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VOLUME 07: ISSUE 38
Feature:
Phinder Today May Prove Prudent Tomorrow
Company
Name:
Phinder
Technologies , Inc.
Stock
Symbol :
PHDT
Coverage
Initiated:
April
11, 2007
Current
Price:
$0.25
Average
Volume:
133,100
52
Week Range:
$0.11
- $0.34
Suggested
Target:
$1.25
Suggested
Stop:
$0.14
Though
only a few days removed from our last small cap pick, we don't want to
wait another minute to share what we think is another stock with
monster-sized potential for gains. As a reminder, the suggestion from last
weekend was MIV Therapeutics (OTCBB:
MIVT), which is already up more than 18% in just a little over two
trading days. Better yet, today's idea looks to us like it has just as
much untapped upside as any of our recent suggestions.
So
what do we think is likely to be the next big winner in our hot streak?
We're
convinced Phinder Technologies (OTCBB:
PHDT) is the right answer. After all, the company seems to have
mastered the art of growth. Revenue for their quarter ending on December
31st, 2006 was merely 88% better than the same quarter a year earlier.
Better yet, for the nine months ended on 12/31/06, Phinder is 180% ahead
of the same period for fiscal 2006 (they ended their fiscal 2007 on
March 31st).
And
believe it or not, Phinder may have yet to actually hit the 'explosive'
portion of its next growth phase. Like MCI and Sprint were in the right
place at the right time when deregulation derailed telecom giant AT&T
in 1984 (which eventually meant huge rewards for the investors in both
of the upstart long-distance providers), it appears Phinder is in its own
right place and right time. We think the 'right time' is 2007, and the
'right place' is the red-hot Latin American telecom market.
We
suspect you'll want to get in on the action by scooping up some shares
today before the rest of the market uncovers this fast-growing venture.
Three's
Company Too
Though
we all probably heard "two's company, three's a crowd" growing up, the
popular late 70's/early 80's sit-com 'Three's Company' may have
trumped the old cliché by reminding us with its theme song that
"three's company too".
What
in the world has that got to do with Phinder (which is pronounced 'finder',
by the way)? We think if you only remember one thing about the PHDT opportunity,
then you should understand the company has three ways to reward its
investors. In a nutshell, Phinder Technologies Inc. is a wholesale
VOIP provider of telecommunications (voice) services, specializing in international
connections. For the time being, the crux of their focus is on the fast-growing
Latin American market.
Check
out Phinder's three-legged revenue stool.....
International
Long-Distance Services: The most straight-forward profit center, Phinder
- operating under the name 'Zupintra' - originates international
connections for the major carrier's customers.
'Local'
Phone Company Licensing: Quite literally, Zupintra can set up shop
overseas and become the infrastructure for other carriers within that country
or region. The license would include things like calling cards, IPTV, cell
phone service, etc.
Retail
Products (Primarily Pre-Paid Calling Cards): This is a hot business
everywhere, but it's particularly lucrative in Latin American markets where
phones are relatively scarce, and a calling card may be the only viable
option.
Nice,
but connect the dots with us here.....the better one leg does, the
better another is likely to do. Phinder has a presence in the 'originating'
market by providing the communication service in the first place - a service
which of course collects a portion of the per-minute usage charges. The
'local' phone companies Phinder intends to build in Latin American markets
will serve as a connection 'termination'. The termination carrier also
receives a portion of the per-minute long-distance charge, not to mention
the fees it will be able to collect by acting as an intra-network carrier.
Oh
- and as it just so happens, through its Zupintra subsidiary, Phinder
can provide its customers with pre-paid calling cards to use those same
origination and termination lines, again collecting (or should we say keeping?)
a piece of the per-minute charge.
In
a word, cha-ching! Phinder can literally be the front-end, the back-end,
and the middle-man as well, providing multiple ways to reap rewards
for its stockholders.
Needless
to say, when we started studying the Phinder profit machine in that light,
we were hooked on the idea of PHDT being a brilliant investment. Then -
as
if that weren't enough - we started looking at the company's historical
growth patterns. Wow! Read on.
Growth
with a Capital 'G'
So,
what do we think PHDT shares could be worth in the foreseeable future?
Like we said above, the company may be on the verge unprecedented growth
rates, which makes it tough to compare apples to apples. However, our digging
did turn up some very impressive data.
The
company-wide growth trend has been very positive. They pulled in $8.2 million
(Canadian) through the first nine months of last fiscal year (their full
fiscal year ended on 3/31), versus just $2.9 million for the same period
a year earlier. Better still, in Q3 alone (which ended on 12/31), Phinder
raked in $3.2 million, topping the previous Q3's total of $1.7 million.
And that $3.2 million from last quarter? It almost rivals the prior fiscal
year's $5 million in total revenue. The point is, Phinder has more
than proven to us they know how to grow a business.
Now,
fast forward to today. Sensing where the major opportunity is for future
growth, Phinder has turned its focus solely on the telecom side of their
business. And if you thought their history was impressive, wait until you
get a load of the potential they see in store now that the Latin American
business potential has been fully sized up.
So
what kind of dollars might be in store? We'll answer the question, but
we also want to preface it with this....the telecom enterprise is still
very young, meaning there's phenomenal room for growth - of the
'explosive' variety like we mentioned earlier.
Though
it's only our estimate for now, we wouldn't be surprised to see the telecom
venture soon generating about $30 million in revenue per year. That would
mean roughly $2.5 million per month. Sound crazy? Maybe a little at first,
but the thing to keep in mind is simply that all the pieces are really
just
now falling into place. Plus, we can't stress enough how big we
think the opportunity in Latin American could be. We have to believe
the best is yet to come, especially in light of Phinder's penchant for
incredible growth.
Throwing
Your Hat In The Ring
Based
on what we've seen so far, we wouldn't be surprised to see a quadruple
in the stock's current level of 25 cents. So, our suggested target is going
to start out at $1.25....a 400% gain from where we are now. Let's go with
a suggested stop of 14 cents, just a hair under last month's low.
Where'd
we get $1.25 cents? Though the company doesn't release revenue forecasts,
here's a model we think could help provide some perspective on how we view
stock's upside potential....
With
about 70 million issued and outstanding shares, the market cap is around
$17.7 million when shares are trading at 25 cents - as they are right
now. That hypothetical revenue of roughly $30 million (or so) we discussed
above loosely translates into about 42 cents worth of revenue per share,
and a price-to-sales ratio of about 0.6 (six tenths).
The
thing is, a price/sales ratio of 3.0 (or even more) is closer to the 'norm'.
See how the math is working? A more typical price/sales ratio of 3.0 for
Phinder - based on our own guess-timate - would mean a share price
closer to five times the current level...or about $1.25.
Perhaps
even more telling is the recent high-volume surge to the 25 cent level.
In fact, the prior three days' worth of volume is the strongest accumulation
we've seen in over a year. When we see this kind of sudden interest,
we have to think other investors are finally starting to see the positives
we already see. And as you may well know, often when demand is sparked,
a snowball effect could create a massive rally. The question is, would
you rather be early or late to any party?
As
always though, we don't think it pays to get too bogged down in
the math or by the chart. The point we're trying to make is simply how
we feel PHDT are currently undervalued relative to the kind of potential
the company is facing, while the chart looks like it's ready pop. In our
opinion, Phinder's potential upside compared to any downside easily
makes it worth becoming an owner today.
We
Value Your Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Email
the Editor
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
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The Small Cap
Network, its website and email newsletter (hereafter, cumulatively referred
to as "SCN") , is an independent electronic publication committed to providing
its readers with factual information on select publicly traded companies.
SCN is owned and operated by TGR Group, LLC ("TGR"). All companies are
chosen on the basis of certain financial analysis and other pertinent criteria
with a view toward maximizing the upside potential for investors while
minimizing the downside risk, whenever possible. Moreover, as detailed
below, TGR accepts compensation from third party consultants and/or companies,
which it features in the publication and circulation of SCN. To the degrees
enumerated herein, SCN should not be regarded as an independent publication.
Click
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From March of 2005 through July of
2006, TGR Group LLC was paid a fee of $40,000 by MIV Therapeutics for coverage
of the company. In addition, TGR Group LLC was also awarded 272,000 warrants
with an exercise price of $.26 by Trilogy Capital Partners for coverage
of MIV Therapeutics. All of the aforementioned warrants have been exercised
and shares have been sold in the open market. On April 3rd of 2007, MIV
Therapeutics renewed coverage and paid TGR Group, LLC $30,000 in cash and
100,000 warrants, convertible into restricted shares at $.50. In addition,
TGR Group has been awarded 190,000 warrants, convertible at $.50 into free
trading shares, by Trilogy Capital Partners for coverage of the company.
TGR Group, LLC has been paid a fee
of $30,000 cash and 1,000,000 shares of newly issued restricted stock by
Phinder Technologies, Inc. for coverage of the Company.
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