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VOLUME
03: ISSUE 04
CYA--Covering
your assets.
There's no reason to be a hero in
this market. Full or partial hedges may make sense. Not to mention snapping
up some incremental income to enhance the return on long-term positions.
Last week we talked about how to
cover your assets by purchasing put options. With the oil sector roiling
around, protecting the majority of the downside risk makes sense, but there
are other ways to hedge risk, although not as definitive.
First, a word about option premiums:
the more volatile an underlying security or commodity, the higher the premium
(or price) of an option. Each stock has a beta, which is the number assigned
to give investors a snapshot of how its movement relates to the market
as a whole. For instance if the market has a beta of 1, a stock may have
a number lower or higher than that depending on its trading activity. Shell
(SC: NYSE), our example from last week, has a beta of .85 while Microsoft
(MSFT: NASDAQ) chimes in with a 1.75. Obviously the expectations of Microsoft
moving sharply one way or another is roughly twice that of Shell. Ergo,
of the two, MSFT would have the significantly higher option premiums.
Go
ahead, Call me
To add incremental income to a position,
an investor may decide to sell call options (also know as writing an option)
against a stock position. If we use, say, 1000 shares of Shell in our example,
an investor may wish to sell 10 August 40 calls (trading at 60 cents) against
that holding. By doing this, the investor is telling the buyer of those
calls that s(he) will sell Shell at $40 until the options' expiry date
in August. Shell shares currently trade at $34.65.
For assuming that obligation, the
holder of the stock receives 60 cents a share or $600, which is the option
seller's to keep no matter what. If Shell is trading under $40 come August,
the holder will likely retain the shares since there is not much point
in the call buyer taking them at $40.
If, however, the shares are above
$40 during the life of the options and the call buyer exercises, the stockholder
is obligated to sell at $40. So, when the shares are delivered at $40,
the seller gets that $40 a share and keeps the 60 cents as well. The sale
price, before commissions, would be $40.60 or a 16 percent return on the
position if the shares were originally purchased at around $35-more if
the shares were purchased lower.
If the shares were to go to $50 prior
to the August expiry, the holder is obligated to sell at $40, painful as
it may be.
Second verse, same as the first
Selling options against a position
has been likened to mortgaging one's upside potential. True enough, but
an investor can mitigate that risk by not selling options on an entire
stock position. That way, although some would sell at $40, the balance
would participate in further upside. While 60 cents a share isn't much,
view it as a dividend enhancement. If you happen to lose the shares at
$40, it's a decent return nonetheless-16 percent (before commissions) in
6 months. And should that August option expire because Shell hasn't risen
above $40 in the interim, you can repeat the process.
Covered Call writing is useful and,
given what the market's done over the last couple of years could have mitigated
some portfolio damage. What it won't do, however, is provide the same level
of protection and retention of upside potential that the 'insurance put'
purchase will do. With covered call writing, you may lose the shares before
you want to if the stock moves up. If Shell goes south, that 60 cents worth
of option premium won't afford much protection on the downside. If the
shares drop to $25, you're in for pretty much the full ride.
Boring markets are good.
The best type of market in which
to do covered call writing looks and smells much like the market we're
in now-range-bound and with a bias to going nowhere. The only caveat is
that it's bound to break one way or the other-likely due to geopolitical
considerations-and the trick is to protect yourself without giving away
your upside should the market pop. Perhaps, on that 1000 shares of Shell,
one could buy 5 August 30 puts and sell 5 August 40 calls. That way, you'd
have some downside protection and the cost of the puts would be offset
by the call sale. If the shares rocket, you'll lose one-half of your position
at $40, but you'll still have half left to ride the bull.
Options can be complex and they move
quickly. But once you understand the applications, they can be useful vehicles
to reduce risk-or even take a calculated risk. In the case of covered call
writing they can provide some incremental income on static positions while
we wait for better markets.
The key to a successful option strategy
is a balance between having an opinion on a stock and acting accordingly.
Then be ready to make adjustments as the situation unfolds.
Good luck.
D I S C
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