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VOLUME 08 : ISSUE 5
Applied
DNA Keeps Good Company
They
say you're judged by the company you keep. If that's the case, then I think
Applied
DNA (OTCBB:
APDN) should move up a couple of notches in everyone's book. The
company just announced they've been unanimously accepted into the Brand
Protection Alliance, or BPA for short. The BPA is a collection of organizations
that, together, offer a pretty thorough menu of anti-counterfeit and piracy
protection choices.
What
- you've never heard of the BPA? OK, confession time...I hadn't
either. I knew what it was from the company's press release and my
own subsequent digging, but I'm not on their mailing list. Nonetheless,
this is actually a big deal within the brand protection world.
To
put it in terms I think most of us would understand, these are the elite
industry activists, and they don't just let anybody join. You have to bring
something unique and worthy to the table. The fact that Applied DNA got
in without a 'nay' vote speaks well for the company.
The
long-term benefit of such an honor is pretty simple to figure out - being
part of the alliance can get the company in front of more potential customers.
Though nobody that I'm aware if has explicitly said this, I get the feeling
that Applied DNA's wares are the only ones of their ilk within the BPA.
(The 'ilk' in this case is forensics-caliber, DNA-based, counterfeit-testing
equipment.)
Do
I think this news is going to shoot APDN shares through the ceiling at
tomorrow's open? No. I'm not even sure the stock will even flinch. I do
feel, however, this is the kind of thing that may seem minor on the surface,
but is actually major 'down the road' news.
Though
their technology is superior compared to most things I've seen, Applied
DNA has the same challenge any small cap company does - spreading the word
about your product when you're competing with deep-pocketed companies.
Now that much of their technology is at a commercial stage, effectively
taking it to the streets is the key to taking the company to the next level.
So,
though not a game-changer, the news is nice. The press release is below.
That
said, Applied DNA had spent the better part of the last few weeks dormant
in terms of news. Then
last week they released the Supima news. Today they dropped the BPA
update. I also know that earnings should be around the corner. You may
also recall DermalRX (the company's other revenue-bearing venture) was
put into motion in November. And above all else, their Signature DNA anti-piracy
technology is being presented to potential customers.
What's
my point? Maybe it's nothing, but I wonder if the company was sitting
out the market's rough patch by sitting on some news as well. In turn,
if we start to see a wave of consecutive little victories, I have to think
the stock will respond. Pair up this currently un-loved (but gaining interest)
stock with a bigger bullish tide, and my 'undervalued' radar starts to
spin. Just something to think about.
In
the meantime, I've got some thoughts on this long-awaited market bottom.
More
Evidence of a Bottom?
Finally
a decent day! Seven of the first eight trading days for the market
were down days, so Monday brings the bulls' record up to 2 and 7. More
importantly though, we got an up day shortly after we saw some of the market's
underlying dynamics peak. I'm still not saying we're out of the woods yet,
though I continue to think the market's telling us the worst is over.
You
might recall my two biggest reversal clues are the ISE Sentiment Index,
and the number of new NYSE lows (or highs, when searching for a
top). Since our last
update on those charts, we've seen some key milestones hit...and passed.
Last
week, we saw 708 NYSE-listed stocks hit new lows. That was the highest
reading since August, and the third highest reading in years. As the nearby
daily chart indicates, readings that high are just too rare and hard to
come by to persist; those tall peaks in new NYSE lows usually come at a
bottom. (The weekly chart is even more of an eye-opener.) Though I'd still
rather see a little more progress from the market to ensure this isn't
a fake-out, I like the odds here.
My
other favorite tool has been the ISE Sentiment Index.
Since
its inception a few years ago, I've successfully found almost every major
bottom within a few days using this tool. My weapon of choice was the application
of Bollinger bands to the ISE Index reading....if the lower band was hit,
we're probably in the midst of a capitulatory action.
You'll
recall I was worried the last time I talked about this chart back on January
5th, as the reading really hadn't gotten KO'd...or beaten back down to
a 70-ish reading where it gets when things are usually just painful for
investors. Well, (and
as I blogged on January 9th) we got finally got there. The chart tells
the tale.
I'm
still not married to the idea that a bottom has been made, but I guess
you could say I'm engaged. In the grand scheme of things I prefer better
odds with a slightly lower payout than a higher payout with weaker odds,
and I think that's pretty much where things are with stocks right now....you
gotta' decide for yourself how much risk you're willing to take.
The
trump card is expiration week, which we're in right now. It's hard to tell
whether this (today's) is the market's organic movement, or the effect
of all those expiring options. The issue gets worse as the weak wears on.
That
said, the new NYSE low and ISE Index charts make a heck of a compelling
case, don't they? More to come on that matter. Here's the Applied DNA news:
Applied
DNA Sciences Joins Brand Protection Alliance
Protecting
the Integrity of Brands and Intellectual Property
STONY BROOK, N.Y.--(BUSINESS
WIRE)--Applied DNA Sciences, Inc. (OTC
Bulletin Board: APDN) and The Brand Protection Alliance, LLC (BPA)
are pleased to announce that Applied DNA Sciences has been unanimously
approved by the BPA board to join its organization. The BPA is committed
to providing brand owners and global manufacturers with direct access to
a comprehensive portfolio of technology and services providers in the field
of product authentication and brand security.
"Applied DNA Sciences
has a unique technological position that is a provocative example of the
BPA's commitment to continually expand the depth and range of the technologies
and services that we can offer to our clients. Applied DNA Sciences' technology
broadens' our portfolio towards a defined goal of giving genuine brand
owners more choices and the ability to authenticate products not only quickly
but also cost effectively," said BPA President, Lynn Crutchfield. "We believe
that Applied DNA Sciences' involvement in the BPA will also provide our
customers with unlimited opportunities to employ forensic level products
in their brand protection programs. We expect APDN's technology to integrate
seamlessly with many of the offerings currently provided by other BPA members."
Applied DNA Sciences
markets and sells DNA encrypted and embedded solutions that are forensically
authenticated by machine readable devices. These solutions can be easily
integrated with a range of thermal transfer ribbons, inkjet and laser inks,
threads, varnishes, and labeling materials. Applied DNA Sciences' products
can help protect a brands' intellectual property that can easily be eroded
and/or compromised by counterfeiting, product diversion and other types
of organized IP theft.
"Many companies
are victims of these fraudulent activities and the problem is increasing
in prevalence every year. As new members of BPA, we join an elite group
of experienced brand security professionals whose products and services
are selling through the broad marketplace of brands that require protection
against counterfeiting and diversion. This is why we are honored to be
invited to join the BPA," commented Dr. James Hayward, President and CEO
of APDN. "We are very focused on providing unique DNA markers that fit
with existing manufacturing processes and technologies. We believe that
our SigNature DNA program is a highly viable and affordable approach that
will be beneficial to the BPA membership and its current customer base,
while also helping to attract new customers to APDN and the BPA."
About BPA
The Brand Protection
Alliance was established to serve as a resource organization that assists
brand owners in the design, development and implementation of customized,
secure solutions against consumer product counterfeiting and diversion.
For more information on the Brand Protection Alliance, visit the website
at www.brandprotectionalliance.com.
About APDN
The statements
made by APDN may be forward-looking in nature and are made pursuant to
the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform
Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements describe APDN's future plans, projections,
strategies and expectations, and are based on assumptions and involve a
number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the control
of APDN. Actual results could differ materially from those projected due
to our short operating history, limited financial resources, limited market
acceptance, market competition and various other factors detailed from
time to time in APDN's SEC reports and filings, including our Annual Report
on Form 10-KSB, filed on January 16, 2007 and our subsequent quarterly
reports on Form 10-QSB. APDN undertakes no obligation to update publicly
any forward-looking statements to reflect new information, events or circumstances
after the date hereof to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
MULTIMEDIA AVAILABLE:
http://www.businesswire.com/cgi-bin/mmg.cgi?eid=5584792
Contact:
Applied DNA Sciences,
Inc.
Debbie Bailey,
631-444-8090
Fax: 631-444-8848/
info@adnas.com
http://www.ADNAS.com
or
For The Brand
Protection Alliance
Kim Windschitl,
716-691-6333 ext 2122
kim_windschitl@iimak.com
Source: Applied
DNA Sciences, Inc.
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Stockgroup
Adds Another Recruit To Its Army
To
be a small cap company, Stockgroup Information Systems (SWEB)
is adding some pretty big names to the team roster. Karl Buhr - former
COO of Telemedia - is Stockgroup's new Chief Operating Officer. While at
Telemedia he led the wireless mobile content company (sound familiar?)
to a 400% increase in revenues. We suspect that's the key attraction to
getting him on the Stockgroup team....to turn last
year's purchase of Telecommunication System's Mobile Finance division
into a revenue powerhouse. As you'll read below though, that's not the
only feather in his cap.
It
was an idea
we mentioned shortly after Stockgroup's last conference call. Wireless
devices such as BlackBerries and iPhones (more than just cell phones) are
a big revenue opportunity, as their users are willing to pay something
of a premium for content they want delivered/displayed on their hand-held
machine. That was kind of the point behind the acquisition of Telecommunication
System's Mobile Finance arm as well as the rational for the deal
with Reuters back in June. Up until then though, we felt that Stockgroup
had only scratched the surface....and they had, as most of the company's
attention since then was on the new website.
Now
that the website's mostly done though (the new one is winding down the
beta test), it's pretty clear to us they're moving down the punchlist.
Next in line is the proliferation and monetization of subscription-based
wireless data delivery...something Karl Buhr has experience with.
The
other item Buhr brings to the table is the successful monetization of websites
(again sound familiar?). While he was the Director of Operations for 365
Plc., the company's sales grew from $12 million to $90 million. Not bad.
Again
this points to an idea we brought up shortly after the most recent conference
call...Stockgroup has a great revenue machine in StockHouse.com, but had
not yet maximized its sales with the machine. We suspect Buhr's experience
will aid that effort too. We suspect the impact to the top and bottom line
could be found within two quarters.
Here's
the press release.
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