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VOLUME
04: ISSUE 74
Feature:
Martha embraces reality. Superclick takes the Caribbean.
There
will be at least one person waiting for Martha Stewart (NYSE:
MSO) when she gets out of jail early next year--Survivor producer
Mark Burnett, arguably the king--or at least the Aaron Spelling-- of reality
TV.
On the news that MSO and Burnett
had a deal to develop TV properties either prior to, or upon the domestic
diva's release, the shares of Martha's company hit $17.75 on Thursday.
As
the shares have surpassed their 52-week high of $17, I'd be inclined
to take the opportunity to sell out at these levels--at least above $16.
Could the shares go higher? Sure, even turkeys fly in a whirlwind. Can
they go lower once the fundamental reality (no pun) sets in? That's likely
a more realistic scenario.
Over
and above my feeling that reality TV may be close to the end of the road,
Martha's demographic doesn't seem the type to embrace the genre. I could
well be wrong, but as we have been suggesting that investors take a position
in the shares since January in the $9-$11 range, I believe that taking
roughly a 50-70 percent return in a scant few months--given all the crosscurrents
around Martha and her company-- just makes sense. Besides, those investors
who shorted MSO to profit from Martha's travails will eventually--read soon--
run out of stock to cover.
Easy money's been made
More importantly, MSO could have
a rough few months, fundamentally, as it tries to revive all things Martha,
without Martha. Prison has a habit of changing people--even her diva-ness.
Her personal and professional perspectives may completely change following
her incarceration.
The cadre of analysts who follow
MSO, although small in number, have reduced their projected numbers for
2005, drastically. In July, revenue projections for fiscal 2005 were $210
million. Now, $169 million. Projected fiscal 2005 earnings in July were
for a positive 3 cents a share-- now that number is more than a 40- cent-plus
loss. Sequentially, cash on hand has fallen from $166 million to under
$120 million. Granted, the company still has no appreciable debt, but the
fundamentals have deteriorated markedly.
The faithful will never sell, but
if you were in MSO to make a quick turn, that time has arrived--about 12
months early.
The recent rise in MSO shares has
more the appearance of a relief rally and rabid short covering that a fundamental
turnaround. That will come in the future, but likely from lower price levels
than this current inflated run-up.
That eventuality will undoubtedly
occur once the true reality (again, no pun), Mark Burnett notwithstanding,
sets in.
Superclick
wires the Caribbean
If you're planning to stay in one of
the 1200-plus rooms of the Westin and Sheraton Our Lucaya Resort in Freeport,
Bahamas, your Internet connection will be courtesy of Superclick (OTCBB:
SPCK). (Release below)
This deal is the first in a salvo
by the company to target the Caribbean; a huge vacation destination with
future projected annual double-digit growth in tourist visits.
The
Caribbean is the most tourist intensive region in the world. This installation
evidences that recreational, as well as business travelers are demanding
Internet access from their hotels of choice. The properties have little
choice than to comply, and, once again, Superclick has demonstrated it
has the right solutions to meet the demand, both from an ease of use and
cost effectiveness perspective.
For
now, the shares remain stuck in a tight trading range between 70-80 cents.
Recent announcements, including increased revenue guidance for the fiscal
2004 have brought in more investors, although the volume remains light.
Investors should use the opportunity
to continue or begin to accumulate Superclick shares at these levels.
Although still in its formative stage, we believe the wider investment
community will recognize the past progress as well as the exciting future
prospects of the company, soon.
This Grand Bahamas property is owned
by hotel leviathan Hutchison Whampoa of Hong Kong, a mere $30 billion global
empire. Not a bad group to expose your technology to.
Over and above the obvious revenue
generation for Lucaya from Superclick's Internet Management System
(SIMS?), the telecommunications savings for the property will likely be
$100,000 annually. And as we all know, overhead savings go right to profitability.
Color
me confused, again.
I am quite baffled at the fact that
SPCK's shares haven't increased more than they have--our initial alert was
at 46 cents in February. From doing revenues of around $630,000 for all
of fiscal 2003, the company expects to report around $2.5 million in revenues
this year and, we believe, has great growth prospects for 2005.
Hardly a week goes by that the company
doesn't have some material news that either puts its products even further
ahead of the competition or significantly adds to its revenue potential.
The market also doesn't seem to have
put much value on the nifty Verizon (NYSE:
VZ) association as yet, either. I believe we are on the threshold
of realizing all of these things, not to mention future prospects that
will propel the company and the share price. Waiting for a few months may
well be too late--or at least not as profitable.
In the third quarter, recently announced,
the company booked revenues of $804,000--25 percent higher than all of fiscal
2003. Margins are approaching the 50 percent range. You can get more detail
in our September
13th piece.
Have a hard look at Superclick. We
feel that it deserves significantly more investor attention.
PRESS RELEASE
SUPERCLICK ENTERS CARIBBEAN MARKET
WITH SIGNIFICANT INSTALLATION
LAGUNA HILLS, Calif.,
Sept. 23, 2004 (PRIMEZONE via COMTEX) -- Superclick, Inc. (OTCBB:SPCK)
today announced its plans to target the Caribbean hospitality market, which
is the most tourism-intensive region in the world. According to data from
Smith Travel Research, financial performance of Caribbean hotels has picked
up strongly since 2003, and industry analysts contend that the future continues
to look bright with a double-digit increase in arrivals. Consequently,
hoteliers are moving to adopt and upgrade their Internet services infrastructure
to address the growing demand by guests for reliable and easy-to-use Internet
access.
Sandro Natale, VP of
Business Development, commented that "the success we have had at the Westin
& Sheraton Our Lucaya Resort has validated the SIMS? value proposition
to the Caribbean marketplace. SIMS? is generating on average about $100,000
per year in telecommunications savings and putting the property on a much
faster track to ROI its Internet infrastructure, which includes SIMS high-speed
wired and wireless (Wi-Fi), as well as dial-up service capabilities." Located
in Freeport, Grand Bahamas, the property is owned by Hutchinson Hutchinson
Holdings (HPH), a subsidiary of $30-billion Hutchinson Whampoa of Hong
Kong and operated by Starwood Hotels and Resorts.
The Superclick Internet
Management System (SIMS?) is ideally suited to address this growing marketplace,
providing Caribbean hoteliers with substantial long-distance telecommunications
savings on both modem-driven Internet traffic as well as eliminating long-distance
call charge backs for customer support via its point-to-point voice over
Internet protocol (VoIP) application. In addition, with packet shaping
capabilities, the SIMS? platform provides the network efficiency required
to effectively manage bandwidth-driven ISP costs, which are typically exacerbated
by P2P applications.
About Superclick, Inc.
Superclick, Inc. (OTCBB:SPCK),
through its wholly owned, Montreal-based subsidiary Superclick Networks,
Inc., develops, manufactures, markets and supports the Superclick Internet
Management System (SIMS(tm)) in worldwide hospitality, multi-tenant unit
(MTU) and university markets. Superclick provides hotels, MTU residences
and universities with cost-effective Internet access utilizing high-speed
DSL, CAT5 wiring, wireless and dial-up modem technologies. Superclick's
proprietary technology converts dial-up analog Internet calls to digital
access, improves connection speeds, unclogs local trunks, consolidates
Internet traffic, supports flexible billing and provides targeted advertising
to end-users. Current clients include MTU residences and Crowne Plaza(r),
Four Points by Sheraton(r), InterContinental Hotels Group PLC, Hilton(r),
Holiday Inn(r), Holiday Inn Express(r), Hampton Inn(r), Marriott(r), Novotel(r),
Radisson(r), Sheraton(r), Westin(r) and Wyndham(r) hotels in Canada and
the United States.
Safe Harbor Statement
Statements in this press
release that are not statements of historical or current fact constitute
"forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements involve
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other unknown factors that could
cause the actual results of the Company to be materially different from
the historical results or from any future results expressed or implied
by such forward-looking statements. In addition to statements which explicitly
describe such risks and uncertainties, readers are urged to consider statements
with the terms "believes," "belief," "expects," "intends," "anticipates,"
"will" or "plans" to be uncertain and forward-looking. The forward-looking
statements contained herein are also subject generally to other risks and
uncertainties that are described from time to time in the Company's reports
and registration statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
SOURCE: Superclick, Inc.
By Staff
CONTACT: Superclick,
Inc.
John Bevilacqua
Investor Relations
(866) 405-3959
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