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VOLUME
05: ISSUE 52
Feature:
Eden Screams. Xtreme's Tide Ready to Rise.
Although
different types of companies, we feel that both of these stocks deserve
your focused attention. Let's begin with a technical look at the very undervalued
recreational/Homeland Security watercraft concern Xtreme (OTCBB:
XTME). Following, we will have a look at the recent very compelling
trading action on elephant oil explorer Eden Energy (OTCBB:
EDNE).
XTME made a new 52-week low Thursday,
which is interesting because the theme of the markets lately has been that
many stocks make new long term up moves after creating a new low. All the
weak hands get cleaned out on the new low then up they go. We feel that
that scenario could well play out--and soon--for Xtreme shares.
Technically,
XTME stock is way oversold, so we feel strongly that the risk/reward at
these levels is very good. Accumulation is suggested for risk-oriented
investors.
Over and above the fact that the
company continues to market and sell its security/patrol boats, recreational
boating season is upon us. Those sales will likely show up in the fall/winter
quarters. Needless to say, investors will want to get ahead of those announcements.
With the shares trading at around 15 cents, even a small flurry of news
could well move the stock significantly higher.
By my calculations, XTME has sold
in excess of $1.5 million of Challenger boats since March/April, both to
dealers and individuals. Do the math. The company's current market cap
is a mere $2.5 million. While still in its formative stage, XTME has made
amazing progress in the last few months; signing dealers, selling boats
and securing a foreign reseller in Turkey for its security/patrol watercraft.
We are confident that new dealer
signups will continue as well as more boat sales--both to the recreational
and Homeland Security sectors. While the stock has seemingly fallen off
of investors' radar screens, we feel that this price weakness represents
a significant opportunity both for a decent short-term trade as well as
to begin or continue to accumulate the core of a cheap, long-term position.
For a bit of fun--and significant
free marketing--Xtreme's Challenger boats will be featured in an upcoming
episode of TLC's 'Town Haul' in the company's hometown of Washington Missouri.
The makeover show has a large following and should be a great showcase
for the boats, which will be used to transport the show's crew on the river.
Challenger boats also took the win
at the recent Offshore Class Marathon in Florida, broadcast on FOX sports
in late June. The crew has their sites set on winning the World Championships
later this year.
Win on Sunday; buy on Monday. Works
for NASCAR... And likely for those investors who take early advantage of
XTME's current oversold share price.
Get some Xtreme on board. We feel
that the tide will rise for this unique company--and soon.
Eden
Energy: 'Oil' cylinders firing.
We
first Alerted the readership to the massive potential of Eden Energy (OTCBB:
EDNE) on April
26th at $2.80. That piece is a good overview/background of the
company and it's potential. We followed the shares down and suggested buying
on dips at the $2.50-$2.55 level and subsequently at the $3 price. As well,
we have frequently updated the company on the SCBLOG.
Apparently we were more prescient than we knew, as the daily share volume
increased dramatically doing well over a million shares in several recent
sessions. The shares closed Thursday at $3.32 or a quick 18 percent return
from our $2.80 price. Buying on recent dips would have nicely enhanced
that return.
We think that there's way more to
come for Eden. The shares opened at $3.38 on Friday.
EDNE
chart obviously looks very good. While the stock is in uncharted waters--hitting
new highs on above average volume--there are no significant signs of the
shares breaking down as of yet. All of our trend indicators remain positive.
We will continue to advise if the stock shows any technical signs of a
reversal; the first sign of which would be big volume on down daily closes.
A down tick on a volatile day with big volume may signify a short-term
top. We see no apparent signs of that eventuality as yet.
For risk- oriented investors,
especially those familiar with this type of 'elephant-potential' exploration
play, we suggest continuing to accumulate shares and buying on dips.
We imagine that other finds and activity in the area will continue to impact
positively on Eden's share price even prior to the beginning of the company's
own drilling program slated for this fall.
Eden has 211,000 acres in eastern
Nevada--the largest target in the Great Basin, so far--that it has dubbed
the Noah Project. It has also leased a further 50,000 acres in the Great
Basin of Nevada, although the exact location has not been declared-- obviously
for competitive reasons. We suspect the company may well also be looking
at other strategic leasing opportunities.
Given all the recent attention and
rising potential for this previously ignored area, courtesy of big finds
such as Wolverine Gas and Oil's in western Utah and activity by others,
I have to surmise that the value of Eden's Noah Project leases acquired
between August and December 2004 could well have already risen significantly.
I am supposing as I don't actually know the price per acre, but given the
growing attention to the area, it would simply make sense.
Oil is the global currency of the
moment--and likely for the foreseeable future. With the potential for Eden
to find multiple billions of barrels in the Great Basin of Nevada at Noah
and elsewhere, the risk/reward parameters look more and more compelling.
Will the shares be volatile? Sure. As we've said, this is a standup exploration
play. Does Eden represent one of if not the best exploration in the area?
We're thinking yes, both for the macro economic reasons, which we have
espoused frequently, as well as the rising interest, activity and potential
in an area where Eden appears to have both the largest and likely the best
target(s).
One or both of these stocks may appeal.
The linking factor is that both appear to have great potential, albeit
for different reasons. A good look at each is warranted in our opinion,
depending on your investment style.
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