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VOLUME 08 : ISSUE 78
In
This Edition...
Something's
Coming
Red Sox
Fans Can Catch SpongeTech's Latest TV Ad
The Technical
Side of Grape DNA (Seriously)
What's
Up With The Market?
Something's
Coming
I've
never been one for subtle hints, so I'll go ahead and open the bag to let
the cat out - you're going to want to be near your computer next Friday
(the 12th) after the market closes. Unless something unexpected happens
and we decide to reschedule, we'll have a new small cap trading idea for
you ...a really cool one.
It's
been a while since we've actually looked at a new small cap company. Part
of the reason has been the tepid market environment, but part of it has
also just been that we haven't seen a ton of quality ideas coming down
the pike. (For us, quality is better than quantity.) So, having
a new one at all speaks highly of this stock.
I don't
want to say too much too soon. On the other hand, I'm sure you're
at least a tad curious. Here are a few brief tidbits to get your juices
flowing...
Their
2008 Q2 revenue was more than three times that of 2007's Q2 revenue.
In the
last couple of months, the company has signed contracts worth more than
Q2's (2008) total revenue.
Those
recent contracts are only about 5% of the orders they already have, and
are waiting to fill.
The kind
of business they're in is close to being mandated by the government.
Their
product saves companies money, and helps save the environment too.
This
is going to be an exciting company - one I think could lead the revival
of small cap stocks in the latter part of this year. I'll drop a few more
hints in the meantime, but like I said, I think Friday after the close
is going to be the actual unveiling.
Red
Sox Fans Can Catch SpongeTech's Latest TV Ad
For
those of you who are Red Sox fans - or just in the New England area
- if you're watching tonight's pre-game against the Texas Rangers you're
probably going to see SpongeTech
Delivery Systems' (OTCBB: SPNG) latest television commercial. It'll
be airing on NESN TV (New England Sports Network). If you miss that airing,
check back Monday night when they play the Tampa Bay Devil Rays.
SpongeTech
got quite a bit of sales traction when they did some comparable stuff in
New York, so hitting another big market like this one should bear some
fruit again.
The
Technical Side of Grape DNA (Seriously)
A couple
of weeks ago we were touting Applied
DNA's (OTCBB: APDN) entry
into the fast-growing wine industry. Their role isn't that of a
vintner, of course. Rather, they've devised a marketable way to
spot counterfeit wine by testing the DNA of the grapes used to make
the wine.
The
article prompted several good questions from you guys. In fact, two of
them were important enough to discuss in follow-up newsletters.
The
first question was whether or not this wine-identification test would
be a forensic test that would be admissible in a court case. The
answer was, yes, it will be.
The
other
question has taken a little more time, since it's more of a science question
than a financial or marketability question. Some of you wanted to know
how they could distinguish where a grape was grown if it was the same variety
of grape (and therefore should have the same DNA). I didn't have
an answer, so I forwarded it on to the company. Today I have a response.
This
is largely paraphrased, but basically - with a little time - measurable
variations in the DNA of a plant species will develop. Some of the mutations
are spontaneous, while others may be stimulated. The difference may only
be a Single Nucleotide Polymorphism, or SNP (a minute genetic change
that can occur within a DNA sequence, where one of four possible nucleotides
in a sequence is replaced by one of the other nucleotides). However,
the technology to spot even a SNP now exists. Once a base or comparison
SNP is collected, haplotyping can identify a specific plant and associate
it with its geological origin.
Now,
I'd like be able to say that was my answer. It wasn't though. That's
the diet version of what the company responded with. I'd also like
to say I understood it the first time I read it. I didn't though. I had
to suffer a couple of flashbacks from high school biology before it made
sense. Good thing I'm a numbers guy.
Anyway,
the short answer is, yes, the wine authentication test is indeed sensitive
enough to determine the geographic origin of the grapes used to make the
wine.
What's
Up With The Market?
I was
fully prepared today to make some meaningful comments following yesterday's
precipitous
selloff. Then, today brought the 2nd round of bad news.
What do you
expect to happen when unemployment moves to multi-year highs?
Stocks
are selling off again.
As
it stands right now we're down about 6% for the week. That's harsh, but
the truth is we rarely see the market make back-to-back weekly losses
following a complete, week-long drubbing like this one. In other words,
next week the odds say we'll see a dead-cat bounce. After that, it's anybody's
guess again.
One
thing I do know for sure is this - the current environment requires
constant monitoring. Stocks have stopped and turned on a dime several
times in the last few weeks, so you have to be pretty nimble to turn a
profit if you're a trader.
That's
only one reason for my hesitation to dig in though. I'm also cognizant
of the flightiness of the average investor, particularly right now.
Don't forget the bulls went nuts last week when Q2's
GDP was revised considerably higher. Point being, we're just one
good news event from starting an equally powerful recovery.
I'd
really like to see how this day ends before making a stand. The end-of-day
price
is the one that really matters. And, the end-of-week price is an
even stronger indication of how investors really feel. Check the
blog
after the close or this weekend, as I'll have my updated outlook for you
then.
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TGR Group, LLC has been paid a fee
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