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VOLUME 07 : ISSUE 87
Two
For One
We've
got two for one today...two (and almost three) items to examine with just
one newsletter. First up, BioCurex is making major progress towards
the monetization of their cancer test research. Then we'll take a look
at why our Overstock.com pick from a
little over a week ago may be off to such a great start.
(Normally
we'd hone in on one idea, but I think they're both worth highlighting today.
In fact, I think I might start doing multiple - and shorter -takes in all
of our newsltters. There's a whole stock market out there to take advantage
of, and I want to make sure we're maximizing the help we can offer to our
readers.)
The
News Already Predicted By BioCurex's Chart
Well,
the recent strength from BioCurex (OTCBB:
BOCX) shares all makes sense now. This small cap stock flew from
46 cents to 77 cents over the last six weeks - a 67% move - on rising
volume. We speculated that they were going to announce some good progress
with the next phase of their cancer detection test, and it looks like we
were right. In the same impressive fashion the RECAF test accurately detected
the presence of prostate, stomach, colon, cervical, breast, and lung cancer,
now
a rapid (in-office) RECAF test has been shown to spot ovarian cancer with
88% specificity.
If
at all rings a bell, it's because we've talked about the possibility
before. We
first mentioned BioCurex was working on a rapid point-of-care test
(a device much like a home pregnancy test) back in June.
The
attraction to point-of-care cancer detection is straight-forward...a
doctor can screen for cancer in his or her office and get results in a
matter of minutes. The alternative is sending samples to a lab, which
is more costly, and painfully slow. The best part for BioCurex investors
is, there's nothing else like it even on the drawing boards.
And
sure enough, the results of the study are being presented at the International
Society for Oncodevelopmental Biology and Medicine (ISOBM) conference,
going on now. We
blogged that possibility on September 4th.
It's
certainly exciting for the company and its investors, but I believe there's
more to the story than the press release explains. The RECAF marker -
the technology behind all of BioCurex's research so far - has been
shown to work well in multiple formats (blood, serum, tissue samples, and
now the rapid test), for multiple cancers (listed above), and do so consistently.
How
so? It's 88% specific for ovarian cancer when used in a point-of-care
test, 90% accurate with prostate cancer is a serum format, 92% accurate
for cervical cancer, and so on.
I just
see so much potential for RECAF. It's not an expensive technology to utilize
(margins
could be huge), and it's obviously accurate. And now, it's being successfully
used in a practical sense.
Where's
it going next? The ultimate goal is to use the RECAF technology as
a way to deliver medicine specifically to cancerous cells. Can that
be done? Go back to the success rates and flexibility of what's been done
so far...it sure looks it knows how to find cancer cells and avoid non-cancerous
ones. It seems to me that's half the battle.
Here's
the best part though...in the meantime, RECAF clearly has potential as
a cancer test/marker. Though the drug-delivery version may be years off,
the
cancer test version of the RECAF technology may be producing revenue before
most investors realize it could. Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:
ABT) is already on board as a licensee for the blood test. Yet,
the deal is non-exclusive - and other licensees could be added to help
market other RECAF-based rapid diagnostics.
The
market seems to be responding to the possibility in a highly-positive fashion,
pushing BOCX up to new year-to-date highs. And this all happened before
the news was released - this stock could go ballistic now that the
news is officially publicized.
The
bottom line is, we think BioCurex has made continued progress towards their
goal, and it looks like the stock is reflecting that. The risk we run is
a 'buy the rumor - sell the news' mentality, but I don't see that happening.
Fortunately, we'll know for sure within a matter of minutes. Here's
a link to the press release.
Who
Woulda' Thought?
When
we
suggested Overstock.com (NASDAQ:
OSTK) as a trading idea a little more than a week ago, we had no
idea this little Internet stock would so quickly take flight. Since
the 7th of September, OSTK shares have gained 7.3%. Moreover, this
stock seems to still be gaining momentum.
If
you didn't take the plunge, don't sweat it - we believe this stock
still has a ton of potential from here. We modestly set our target at $30.20,
which would be only about a 32.4% gain from our pick price of $22.80. However,
having traded in the high $70's in late 2004, we wouldn't be a bit surprised
to see OSTK get well past the $30's and closer to the 70's again within
a few months, if not weeks. (As such, don't be shocked if we cancel
the target later and just let it run.)
The
trick at this point is timing. We've seen six straight days of gains from
Overstock, which may even be pushing the limits of the strongest of stocks.
Though we expect more of the same here, a pullback to the 20 day moving
average (currently at $22.70) might actually be something healthy -
and an entry opportunity.
If
for some reason that small correction never materializes, then the ball's
in your court. Just keep in mind we've got a handful of trading ideas scheduled
for the next few weeks, so you're not going to miss out on much if you
didn't grab this one (see below).
I also
think it's worth mentioning birds of a feather flock together. In other
words, Overstock isn't the only Internet stock on a roll. The
Merrill Lynch Internet HOLDR's (AMEX:
HHH) exchange-traded-fund has also been on the move - since July
of 2006. How strong have they been? Try a 32.5% gain over the last
twelve months. That didn't create any overnight millionaires, but it sure
beats the heck out of the S&P 500's 14.1% during that time.
If
Overstock isn't quite your bag but ETF's are, I'd recommend taking a look
at HHH. It's easy to own, and last month's pullback to the 200 day line
could mean they're still a bargain.
Don't
Forget
Don't
forget to keep your eyes peeled for Friday's edition. Tie a string around
your finger if you need to.
We
sent a detailed-yet-non-specific newsletter about this company on Sunday
explaining the philosophy and basis for our excitement. On Friday though,
we're going to start naming names. You may want to keep some capital ear-marked
if you like this stock as much as we do. (And if you missed Sunday's newsletter,
be sure to click
here.)
We
Value Your Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Email
the Editor
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
What
You Missed In The Blog...
If
you didn't get a chance to visit the site on Monday, you missed two good
blog entries.
One
was our point of view on the Federal Reserve and the current rate cut argument.
Click
here to read it.
The
other was an observation that gold looks like it's perking up again. We
supplied a detailed looks at gold's chart and talked about an equivalent
ETF. If you want to see the whole entry in its entirety, click
here.
Zupintra
(ZUPC) Letters of Credit Delayed
This
micro cap stock seemed to have so much potential when we first introduced
it as a trading idea a few months ago. Now, however, Zupintra Corporation
(OTCBB: ZUPC) seems
to be on hold for what looks like could be indefinitely.
The
small telecom outfit was planning on generating revenue by September, once
they started providing termination services in South America for the major
telecom carriers...but they need letters of credit to offer the service
(a quirky telecom requirement). Unfortunately, those letters of credit
are still nowhere in site. And, according to the company's most
recent press release, there's not even an estimate about when they'll
be ready.
As
far as we're concerned, this doesn't change our take on Zupintra. We put
the stock on the shelf a while back when it first become clear there was
going to be a delay in getting this piece of the puzzle in place...a decision
equally supported by a deteriorating stock that has long since fallen under
our suggested exit level.
Our
last opinion was 'show me'. Meaning what? We're willing to keep the
company on the radar, but after too many delays and broken promises, we're
only going to respond to proof that they can do what they say they can.
To do that, they need (aside from the letters of credit) to start generating
revenue. If that starts to happen, then we'll discuss the possibility of
ZUPC being a solid small cap stock idea. Until that time though, we're
not going to give them the benefit of the doubt.
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SCN is owned and operated by TGR Group, LLC ("TGR"). All companies are
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TGR Group, LLC has been paid a fee
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