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VOLUME
02: ISSUE 81
Trading Alert: ThinkPath
Corporation (OTC BB: THTHF)
Debt restructuring activities throughout
a challenging 2002 at ThinkPath (OTC BB: THTHF) of Toronto-an engineering
knowledge management company-culminated successfully Wednesday with the
release of significant financing details--evidencing a turnaround, ongoing
future viability and potential prosperity.
At $.06, the shares were previously
priced for bankruptcy. This will not be the case. With the clouds parting
agressive investors should take a serious look at ThinkPath. The
company, which IPO'd at $5.00 in 1999 on the NASDAQ, has brought in new
financial partners, cut costs and reduced its debt by $1.5 million to position
it for strong growth in 2003 and beyond.
Today, just after the market closed,
ThinkPath
announced the completed arrangements (first announced in August 2002) to
refinance it's debt. The company was in default with Bank One, it's previous
creditor. As a result the market priced the stock for bankruptcy. Their
debt was refinanced with Morrison Financial Services, and in the process
the company enhanced its balance sheet through debt reduction by approximately
$1.5 million, a one time gain which will show up in December quarterly
results.
In a separate but related transaction,
ThinkPath
also received and additional $800,000 through an equity financing from
Bristol Investment which was used toward corporate debt settlement obligations.
ThinkPath
could receive up to $4 million from this financing, leaving the balance
available for future initiatives and growth.
ThinkPath's Business
The company provides technology and
engineering solutions in design, drafting, technical publishing, and e-learning.
For example, the company provides the service of converting massive technical
manuals used to maintain military equipment (fighter jets, tanks, etc)
into small, portable electronic notebooks for field use. In addition, they
help the military and other customers conduct e-learning seminars in remote
locations.
The bulk of their customers include
the departments of defense in the United States and Canada and large multi
national companies in the aerospace, automotive, and financial services
industries. Their customer base includes the following:
General Electric
Lockheed Martin
General Motors
Ford
General Dynamics
CIBC
Merrill Lynch
Hewlett Packard
Cummins Engines
Bell Canada
Look for the company to increase its
engineering and design business in the defense sector with current customers
such as Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics and Boeing. Defense spending
is increasing considerably as the US gears up for a long term war on terrorism
and potential conflict with Iraq.
Market Value vs. Sales and Share Price- A Formula
for Potential Appreciation
The company's sales have declined
from 2001, but they are still on track to achieve approximately $28 million
in 2002. In the September quarter, ThinkPath achieved $6.7 million
in sales, and were at $21.5 million through the first nine months of the
year.
Like many others, ThinkPath
invested heavily in a flawed dot-com business model. Over the past year
the company has unwound that side of its business, and is now positioned
for a return to growth. In the process, ThinkPath recently announced
it has reduced annual fixed cost by $5 million. Employees and offices have
been reduced from 600 and 18 offices in March 2002 to a current leaner
roster of 330 within 6 North American offices.
According to their last SEC filing,
there are currently 51.7 million shares issued and outstanding. With a
market price of $.06, the stock market is valuing the entire company at
$3.1
million, which seems ridiculously low as compared to annual revenues
of about $28 million. As previously mentioned, the stock
is currently priced for bankruptcy.
You must assume the equity financing
will result in additional shares being issued. Therefore, our value model
is based on an estimate of 100 million shares issued and outstanding in
the future, equating to a $6 million market value based on today's closing
price.
Nevertheless, as compared to about
$28 million in annual sales and the threat of bankruptcy behind them, the
stock should be entitled to appreciate significantly from current levels,
especially when one considers the component of major defense related services
in ThinkPath's business mix. The company is focusing most of its
expansion efforts in the Defense arena.
Short term (three to six months),
we believe the stock could easily trade into the $.10 to $.15 range,
and might even do so on the strength of this press release, representing
potential price appreciation 66% to 100%. Longer term, a return to early
2001 levels of $1.50 when the stock was on the NASDAQ is possible, but
will require outstanding corporate performance and better general market
conditions.
As with any $.06 stock, you should
assume you could lose 100% of your invested capital, so this stock is only
for the speculative end of your portfolio. ThinkPath has made enormous
strides towards righting the ship with today's news, but has a ways to
go to return to profitability.
If the stock gaps up dramatically
in tomorrow morning's trading as a result of today's news, please use a
limit order to avoid paying too much and lining the pockets of an undeserving
market maker with your hard earned money.
Here is ThinkPath's Press
Release, which came out just after the market closed today. You are the
first to learn about this dramatic turn of events:
Press Release Source:
Thinkpath Inc.
Thinkpath Completes
Financing Arrangement
Wednesday December 11,
4:01 pm ET
TORONTO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Dec.
11, 2002--Thinkpath Inc., (OTCBB:THTHF - News), a market leader in Engineering
Knowledge Management solutions, announced today that it has completed an
arrangement with Morrison Financial Services Limited to provide the Company
with a Cdn$4 million revolving financing facility. The initial advance
under the facility was used to pay debt obligations to the Company's bank.
This arrangement is crucial as it will take Thinkpath out of default with
its bank and grant a forgiveness of approximately US$1.5 million in long-term
debt, strengthening the Company's balance sheet.
In a separate but simultaneous
transaction, Thinkpath announced today that it has raised US$800,000 in
a convertible debt financing arrangement with a syndicate of investors
led by Bristol Investment Fund, Ltd. The first stage of US$800,000 has
been used towards debt settlement obligations and working capital. Further,
the agreement will allow Thinkpath the opportunity to raise additional
working capital in two more stages if necessary, up to a total of US$3
million.
About Thinkpath Inc.
Thinkpath (OTCBB:THTHF
- News) is a global provider of technological solutions and services in
engineering knowledge management including design, drafting, technical
publishing, e-learning, technical training and staffing. Thinkpath enables
corporations to reinvent themselves structurally; drive strategies of innovation,
speed to market, globalization and focus in new and bold ways. We are experts
in the aerospace, automotive, manufacturing and health care industries.
Headquartered in Toronto,
Canada, Thinkpath has 330 employees in 6 offices across North America.
Further information about the company, its services and products can be
found at www.thinkpath.com.
Forward-looking Statements
This press release contains
certain forward-looking statements regarding Thinkpath Inc., its business
prospects and results of operations that are subject to certain risks and
uncertainties posed by many factors and events that could cause Thinkpath's
actual business, prospects and results of operations to differ materially
from those that may be anticipated by such forward-looking statements.
Readers are urged to carefully review and consider the various disclosures
made by Thinkpath in this news release and other reports filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission that attempt to advise interested parties
of the risks and factors that may affect Thinkpath's business.
Contact:
Vantage Point Capital
Deborah Bayne, 905/844-3748
or 800/580-4382
Email: vinfo@vantagepointcapital.com
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