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VOLUME 07: ISSUE 4
2007's
First Small Cap Idea Is On The Way
We'll
get to today's edition immediately below. First, we wanted to give plenty
of (ok, a little) notice before we send this year's newest small cap idea
to you. The profile - barring any changes between now and then - will be
coming out Saturday morning. And let me tell you, I think you're going
to like it.
What's
the potential? Will it be like last year's suggestion on Clearly Canadian
(OTCBB: CCBEF), which
ended up at one point 78% higher than where it was when we began looking?
Or maybe it will be more like CEL-SCI's (AMEX:
CVM) move from 52 cents to $1.78...a 242% move. Could it even be comparable
to our Commerce Planet (OTCBB:
CPNE) idea, which is currently 805% above our suggested entry level,
and still rising? We don't want to speculate in that way, but let's just
say we feel you're going to be very impressed by what you read.
In
any case, on with the show.....
The
Best-Built Boats You've Never Heard of, Until Now
You
know, I find myself continually coming back to this trading idea. Maybe
it was Tuesday's press release (below) that stirred the pot again - I don't
know. I do know that I've been very impressed by what Challenger
Powerboats (OTCBB: CPWB)
has become over the course of the last few months. But you know what? That's
not even the part that gets my blood pumping. What really stops me in my
tracks is the potential I see for Challenger over the next three months,
three years, and even the next couple of decades.
Like
most small companies, Challenger doesn't have a whole lot of market share
(yet), and is still a somewhat-unknown name (for now). Both of those challenges
can be tackled though, and it looks like this boat manufacturer is serious
about doing exactly that - more on that in a second.
While
revenues and reputation are important ingredients for success, there's
a third one I think is also needed if a company wants to be tops in its
industry. That third factor is....a second-to-none product. You
can hire all the sales gurus and PR firms you want, but if what you're
selling is sub-par, it's tough to even rise above mediocrity.
I've
seen tremendous progress from Challenger on the first two criteria. So
for me, the question all boils down to one theme - does Challenger build
some of the best performance boats available? In my opinion, that's
a big, loud "Yes!" We'll cover the quality of these incredible boats
below, as we briefly explain how I see Challenger meeting all three of
these critical standards. And in case you haven't guessed yet, yeah, I
think Challenger's stock is way undervalued.
Three
For Three
No
pomp and circumstance today - I just want to explain how I see Challenger
meeting all three of my personal 'what makes a company great' criteria.
Brand
Awareness - Challenger is in the midst of a massive marketing campaign.
This includes attendance at boat shows, as well as print ads. Do the boat
shows make a difference? You bet! After working the Fort Lauderdale show
last year, a new international distributor was signed. No word yet on what
that's meant for sales, but we have to think an international distributor
will want/need at least a few boats in 2007. Score one for Challenger,
as almost each boat is priced in six figures. The strength of the marketing
push, we think, should be more than adequate to get their good name out.
More on that in a future edition.
Revenues
- Just for some perspective, in 2004, Challenger's net revenue totaled
up to $164,712. In all of 2005, the company saw $1.7 million in net sales.
After attending the Fort Lauderdale boat show late last year, they sold
seven boats to one dealer. Our estimate for the total transaction was around
$1 million.....after just one show! The heavy season hasn't even started
yet, and it was the second show they were at. Our conclusion...show attendees
are the right audience. There's no reason for us to think we won't see
comparable - or maybe even better - results from future boat shows. The
next show is the Miami show in February. We can't wait.
Quality
Product - Challenger's boats all utilize their patented DDC technology.
In simple terms, the 'duo-delta' design makes these fast boats go even
faster. If you want that performance edge, you have to go to Challenger
to get it. And no, these boats aren't just some novelty. One of the major
offshore racing teams - Team Gallagher - drives Challengers, and you'll
frequently find them in the winner's circle. We're looking for the quality,
'go-fast' buzz to spread like wildfire once we get into the thick of boating
season.
And frankly,
this only scratches the surface. We know industry magazines have test-driven
Challenger boats recently, and we expect to hear about their thoughts soon.
When they do get published, these boats will be highlighted for a relatively
large boat enthusiast crowd....the kind of credibility advertising you
couldn't pay for if you tried. As a side benefit, the quality of their
boat line will be reinforced for consumers too.
Entry
Levels Can't Get Much Lower Than Here
You
may already be aware we have an open trading alert on Challenger shares.
So, this is more of a reiteration of our opinion. Of course, if you're
new to us or not currently a CPWB owner, then perhaps today can serve as
a fresh look at our previous editions. Either way, you don't have to read
between the lines - we think owning Challenger's stock could mean a
very hefty return, with a very limited downside risk.
The
current trading level of 4 cents (3.8 cents, to be exact) means the maximum
drawdown is limited to only pennies. The suggested stop is 2 cents, and
our target is 20 cents. Just to do the math for you, if the target is
reached, it will be a 400% reward. Not bad, huh?
Ladies
and gents, one last thought...as we just mentioned, we still have an open
trading alert on CPWB shares. We don't take that lightly, nor should you.
When we present an idea to you, complete with a suggested target and stop,
our credibility is on the line as well. Does that mean every idea we have
works out for the best? Not at all, but more than enough of them do to
keep our readers coming back for six consecutive years now. Point being,
we believe in the opportunities we discuss.
What
makes Challenger an even better idea in our minds is knowing what's likely
in store for the future. See, the boating market is huge, and Challenger
presently has very little market share. Moreover, we're still in the slow
season for the boat sales. As a result, interest, or even awareness
of, boat manufacturer stocks is also at a lull. The busy season is
just around the corner, beginning in March or so. When the heat starts
to get turned up and consumers really start clamoring for the 2007 models,
I just have a strong suspicion Challenger boats are going to turn more
than a few heads...and open more than a few wallets. Heck, they
already have! Plus, with the sheer 'cool' factor working in their favor,
we'd say these boats are going to develop an even better reputation in
a hurry.
Over
the last few months we've seen just a small glimmer of the kind of market
penetration Challenger could achieve; all we think they need to do is continue
executing as they are. If they do that, in our view, investors are going
to be very happy with the results. You're probably not going to see a much
better entry point than where we are now.
Anyway,
enough of me. I'll let the press release speak for itself...
Challenger
Announces 2007 Strategic Initiatives
WASHINGTON, Mo.,
Jan. 9th, 2007 -- Challenger Powerboats, Inc. (OTC
Bulletin Board: CPWB) today summarized its key achievements for the
past year and announced its strategic initiatives for 2007.
Challenger CEO
Laurie Phillips stated, "2006 was a period of major transition and sweeping
change at Challenger. In May, we commenced with a corporate restructuring,
which included significant management changes, a fresh approach and a new
direction for the organization. The close of the year saw us turn the corner
as new partnerships were formed, valuable relationships evolved and we
announced our first significant sales since emerging from our restructuring."
Key achievements
of 2006 included;
strengthened our
management team by filling critical new, senior executive positions with
seasoned and accomplished boating industry veterans.
terminated contracts
and agreements with non-performing outside distributors which were harmful
to both our short-term and long-term growth.
ceased production
of the Fire-Rescue and Patrol boats and sold off related assets to focus
exclusively on the commercial production and marketing of our Challenger
Powerboat lines.
reorganized our entire
production line process and implemented tight cost control measures in
order to eliminate inefficiencies, reduce the associated costs and significantly
improve our margins.
launched an extensive,
multifaceted marketing campaign in conjunction with the rollout of our
new and redesigned 2007 models.
Challenger COO Jack
Clark commented, "We believe 2007 will be a year of considerable growth
for our organization. In October, we launched an aggressive marketing campaign,
which included exhibitions at the Ft. Lauderdale and St Petersburg Boat
Shows. We recently announced our scheduled attendance at the Miami International
Boat Show in February and plan to soon announce appearances at several
others. These shows are a critical component to one's marketing strategy
as they serve as a platform to introduce new companies, models and concepts
to the marketplace."
He added, "Additionally,
our boats have recently been tested by independent third parties and we
expect these results to be posted along with features and ads in upcoming
editions of major national boating magazines. This will serve to further
raise our profile as we establish the Challenger brand."
Strategic Initiatives
for 2007 include;
expanding our distribution
channels by aggressively adding new dealers and distributors throughout
the U.S.
continue to expand
our brand awareness through boat show appearances, ad campaigns, boat testing,
and publications in national boating magazines.
continue to allocate
a portion of our budget for capital expenditures required to add further
efficiencies to our overall production process and increase our profit
margins.
targeting a strategic
acquisition that would both significantly accelerate our top line growth
as well as add accretively to earnings.
About Challenger
Powerboats, Inc.
Challenger Powerboats,
Inc., designs and manufactures "go fast" offshore high performance boats
and family sport cruisers that target the recreational power boat market.
The Company holds the exclusive rights to the Duo Delta- Conic "DDC" hull
for boats up to 40 feet in length. The DDC hull is a patented revolutionary
design by world-renowned marine designer Harry Schoell. Proven world-class
technology is incorporated into the manufacturing of the boats at Challenger's
65,000 sq. ft. facility located on the Company's 12 acre complex in Washington,
Missouri. For further information about Challenger you may visit http://www.challengerpowerboats.com
or http://www.sec.gov to view the Company's
public financial information and filings.
Forward - Looking
Statements
This release contains
forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements concerning
our business and possible or assumed future results of operations. Our
actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking
statements for many reasons including: our ability to continue as a going
concern, adverse economic changes affecting markets we serve; competition
in our markets and industry segments; our timing and the profitability
of entering new markets; greater than expected costs, customer acceptance
of our products or difficulties related to our integration of the businesses
we may acquire; and other risks and uncertainties as may be detailed from
time to time in our public announcements and SEC filings. Although we believe
the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable,
they relate only to events as of the date on which the statements are made,
and our future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements
may not meet these expectations. We do not intend to update any of the
forward-looking statements after the date of this document to conform these
statements to actual results or to changes in our expectations, except
as required by law.
Contact:
Michael Novielli
Chairman Ph
(845) 575-6770
x202
mnovielli@xtremecos.com
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Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Editor@smallcapnetwork.com
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
Float
Info For Clearly Canadian
You
guys are quick on the draw! We only published on Clearly Canadian (OTCBB:
CCBEF) yesterday, and we're already getting good questions. Here's
one we can all benefit from hearing the answer to.....
"I
am starting to see Clearly Canadian on convenience story shelves. How many
shares are in the public float?"
This
information was a little tougher than usual to find, but we dug and dug,
and found this on the Clearly Canadian site....as of the end of Q3, 2006,
the company had about 12,10,000 outstanding shares (in circulation). That
may have changed between now and then, as they've been issuing stock semi-regularly
to finance the operation. However, we'd expect to see something fairly
close to the same when we get Q4's results.
There
are also 2 million outstanding class B preferred shares which are convertible
to common, and 17.5 million shares are issuable when and if certain options
or warrants are exercised.
Just
so you know, Clearly Canadian issued 5.3 million shares over the course
of the first nine months of the fiscal year, raising about $7.5 million
in cash, and using the rest of that stock to work down some debt.
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Multicell
Cancer Treatment Now Shown to Prevent Recurrence
Although
we're not covering the company anymore, we still wanted to follow up with
a quick note here for any of our readers who are still following the story...
You
may remember from a few weeks ago our blog entry regarding Multicell Technologies'
(OTCBB: MCET) research
on cancer treatment via immune system modulation. In lay-person's terms
(which is us), the distinguishing characteristic of this drug was simply
that it induced a patient's own immune system to destroy a tumor. Lab testing
showed that morbidity and mortality was prevented in 60% of the samples.
Well,
we got the second wave today. Not only is the experimental drug (a combination
of a drug called MCT-465 and another patented antigen-presenting therapy)
effective at killing cancerous tumors, it's also been shown effective at
preventing recurrent cancer. In a press release issued this morning, Multicell
announced that when they re-introduced a cancer into mice that had previously
survived a cancer because of MCT-465, all of those mice were protected
against the development of secondary cancers.
Here's
a link to the press
release, which describes the research in more detail.
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TGR Group LLC has been paid a fee
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free trading under Rule 144. On March 7, 2006, TGR Group LLC entered into
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