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VOLUME
05: ISSUE 80
Feature:
Xtreme Impresses. Volatility of Eden.
We
last visited with Xtreme (OTCBB:
XTME) on September
26th, when the shares were 14 cents. The shares hit 20 cents in
the interim, closing at 18 cents on Friday. Volumes have picked up nicely
and the shares continue to appear poised for a decent upside move.
If
you need more evidence of Xtreme's growth and progress, consider these
substantive happenings just since late September 2005:
International Patrol/Security craft
sale to Taiwanese government
Xtreme awarded Fire/Rescue Boat order
from Philadelphia PD.
Seasoned, veteran Production Manager
hired. Production doubled since July to address increased order flow.
Acquired worldwide license to manufacture
and market the Avenger line of security/patrol watercraft to augment current
offerings.
Announced a large $630,000 Challenger
boat order from Lifeline Marine
Press Release details can be perused
here: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/h?s=XTME.OB
We continue to be impressed with
the progress and potential of Xtreme. Accumulation of the shares at these
levels is strongly suggested.
Over the last 3 weeks daily volumes
have taken a marked turn higher. On several days, the daily volume has
approached or surpassed 200,000 shares. In our opinion, there is a concerted
accumulation of the shares taking place, which adds to our case that the
shares represent a decent portfolio addition for both short-term traders
and long-term investors.
We have also noticed that management
has become more aggressive of late with sales, deals and other substantive
corporate news. With a market cap of a mere $3 million, the share price
should be significantly higher in our opinion. With the several sales orders
(over $2 million since March by our calculation) noted over the last few
months and likely more deals, dealers and sales to come, current share
price levels will likely appear very cheap in the months to come.
XTME
has made amazing strides in the bolstering and exposure of its patrol/security
watercraft sector and now with the addition of the Avenger line, it has
products to address the needs of those clients who need boats in the 10-100
meter category. Adding Avenger's client base to its own can only
add to XTME inroads to both the US as well as foreign governments.
More and substantive deals and sales
will likely come over the next few months. Each one drives the company
further and, we believe, will continue to be reflected in rising trade
volumes and share prices.
The low market cap and rapid
growth of the company leads us to conclude that the current share price
represents a significant opportunity for risk-oriented investors that won't
last much longer.
Waiting
on EDEN
News-wise
Eden Energy (OTCBB:
EDNE) has been quite quiet, which is likely due to competitive
reasons. Obviously, the rise in oil prices has made the entire industry
more exploration-oriented and tight-lipped. Given the quality of its properties
and the fact that Eden paid way less for its leases a couple of years ago
than it would have to now, investors should continue to be excited about
the prospects for the company.
We
have no reason to doubt that EDEN is continuing with its seismic and other
geological testing which will eventually result in drilling in the area.
Drilling plans always take longer as rigs need to be accessed, permits
acquired etc, etc.
Until then, here's the chart and
comments:
While the shares are a trader's
delight, long-term risk-oriented investors should use dips such as these
to add to positions.
With the shares at $3.60-ish, they
are at a level we've seen before. Eden has been a wild trader and there
have been several profitable trading opportunities, most of which we've
noted. If the shares can develop some horsepower, it may well repeat what
it did last time it was down here and retrace this decline back to
around the $6 level. We've mentioned the shares often both here and on
the SCBLOG. Our last suggestion on the SCBLOG
on September 8th was that $5 was a critical support area and buyers at
that level should employ tight stops. Turns out that price level was eventually
violated and the stops were a prescient strategy.
As we wait for more news from both
Eden and others in the area, buyers of the shares at this level should
also employ stops at or around the $3.40-$3.45 level. The only guarantee
is that the volatility of the past will continue into the future.
As we've oft said; Any exploration
play--no matter the commodity-- is inherently risky. As we've seen with
the large movement in Eden's share price, strategic trading has and will
likely continue to prove profitable. Investors should continue to trade
the shares strategically with solid buy and sell targets as well as stops
while we wait for news from the area.
A small core position in Eden Energy
for the long-term would likely be a reasonable strategy, as well. Once
news comes out, it will likely be difficult to buy shares at good prices.
We
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TGR Group, LLC
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San Diego, CA 92130
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for Trading Alerts compensation and disclosure. TGR Group LLC has been
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