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VOLUME 07: ISSUE 41
Locked
& Loaded - CVM Finds Funding
When
someone hands over $15 million to a biotech company to continue work on
a cancer treatment, I have to take notice. Some of the underlying meanings
I interpret in a transaction of this size include the notions that (1)
the drug has enough merit so far to keep developing it, and (2) the company
has at least good enough odds of getting the drug to market that someone,
or
perhaps several people, were willing to make a $15 million bet....which
really isn't pocket change by anybody's standard.
Ultimately
though, I sense a potential money-making opportunity for investors.
Why
would a $15 million investment be made in the first place? I believe the
obvious
answer is the correct one - to turn it onto a considerably
bigger sum. Well, considering a big chunk of what was probably
some big/smart/'in the know' money thinks this stock is likely to do just
that, I had to know more....and I think you do too.
On
the other hand, knowing the biotech company from the scenario above was
CEL-SCI Corporation (AMEX: CVM),
I wasn't a bit surprised they could raise this kind of capital.
But
wait - it gets even better. After scouring through the details of the financing,
and then double-checking the chart, I realized you still have an
opportunity to get in at the same price all this smart money did
(which I think may also make you the smart money, by default).
The
Centerpiece
When
we talk about a big-money investment in CEL-SCI, by and large, we're talking
about an investment in Multikine....CEL-SCI's cancer treatment currently
in a latter development stage. Though the drug may have uses in the treatment
of various solid tumors, the focus of the current work is on the treatment
of head and neck cancer. We've detailed it before, so we won't dive
too deep into the efficacy observed so far. However, I do want to mention
a handful of highlights from the recently-completed Phasing II testing.....
Multikine
demonstrated a 33% increase in the median overall survival at 3 1/2 years
post-surgery in head & neck cancer patients when administered as a
local injection, outpatient, prior to standard first-line therapy.
It has
been demonstrated to be safe and non-toxic. No serious adverse events (SAEs)
related to Multikine have been reported in 200+ Multikine treated patients.
Multikine
renders cancer cells much more susceptible to follow-on radiation therapy.
The anti-tumor
immune-mediated processes continued long after the cessation of Multikine
administration.
A three-week
Multikine treatment of patients with advanced primary oral squamous cell
carcinoma resulted in an overall response rate of 42% prior to standard
therapy, with 12% of the patients having a complete response.
From a
medical perspective, not bad, huh? But what about from an investment
perspective? Well, I think that picture is just as compelling.
For
those who were around in January, you may recall Multikine has now progressed
into Phase III testing. This is the last stage required by the FDA before
granting any approval for a new drug. If Multikine continues to mirror
the success achieved in Phase II trials - as CEL-SCI thinks it will
- we may well see Multikine on the market in the future. When and if it
happens, I think there's no telling how high CVM shares could rally.
The
Financing
OK,
so here's the deal (full details are in the press release below).....CEL-SCI
just raised $15 million by issuing 20 million shares at 75 cents per share.
If the price rings a bell, it's because that's basically where CVM is trading
now.
Wait
a second! You mean some 'big money' just bought a piece of a company
at the market price? Yep - the same deal you and I could have by becoming
an owner today. What does that tell you about CEL-SCI and Multikine?
To me it speaks volumes, as if the $15 million alone wasn't enough
of an endorsement already (even at a below market price).
That's
not all though. As part of the financing package, every two of these shares
sold included a 75 cent warrant, and a $2.00 warrant. The 75 cent warrant
was neither here nor there in my book....it's the same price as the financing
deal. But the $2.00 warrant? These same investors now have the right to
invest at $2.00 per share at a later date, after they've already staked
a huge claim in the company. Again I ask, what does that tell you
about CEL-SCI and Multikine? It tells me these same investors see
something well beyond the current level of 75 cents. Hmmmmm.
Why
CEL-SCI?
If
you think cancer treatments are all the same anymore, think again. Though
we haven't talked about it quite as explicitly as this before, we feel
'immunology'
is word you may want to get familiar with. It's just a way of inducing
the body to fight a tumor by amplifying its own immune system. By the way,
all the collective work so far suggests immunology may be radically effective
in the war on cancer - you just need companies like CEL-SCI to keep developing
them.
As
always though, our primary concern here is whether or not immunology can
make for a viable investment. In a nutshell, we think it can....and
we don't seem to be alone.
Recognize
the name Dandreon (NASDAQ:
DNDN) ? It's just a little stock that's up more than 200% since late
March - on the heels of the FDA's preliminary positive (though non-binding)
vote on their prostate cancer treatment. (The final vote is expected in
May.)
You
know what kind therapy Dandreon is working on? It's a cancer vaccine.....immunology,
in technical terms. And, there are lots of other immunological treatments
in development. Point being, this type of drug doesn't appear to be a fad
- the FDA is reviewing more and more of them all the time, as more and
more of them prove their mettle.
So,
are we saying CEL-SCI the next Dandreon? Maybe, but the only point we're
trying
to make with DNDN is to illustrate the potential. Our excitement over CEL-SCI
is and has always been just how powerful Multikine appears to be.
And, considering the company made every effort to ensure the Phase III
trial results demonstrate the same degree of effectiveness as Phase II's
results, we have to feel very optimistic about CVM shares....we just
think the potential reward could be too great to pass up.
By
the way, we're going to stick with our original suggested target of $1.48
for the time being, which is roughly a double from current trading levels.
But frankly, if Multikine makes it all the way through Phase III, I think
this stock could be worth many times that for longer-term owners.
CEL-SCI
Announces $15 Million Financing
VIENNA, Va., APRIL
18 / -- CEL-SCI Corporation (AMEX:
CVM), a developer of immune-system based treatments for cancer and
infectious diseases, announces that it has raised $15 million in new equity
financing. The shares were sold at $0.75, a small premium over the closing
price of the last two weeks.
The financing
is accompanied by 10 million warrants at $0.75 and 10 million warrants
at $2.00. The Company has agreed to register the shares involved in this
financing.
Geert Kersten,
Chief Executive Officer of CEL-SCI said, "These funds will allow us to
move forward as planned to start our Phase III clinical trial in first
line advanced primary head and neck cancer. This also allows us to negotiate
with potential partners from a position of strength."
This press release
does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to
buy, any securities.
CEL-SCI Corporation
is developing new immune system based treatments for cancer and infectious
diseases. The Company has operations in Vienna, Virginia and Baltimore,
Maryland. The Company's lead product Multikine(r) is cleared to enter a
global Phase III clinical trial in advanced primary head and neck cancer
patients in the U.S. and Canada. CEL-SCI's other products, which are currently
in pre-clinical stage, have shown protection against a number of diseases
in animal tests and are being tested against diseases associated with bio-defense
and avian flu.
When used in this
report, the words "intends," "believes," "anticipated" and "expects" and
similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements.
Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause
actual results to differ materially from those projected. Factors that
could cause or contribute to such differences include, an inability to
duplicate the clinical results demonstrated in clinical studies, timely
development of any potential products that can be shown to be safe and
effective, receiving necessary regulatory approvals, difficulties in manufacturing
any of the Company's potential products, inability to raise the necessary
capital and the risk factors set forth from time to time in CEL-SCI Corporation's
SEC filings, including but not limited to its report on Form 10- K for
the year ended September 30, 2006. The Company undertakes no obligation
to publicly release the result of any revision to these forward-looking
statements, which may be made to reflect the events or circumstances after
the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Source: CEL-SCI
Corporation
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Cleaning
Out The Closet - Say Bye to WBTO & SIEN
With
a handful of newer companies to cover now, it's time to clean out the closet
(so to speak) and officially drop coverage on some of our older names -
just so we can stay focused. There are only two we feel we need to pare
right now....Web2 Corporation (OTCBB:
WBTO), and Siena Technologies (OTCBB:
SIEN).
Note
that we're putting WBTO in our past while it's still within our trading
entry/exit parameters. Our target was/is $3.79, while we suggested a stop
of 89 cents. We'll leave it up to you to decide which of these is likely
to be found first, though we'll also mention you can adjust either as you
see fit.
Siena
easily has one of the coolest race and sports book technologies any casino
could ask for. Plus, the company can basically create any sort of audio/video
technology you could imagine. More than that, we think eventually this
company could be great. However, it just doesn't seem like now is the right
time.
For
more, click here.
MIV
Generates First Heart Stent Revenue
Well,
that didn't take too long. It was less than two weeks ago we re-introduced
MIV Therapeutics (OTCBB:
MIVT) to you, as it looked like their proprietary heart stent coating
was starting to see a light at the end of the tunnel. As it turns at, MIV
was actually already at the end of the tunnel. They've already delivered
and gotten paid for these next-generation heart stents. (Kudos to them
for even being able to keep it a secret as long as they did.)
No
word on where they were sold, or how many, but that's not the point.....I
think the important piece of the announcement is that they're selling them
at all. It all starts with the first one.
For
more, click here.
Reader's
Pick Is Already Up
Though
it's been less than three months, our first reader-submitted stock pick
is already up nicely, and looks like it could be gearing up for a lot more.
We
mentioned N-Viro International Corp. (OTCBB:
NVIC) back on January 31st, when shares were at $3.00. A few rounds
of good news between then and now finally got traction today, pushing the
stock up to a close of $3.50. And, between the chart and our interpretation
of the news, we think the strongest stock returns may still be in front
of us.
For
the rest, click here.
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TGR Group, LLC has been paid a fee
of $25,000 cash and 75,000 shares of newly issued restricted stock by Web2
Corp. for coverage of the Company.
TGR Group LLC has been paid a fee
of $30,000 and 200,000 newly issued restricted shares of Siena Technologies
for coverage of the company. In addition, one of the principles of TGR
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relationship in 2003, MarketByte LLC was paid a fee of $25,000 in cash
and 500,00 newly issued, restricted shares by Siena Technologies for coverage
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have become free trading under SEC rule 144. This should be viewed as a
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TGR Group LLC has been paid a fee
of $25,000 and 150,000 shares of newly issued restricted stock by Cel-Sci
for coverage of the Company. The aforementioned 150,000 restricted shares
have become free trading under SEC rule 144. Additionally, back in November
of 2002, TGR Group LLC was paid a fee of $25,000 and 250,000 shares of
newly issued restricted stock of Cel-Sci for coverage of the company until
November of 2003. The aforementioned 250,000 restricted shares became free
trading under SEC rule 144 and were sold in the open market prior to the
company entering into a new contract agreement with TGR Group in February
of 2006.
From March of 2005 through July of
2006, TGR Group LLC was paid a fee of $40,000 by MIV Therapeutics for coverage
of the company. In addition, TGR Group LLC was also awarded 272,000 warrants
with an exercise price of $.26 by Trilogy Capital Partners for coverage
of MIV Therapeutics. All of the aforementioned warrants have been exercised
and shares have been sold in the open market. On April 3rd of 2007, MIV
Therapeutics renewed coverage and paid TGR Group, LLC $30,000 in cash and
100,000 warrants, convertible into restricted shares at $.50. In addition,
TGR Group has been awarded 190,000 warrants, convertible at $.50 into free
trading shares, by Trilogy Capital Partners for coverage of the company.
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