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VOLUME 08 : ISSUE 64
Pickle
Pops, Oil Drops - Two Charts That Get My Props
Congratulations
Michigan! You just got your first Spicy Pickle restaurant. You're the
14th state to be able to say that. If you're not particularly close to
Portage, don't worry - you've got nine more Pickles on the way across the
state...at least. It's the company's 42nd restaurant.
At
this point in time I think we can all conclude Spicy
Pickle Franchising (OTCBB: SPKL) is more than adept at growth.
They've cranked out a steady stream of store openings since our coverage
began in the fall of last year, and I have no reason to think we won't
see more of the same going forward. (They've lived up to their word so
far.) Each one adds incremental - and perpetual - revenue and earnings.
And
that's the key to it all, I think...perpetuity. The concept isn't
the kind of thing that's an overnight success. This is a growth
story, but there's a ridiculous amount of room for more growth over
the next two to three years. I really hope the market gets that.
I bring
that up so I can talk about the stock ...I'm wondering if all the market's
noise and SPKL's pullback has blurred the compelling part of the story.
No big deal if it has. It's happened before and it'll happen again. I just
want to emphasize how - eventually - a stock's price reflects the
company's results. Maybe not today or next week, but eventually.
Or,
maybe it will be that soon, if Thursday's action is any indication.
SPKL
had fallen off my radar the last several days, as the bigger issue of a
market bottom took center stage. Considering it was yours truly who warned
you of what appeared to be a capitulation this past weekend though, I'd
say it was a good rearrangement of priorities. (I just wish I had been
as clairvoyant regarding Google ...geez)
In
any case, I was prepared to look at the stock's slide from 88 cents to
this week's low of 53 cents. By the time I was able to focus on the chart
again though, shares had pushed off of the 53 cent level and closed at
63 cents.
That's
still not to say everything is just how I like it - I'd prefer to not have
to rebound from anything, and just rally forever instead. The world
doesn't work like that though. Regardless, every rally has to start somewhere.
Undoubtedly,
value seekers are the ones doing the fishing here. I can't say I blame
them. The higher-volume selling on Tuesday and Wednesday suggests a major
player was liquidating. Thursday's pushback hints he or she may be done.
(That, or it was just the market's tidal pressures.)
For
me, as interested as I am, I'll be a lot more interested in SPKL
when it's back above 69 cents. I'll be even more enticed above 84
cents. And yes, a move past 90 cents would really get me going.
Just bear in mind following this strategy may mean you leave quite a bit
of money on the table.
The
only thing that's changed about Spicy Pickle between now and six months
ago is the stock's price. Hmmm. Maybe I'll accumulate some at the
current level after all.
A
Chart We Could All Learn To Love
I was
going to blog about this yesterday, but I wanted to make sure everybody
saw it.
I
know most all of you have been following my saga of crude oil's chart.
Crude's been volatile to say the least, but over the past several
months has remained in a pretty reliable uptrend. That trend has been guided
and salvaged by a nagging support line that just wouldn't break.
Well
ladies and gents, guess what happened yesterday? OK - don't get
too excited just yet, but yes, the more recent of the key support
lines has been broken. There's still another one though....the one from
a few months ago. It's a start, however.
Just
to be clear, I specifically don't expect to see oil make a bee-line
for 2002's prices. Heck, I don't even think we'll ever see those
prices again. However, this is a first step in what could be a welcome
decrease in prices at the pump.
The
real test will come when the bulls try to take over again ....which could
be soon given the size of the drop over the past three days. If
they don't crack $146 that will be helpful, but then they'll need to send
oil prices back under $130 to really disrupt the trend. A close
back under the upper support line may not do the trick.
It
should go without saying a move under the lower support level could
close the book on this long, long story. We'll see if this is the final
chapter soon enough.
Voyant
Dives Into Web 2.0, Unofficially
Not
a giant deal, but for those of you who want to follow the broad, day-by-day
thinking of Voyant
International (OTCBB: VOYT) , the company's CMO has set up an unofficial
blog to that end.
It
points back to something I mentioned a couple of times a few days ago -
I don't know exactly why they've made such transparency efforts,
but I have to think they see something good not too far down the road.
If
you want to review my recent thoughts on the matter - and the business
potential - click
here to go to our recent company coverage. If you want the company's
take on, well, all kinds of things, you can go straight to Voyant's
blog.
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Larry Isen, the editor and publisher
of the OTC Journal, through various entities he controls, has purchased
1,200,441 shares of Spicy Pickle at an average cost of $.2125 per share.
These purchases were made in Spicy Pickle private offerings. The aforementioned
purchases were made between August of 2005 and August of 2006. On 12/15/07,
on entity controlled by Larry Isen participated in an additional financing
wherein 12 shares of convertible preferred, converting at $.85 into 120,000
shares and 90,000 warrants with an exercise price of $1.60 were purchased.
In addition, Larry Isen has received 785,000 shares of Spicy Pickle common
stock for consulting services and has purchased 213,343 shares in the open
market at an average cost of $.89 cents per share. In addition, MarketByte
LLC, an entity controlled by Larry Isen, has received a fee of $30,000
cash, and 300,000 newly issued restricted shares for coverage of Spicy
Pickle. TGR Group LLC, the publisher of the Small Cap Network, has received
$30,000 and 300,000 newly issued restricted shares for coverage of Spicy
Pickle. Mr. Isen is an affiliate of TGR Group. In addition, two other individuals
affiliated with TGR Group have purchased a total of 300,000 shares at $.25
per share, 21,961 in the open market at $.76 per share and received an
additional 70,000 for consulting services. Current positions of the aforementioned
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Pickle information section.
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