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VOLUME 06: ISSUE 100
A
Changing Tide For Challenger Powerboats?
Company
Name:
Challenger
Powerboats, Inc.
Stock
Symbol :
CPWB
Coverage
Initiated:
February
6, 2004
Current
Price:
$.039
Average
Volume:
91,574
52
Week Range:
$.029
- $.165
Suggested
Target:
$.20
Suggested
Stop:
$.02
Ladies
and gentleman, today's edition all boils down to one idea - we think now
may be the ideal time to be an owner of Challenger Powerboats, Inc. (OTCBB:
CPWB) shares. Today's news is.....well, the term 'Wow' seems like an
understatement to us.
Yeah,
we know - we started with the Grand Finale first. However, we suspect
you'll agree with our conclusion once you read the 'why' behind our opinion
about being a shareholder. The stock's downside is limited, while we view
the upside as enormous relative to current trading levels. And now, it
looks like the company is living up to their renewed potential, just as
we described they could only a few months ago.
You
may recall that the company went through an enormous change in the
middle of this year.....to a renewed performance boat focus, with a new
name to boot. Has it paid off? We just learned of a major victory stemming
from Challenger's presence at a recent boat expo, so yes, we think the
overhauled company may indeed be able to make good on their potential.
So stock owners, future or present, keep reading.....we think shares may
be ready to make a major upside move, with triple-digit gains not being
out of the question.
Lucky
7
The
'news' is straight-forward - Challenger just sold, delivered, and got
paid for seven high-performance boats. The full press release is below,
and we really recommend you read it. As for its significance, here's our
take......
Our
digging found that the current price range for a Challenger boat is anywhere
from $66,000 to $189,000, according to the inventory viewable on the company's
Website. Just doing a little ballpark math here for the units we saw 'for
sale', we calculated the average selling price to be about $140,000 per
boat. So, our admittedly-rough calculation about how much revenue this
sale actually might mean puts the figure somewhere around a million bucks,
assuming the sales price on the seven units sold is comparable to the typical
asking price we saw on the site. Maybe it's a little more than a million
dollars, or maybe a little less. We don't know for sure (yet), but frankly,
we also don't think the number is the point - we're pretty confident
it was substantial enough to be considered a major improvement. Why?
Just for some perspective, in 2004, net revenue totaled up to $164,712.
In all of 2005, the company saw $1.7 million in net sales.
You
read that right - in one transaction, Challenger just booked a sale
probably about half as big as all of 2005's revenues.
See
why we think CPWB may be undervalued? Or more to the point, do you now
see why we feel the opportunity may be bigger than most people realize?
The
way we see it, the current trading level around 4 cents isn't reflective
of where the company is going: we feel it's reflective of where
they've been. The thing is, this boat manufacturer underwent what we
see as a major overhaul a few months ago...from top to bottom. The paradigm
shift was too extensive to get into now, but trust us - it was huge.
You may want to re-read the blog and newsletter archive to really understand
the scope of the change. As far as we're concerned though, comparing
the current Challenger to last year's Challenger is like comparing apples
to oranges.
In
our opinion, that's the edge today's investors may be able to capitalize
on....the potential success Challenger may experience in 2007 while
shares are possibly priced based on 2006's results.
Wash,
Rinse, Repeat
Aside
from today's big news, the press release also said something else we find
just as encouraging as the big sale. And what was that? The seven boats
were sold to a new dealer....a major Mid-Atlantic dealer with
multiple locations. If these Challenger boats get snatched up by buyers
as quickly as we think they could, we'd say the odds are good this same
dealer would be more than willing to place a 2nd - and perhaps even
larger - order in the future.
If
the news rings a bell, it may be because of the similar news we blogged
just a few days ago. On the 12th, Nautique International - a major distributor
with a network that reaches to Canada, Europe, Asia, and Australia - signed
as a distributor after they were impressed by Challenger's boats at the
Fort Lauderdale (FL) Boat Show. The buyer from today's news about the sale
of seven units, although un-named, was also the result of a relationship
forged at the Fort Lauderdale show.
Reading
between the lines, we'd have to say Challenger is making the most of these
shows, drawing interest from dealers and distributors as well individual
buyers.
And
here's the fun part.....these were just the results from attending one
show - the one in Fort Lauderdale. Since then, they've attended a similar
show in St. Petersburg, and will be at the Miami Boat Show in February.
If past performance is any indication, we expect to see more good news
after each show (and Challenger does indeed plan on being highly involved
in the boat show circuit in 2007.)
The
point is, we feel investors could be well rewarded if the company can continue
to generate a buzz within the performance boating world. And just so you
know, we think the buzz is more than merited. Challenger's DDC boats
are driven by some of the racing circuit's top performers. It's the
kind of performance-credibility advertising you couldn't pay for if you
wanted to.
All
Big Waves Start as Small Ones
Truth
be told, we would have liked CPWB's possible upside anyway - without
the news. While there may have been no explicit reason for the recovery
effort, we've also observed how stocks can 'talk'. That's just an easy
way to describe how a chart's pattern can appropriately precede specific,
publicized news or events. We kind of figured something was up several
weeks ago, when shares stopped falling, flattened for a while, and then
started quietly inching higher. Currently trading at 4 cents, the stock
is already up 42.8% from its November low of 2.8 cents, and it seems
to us there could be plenty more of the same in store. On a technical
basis, the new uptrend alone would have been enough of a bullish signal
for us.
In
any case, if shares are able to make such a strong move on little to no
news, what do you think they'll be able to do when this news starts
to spread?
As
a result of our outlook, we're issuing a suggested target and stop with
today's issue. Let's establish an initial target of 20 cents, with a stop
level at 2 cents. As we've said before, those are only suggested ideas
based on our basic technical read. Perhaps they'll help you manage the
opportunity if you choose to take action. Both numbers may be changed in
the future, but we'll let you know here or in the blog if they do.
And
for what it's worth, we feel this may just be the beginning of a string
of positive announcements from Challenger. Remember, the company - for
all intents and purposes - is a new company. That newness translates
into a major opportunity to capture more market share, sign more dealers,
sell more boats, and book better revenue than we've seen in prior years.
Or figuratively speaking, we don't think there's too many directions
to go but up for what we see as an undervalued stock. Ergo, we feel
the investment community's opinion of CPWB is only likely to improve.....a
lot. In our opinion, as the story continues to unfold, Challenger shares
could offer up a great deal of appreciation for today's investors.
Challenger
Signs New Dealer & Ships 7 Boat Order
Washington, MO
- Dec 20 / Challenger Powerboats, Inc. (OTC
Bulletin Board: CPWB) today announced that it has signed a new multi-location
dealer located within the Mid-Atlantic region on the eastern seaboard.
The dealer immediately placed a seven boat order which has been paid for
and delivered.
Jeff Gayer, Challenger's
Director of Sales commented, "To have a new dealer immediately step up
with a seven boat order, we believe is a testament to the value proposition
that Challenger offers. Due to their coastal location, our new dealer anticipates
strong demand for Challenger's "go fast" DDC high performance line."
Challenger CEO
Laurie Phillips stated, "Once again, relationships we've fostered from
the Ft. Lauderdale International Boat Show have converted into valued customers.
We've since also appeared in the St. Petersburg, Florida Boat Show and
hope to soon announce our progress there as well. In addition to our recent
announcement of our attendance at the Miami International Boat Show in
February 2007, we plan to continue exhibiting at other major boat shows
over the next several months, a critical component of our overall marketing
strategy for 2007."
She added, "The
last several transactions we've announced are a clear indication that we
are now beginning to gain traction as we expand our footprint here in the
U.S. as well as abroad in overseas markets. With the recent management
changes and corporate restructuring behind us, this is an exciting time
for the Challenger organization as we now look forward to focusing on the
growth of our business."
About Challenger
Powerboats, Inc.
Challenger Powerboats,
Inc., designs and manufactures "go fast" offshore sport boats and family
sport cruisers that target the recreational power boat market. The Company
holds the exclusive rights to the Duo Delta-Conic "DDC" hull for boats
up to 40 feet in length. The DDC hull is a patented revolutionary design
by world-renowned marine designer Harry Schoell. Proven world-class technology
is incorporated into the manufacturing of the boats at Challenger's 65,000
sq. ft. facility located on the Company's 12 acre complex in Washington,
Missouri. For further information about Challenger you may visit www.challengerpowerboats.com
or www.sec.gov to view the Company's public
financial information and filings.
Forward - Looking
Statements
This release contains
forward-looking statements, including, without limitation,statements concerning
our business and possible or assumed future results of operations. Our
actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking
statements for many reasons including: our ability to continue as a going
concern, adverse economic changes affecting markets we serve; competition
in our markets and industry segments; our timing and the profitability
of entering new markets; greater than expected costs, customer acceptance
of our products or difficulties related to our integration of the businesses
we may acquire; and other risks and uncertainties as may be detailed from
time to time in our public announcements and SEC filings. Although we believe
the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable,
they relate only to events as of the date on which the statements are made,
and our future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements
may not meet these expectations. We do not intend to update any of the
forward-looking statements after the date of this document to conform these
statements to actual results or to changes in our expectations, except
as required by law.
Contact:
Michael Novielli
Chairman
Ph (845) 575-6770
x202
mnovielli@xtremecos.com
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San Diego, CA 92130
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