
sparkling flavored water product line (release below). Typically,
when we see and here pr with this kind of tone, we assume a Company has
put its ducks in a row and is now ready to go on a major offensive blitz.
In Clearly's case, if you've been following the story, it appears the Company
has successfully reorganized itself, implanted the right folks at the top
level, formulated their product strategy and brought on board a well renowned
marketing firm. Just maybe it's go time? As one of my funniest business
associate always says, "Duh".
The
Trend Is Your Friend
I believe
one of the most successful qualities to making better than average returns
in the market does not require rocket science like intelligence, it simply
requires good old- fashioned common sense. The Trend is your friend. Get
hold of this concept and you'll probably be way ahead of the rest. Just
like it's much easier to swim down stream (I have no idea why salmon make
it so tough on themselves) or to fly with the wind at your back, it's much
easier to make money in the market if you simply just go with the trend.
Identifying
trends early and going with them is a skill many of Wall Street's greatest
are so quick to shrug off. Why? Because that would be too easy. The
Street likes to make things sound overly sophisticated, and difficult to
understand, hence the old saying, "If you can't dazzle them with brilliance,
then baffle them with bull*#$!"
In
the best interest of avoiding digression, which it appears I've already
embraced, Clearly Canadian seems to be making the trend their friend, in
more ways than one. As today's teenagers like to call it, "old school"
is back. Music, clothes and much more from the 80's and 90's is making
a rapid resurgence, so what better than for Clearly to re-launch their
"old school" product line from the same time period, Clearly Canadian sparkling
flavored waters, f eaturing eye-catching graphics reminiscent of the product's
true heritage. Included will be two new zero calorie flavors, which once
again meets another ongoing trend demand, that of low calorie beverages.
With
various "water" type beverages rapidly becoming the beverage of choice
in America , we believe Clearly has clearly identified the trends and is
going with them. Sounds like a winner.
Beverage
Seal of Approval
Further
confirming our belief that Clearly is on track with its vision and strategy,
the Company's relaunched product line was recently the subject of review
by BevNET.com, an internationally recognized resource for beverage industry
professionals and consumers. Results
predict the Company's product line to be nothing short of a hit. BevNET
is quoted as saying, " Oh, how this brings back memories. One of our favorite
flavors of Clearly's original lineup, the 2006 rendition does not disappoint.
Using cane sugar, a beautiful glass bottle, and a great tasting blackberry
flavor, Clearly Canadian has created something that is a hybrid of super
premium CSD and new age. Technically, very well done... the question is,
does this product have a place in the market? We think so, and we believe
that consumers who are seeking a super premium alternative to mainstream
CSDs will agree." Seems we're not the only ones in favor of Clearly's new
product plans.
Whether
shares of Clearly can inevitably trade back to its all-time high of over
$250 a share back in October of 1991, who knows, but I think it's safe
to assume we're in the early stages of the game on Clearly, so we're extremely
optimistic as to what may be in store for Clearly shareholders in the months
ahead.
Clear
Sailing?
No
such thing in the market. But if shares of Clearly can do half of what
shares of Hansen's (NASDAQ:
HANS) have done in the last few years, then we're all going to look
like geniuses, right? What is so interesting about the Hansen's story is
their product was on the shelf years before the stock decided to go nuts.
Prior to the tremendous stock performance, most of us could find numerous
cans of Hansen's buried deep in the ice chests at those hot summer Fourth
of July parties. And, most all of us enjoyed the soda then, just as much
as we do now. Lesson? Go out to your favorite grocer and buy some Clearly
Canadian. You be the judge. If you love it, then I suggest you buy the
stock and sit on it.
Technically,
CCBEF shares hit a new 52-week high this morning of $2.88 on decent volume.
A clear break above the $2.87 level could send this stock on a whole new
leg up, which we previously pegged at $3.30 before running into any potential
resistance. After a nice April to mid May move, the stock backed off, thus
presenting an excellent entry for those who were looking to capitalize
on the next move up. So for the short-term traders, we like the prospects
of CCBEF, as the stock continues to inch its way up the charts. Entering
on pullbacks and selling into the rallies appears to be a theme that's
working right now. Stocks rarely go up in a straight line anyway, so a
little patience always goes a long way.
On
a long-term basis, we ultimately would consider CCBEF a huge winner if
it can trade to the 5/8-retreacement levels of the '02 - '05 sell off shown
in this weekly chart, which would be in the neighborhood of $6.26 a share.
For investors, I believe it's ludicrous to try and pinpoint perfect entry
points. If you like the story, and you like the prospects of a Company's
product, you simply consider how much you want to allocate toward a position
in the stock and do it.
CLEARLY
CANADIAN ANNOUNCES LAUNCH OF ITS REFORMULATED SPARKLING FLAVOURED WATERS;
NEW PRODUCT LINE-UP RECEIVES RAVE REVIEWS FROM INDUSTRY EXPERTS, INITIATES
RETURN TO HERITAGE OF EXTREMELY POPULAR BRAND
Tuesday May 30,
2:35 pm ET
VANCOUVER , British
Columbia-- (BUSINESS WIRE)-- May 30, 2006-- Clearly Canadian Beverage Corporation,
Vancouver , British Columbia (OTCBB:CCBEF - News) is pleased to announce
the launch of reformulated Clearly Canadian(R) sparkling flavoured water.
The new line-up is delivered in a clear, maple leaf embossed bottle; features
original, all natural, no preservative flavour formulas (offered in Cherry,
Blackberry, Raspberry and Strawberry); a new zero calorie flavour formula
(offered in Pink Grapefruit and Blueberry); and updated label graphics
reminiscent of the product's true heritage (which has sold over 2 billion
bottles).
Stated Brent Lokash,
President of Clearly Canadian, "Consumers have overwhelmingly missed the
original flavour formulas and familiar packaging, which propelled this
brand to the forefront of the alternative beverage category. In fact, the
industry has already recognized the strong appeal of Clearly Canadian returning
to its roots."
BevNET.com, an
internationally recognized resource for beverage industry professionals
and consumers, has given an extremely positive review of the new sparkling
flavoured waters. On the original flavour formulas, BevNet.com says, "Oh,
how this brings back memories...", and on the zero calorie formulas, proclaims,
"...the effervescent formulation (zero calorie) is among the best of what
we've seen in the diet category." Recognizing the product's place in the
market, BevNet.com asserts, "...we think Clearly Canadian has a real opportunity
with its revamped line-up...without a doubt the most appealing and timely
Clearly Canadian line-up yet."
"We are excited
about the relaunch of Clearly Canadian's sparkling flavoured waters and
the reviews the product is receiving," noted Sonia Manson, Marketing Manager
for Clearly Canadian. "We look forward to delivering our new product to
consumers through our current distribution network and through new sales
channels which we expect to open as a result of this relaunch."
About Clearly
Canadian
Based in Vancouver
, B.C., Clearly Canadian Beverage Corporation markets premium alternative
beverages and products, including Clearly Canadian(R) sparkling flavoured
water and Clearly Canadian O+2(R) oxygen enhanced water beverage which
are distributed in the United States , Canada and various other countries.
Since its inception, the Clearly Canadian brand has sold over 90 million
cases equating to over 2 billion bottles worldwide. Additional information
about Clearly Canadian may be obtained at http://www.clearly.ca.
CLEARLY CANADIAN
BEVERAGE CORPORATION
Brent Lokash,
President
Forward Looking
Statements
Statements in
this news release that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements
that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Words such as "expects", "intends",
"plans", "may", "could", "should", "anticipates", "likely", "believes",
"estimates", "potential", "predicts", "continue" and words of similar import
also identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are
based on current facts and analysis and other information that are based
on forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determined
and assumptions of management, including, but not limited to, the Company's
or other's belief that its new sparkling flavoured water lineup has an
opportunity to succeed in the marketplace and open up new sales and distribution
channels. These assumptions are subject to many risks, and actual results
may differ materially from those currently anticipated. These risks include,
by way of example and not in limitation, general economic conditions, changing
beverage consumption trends of consumers, the Company's ability to generate
sufficient cash flows to support general operating activities and capital
expansion plans, competition, pricing and availability of raw materials,
the Company's ability to maintain the current and future retail listings
for its beverage products and to maintain favourable supply, production
and distribution arrangements, laws and regulations and changes thereto
that may affect the way the Company's products are manufactured, distributed
and sold and other factors beyond the reasonable control of the Company.
Additional information on factors that may affect the business and financial
results of the Company can be found in filings of the Company with the
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and with the British Columbia and
Ontario Securities Commissions.
MULTIMEDIA AVAILABLE:
http://www.businesswire.com/cgi-bin/mmg.cgi?eid=5158415
For further
information
Clearly Canadian
Beverage Corporation, Shareholder Relations: Steve Cook, 1-800-983-0993,
investor@clearly.ca
---------------------------------------------------------------
Source: Clearly
Canadian Beverage Corporation
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Novelos
Update
Novelos
(OTCBB: NVLT) was
in the news Tuesday morning. The Company announced that it has finalized
a Special Protocol Assessment (SPA) with the Food and Drug Administration
(FDA) for a single pivotal Phase 3 trial in advanced non-small cell lung
cancer (NSCLC) for its lead product NOV-002 in combination with first-line
chemotherapy. Click
here to read the release in its entirety.
The
Company, which focuses on the development of therapeutics to treat cancer
and hepatitis, has been in the process of getting a Phase III clinical
trial go ahead from the FDA for its leading drug candidate, NOV-002. If
they can get the proverbial "nod" from the FDA, we'll likely start seeing
much more volatility in the stock. Until then, it appears to be a "hurry
up and wait" scenario.
Financially,
the Company appears to be in great shape with a recent $15 Million financing
via private placement back in March of this year. So in terms of moving
forward with their clinical trial plans, funding should not be an issue.
However, it appears the financing may have created some sell side pressure
in the stock. Novelos issued 11.5 Million shares of common at $1.35 per
share and some warrants to raise the $15 Million bucks. Not far from where
it currently trades. Guess the financiers may not have been in this stock
for the long-term.
Technically,
it's not easy to ignore NVLT shares' negative momentum of late. Where it
stops, is a whole different game in and of itself, however, traders may
have an opportunity here. If you've ever heard of a "wash and rinse" move
in the market, then you'll understand where I'm going with this. A wash
and rinse is the result, usually consisting of a couple of days in a daily
chart, whereby the market takes out all of the weak hands in a stock in
one big sweeping move, closes back up where it started, then rallies ahead
leaving everyone behind wondering what happened. Hence, wash and rinse.
I bring
this up because in looking at this daily
chart of NVLT, one can see the wash half of the equation taking place
today, but it does not to necessarily suggest that this is what NVLT is
going to do. The stock made a big down move this morning on good volume.
In order to confirm our wash and rinse pattern, we need to see it close
roughly around where it opened and get some follow through to the upside
over the next couple of days. Bottom line; watch what shares of NVLT do
tomorrow and the day after. That will likely tell a trader if there exists
a tradable rally.
If
you're a trader, keep an eye out for the "wash and rinse" pattern in any
stock or market, and you may very well be identifying a great entry point.
As
for investors of NVLT, we've been covering this stock for a while. At this
point, investors should reevaluate their risk/reward tolerance and apply
it to their own individual buying or selling strategy accordingly. If you
can't stomach the risk associated with a stock like NVLT right now, then
you best get out. Not every micro or small cap is going to work. Having
a little left for another idea is far better than having nothing left for
an idea. Profound, eh?
For
the record, we still really believe in the potential product prospects
Novelo's brings to the table, regardless of its share price at this point.
If it weren't for that, we'd have given up on this idea a while ago because
the selling pressure of late is definitely no vote of confidence.
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price of $2, currently convertible into restricted shares of Clearly Canadian,
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