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VOLUME 07: ISSUE 17
BOCX
is on the Runway, Fueled by Cancer Test News
Do
you think there's a market for a cancer screening test that could be performed
and interpreted in a matter of minutes? Better yet, what if it could
all be done at the doctor's office during a routine visit? Considering
there's nothing else that easy and quick in use right now, we'd have to
say it sounds like a great - and potentially profitable - idea.
It
appears the brains behind BioCurex's (OTCBB:
BOCX) RECAF cancer marker are thinking the same thing.
For
anybody new to the SmallCap Network Newsletter, BioCurex's development
so far of its RECAF (TM) cancer marker has shown fantastic laboratory results
in early detection of prostate, stomach, breast, cervical, colon, and lung
cancers, with possibly more cancers being targeted in the future. That's
not even the big deal though....the part that blows us away are the improved
results over current tests BioCurex is reporting in their detection
trials.
Take
for instance the PSA test currently used to detect most prostate cancers
today. According to competitive data from BioCurex, only about 1/3 of 'positive'
PSA test results actually indicate cancer (the other 2/3 of the 'positives'
are false positives). Even worse, up to half of 'negative' PSA test results
actually should be positives (as the patient really does have cancer, despite
the test saying they don't). BioCurex's laboratory testing of RECAF, on
the other hand, has shown 90% accuracy when used to detect prostate
cancer. Other RECAF testing has detected 92% of cervical cancers,
where current pap smear tests are said to only detect 55%-80% of cervical
cancers.
No
need to detail every single test - the point we're trying to make is this....so
far, the RECAF tests being developed sure look much more effective than
the alternatives currently in use. In short, we think the technology
is more than enough of an improvement to continue to make good progress
towards commercialization.
But
here's the rub - to achieve that sort of incredible accuracy, the test
will have to be processed in a laboratory. It's still a reasonable trade-off,
we'd say, but what if there was some sort of an interim cancer screening
test? You know, one that could still potentially take advantage of RECAF's
efficacy, but also be performed at the doctor's office within a matter
of minutes, circumventing the delay and expense associated with lab work.
Well,
BioCurex just announced some pretty interesting news to that end. Keep
reading.
A
Big Step Forward
While
the clinical laboratory version of the test continued to undergo development
during the latter part of last year, it looks like BioCurex has also been
working on a faster and easier version of the RECAF test to be used during
a patient visit to the doctor.
Commonly
called the 'point of care' within the industry, if it works as hoped, a
single drop of blood could quickly tell a doctor or nurse whether or not
a particular patient should be further tested with a more powerful lab
version of a cancer test. As the company describes in the press release
below, it would be quite comparable to a pregnancy test or blood sugar
monitor.
A couple
of key points may need to be made.
First,
obviously
a test that only costs a few bucks (BioCurex used $5 as a hypothetical
price) isn't going to be as accurate as the full-blown laboratory version.
However, it doesn't necessarily have to be, as long as it's able to yield
meaningful results. The company intends for this to be an easy and effective
way for any patient to be preemptively tested, whether or not cancer is
suspected. A follow-up confirmation test will still be needed. So, it's
not likely to cannibalize the laboratory version of the RECAF test.
Second,
the
ultimate goal is to license the test technology. This will allow
the company to reap royalty fees, while allowing someone else to do the
heavy lifting, so to speak. BioCurex has already teamed up with Abbott
Laboratories (NYSE: ABT)
in the development of the laboratory version of the RECAF test, so we're
assuming they'd be a willing partner for this front-line test as well.
However, the cool part about this new test is how there's no limitation
on who or how many licensees could get involved (well, it's cool because
of that and the fact that an effective point-of-care cancer test
would be a much-needed answer to a currently unmet need).
Given
what we know about BioCurex, RECAF, and the need for such a screening tool,
we have to think the potential of this test makes for an incredible trading
opportunity. Remember, as we've said before, we think you own companies
for where they could go in the future - not for where they are now.
According to the company's calculations (in the press release), this may
be an annual market worth $1 billion. Even a small sliver of that pie could
be enormous for BioCurex and its investors.
Now,
don't misread anything here....the test is still in the early development
stages, and there's not any particular guarantee it will ever get to the
market. And if it does, it may not be until later this year or early next
year before it does, depending on how the R&D process takes shape over
the next few months.
You
know what though? We don't think it really matters, as far as traders
or investors are concerned. In fact, it looks like others are already
thinking along our same bullish lines, which we feel explains the recent
'perking up' of BOCX shares. We'd also say now that the news is officially
out, the stock has a very good chance at practically taking flight. It
almost goes without saying we think owning this stock soon - perhaps
today - is critical if you want to reap the most reward from
the sheer potential of this new use of the RECAF technology.
With
that being said, you know we already like BioCurex as an investment...we've
been following the company since late 2003 when the stock was trading at
17 cents. Today is just one more reason we have to bang the drum. The RECAF
technology looks like a winner to us, and we just have to believe investors
are going to be rewarded down the road.
And
after today, we feel any reward could come sooner than most people had
even thought about. While you're already seeing a big surge in BOCX's trading
level, in our opinion, we think the stock could be pressed higher for quite
some time based on the news.
General
Electric, Abbott, & BioCurex - Sorting It All Out
By
the way, many of you have been asking questions about how the sale of some
Abbott divisions to General Electric (NYSE:
GE) could effect BioCurex. The answers are (1) yes, the division BioCurex
works with was indeed one the enterprises placed into GE's hands, and (2)
no, it's not anticipated that this will disrupt the work and partnership
previously put in place by Abbott and BioCurex. In fact, the buzz is, the
RECAF project (as well as the other projects that division was working
on) is being assertively pushed by the new management at least as firmly
as it was under the previous leadership.
Perhaps
even more reassuring, we've heard Abbott's equipment is getting good results
in trials of BioCurex's RECAF detection test. Remember, the cancer test
was only converted to the more common chemoluminescent (light-based) format
a few months ago, as you may recall from our October
25, 2006 issue. Why? Colorimetric equipment is becoming the standard
in diagnostics; Abbott won't use any kind of immunoassays except for the
chemoluminescent kind. We think hearing BioCurex's new colorimetric
immonoassays are working well in Abbott's equipment is just a huge step
in the right direction, for the company as well as for investors. We'll
update you on its progress as soon as we can.
In
the meantime, check out the details on today's news:
Press Release
Source: BioCurex,
Inc.
BioCurex Begins
Development of Unique 'Point-of-Care' Test for Cancer With Estimated Market
Size of $1 Billion.
RICHMOND, British
Columbia, February 13, 2007. -- BioCurex Inc. (OTCBB:BOCX)
announced today that is has started development of a "point-of-care" RECAF
test which would be available for use at the doctor's office rather than
in a laboratory setting.
During the past
two quarters, the Company has been engaged in converting its original radioactive-labelled
RECAF blood test for cancer detection into a non-radioactive, colorimetric
assay. The information gathered in the format conversion strongly supports
the feasibility of a "point-of-care" blood test for cancer detection that
could be developed in a relatively short time. "Point-of-care testing"
is defined as "Diagnostic testing performed at or near the site of patient
care" [1]. A commonly known "Point-of-care" test is available at drug stores
for pregnancy determination, but more sophisticated systems, such as the
one used for diabetic patients to monitor blood sugars, are also available.
The system consists of a lancet to obtain a minute drop of blood, a strip
where the blood reacts with the necessary chemicals and a small reader
that provides a result in digital form (to view examples of glucose tests
and meters go to (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glucose_meter).
Our patent attorneys
have recommended that we do not discuss the technical details of a "point-of-care"
RECAF system until we file the corresponding patent(s).
The RECAF "point-of-care"
system would be targeted at physicians who either suspect a malignancy
at a patient's first visit or are monitoring a patient after cancer treatment.
The doctor would carry out the test in their office in a matter of minutes
while examining the patient. Given the necessarily lower accuracy of a
"point-of-care" test, the device will not "cannibalize" sales of the more
precise clinical laboratory tests. Rather, it will orient the physician
in the diagnostic procedure and according to the reading, prompt the request
of a more accurate test from a laboratory, such as the Company's RECAF
serum test. This is similar to the principle whereby a more sophisticated
test is utilized to confirm the results of the point-of-care pregnancy
tests available in drug stores.
There is no comparable
cancer detection test in use. Thus, it is difficult to estimate its potential
market size with accuracy. According to the American Medical Association,
there were almost 900,000 physicians in the USA in 2004 [2] and a report
from the American Academy of Family Physicians called for a 39% increase
in the number of practitioners by 2020 to meet demand [3]. Between 1994
and 2004, the number of visits made to physicians grew from 681 million
to 910 million per year [4]. New patients accounted for 100 million visits
[5]. The number of visits to physician offices and hospital outpatient
departments is estimated to be 4-7 per person per year in the 50 years
and older age group - where cancer is most prevalent [4]. "Hypertension,
malignant neoplasms, acute upper respiratory infection, and diabetes mellitus
were the leading illness-related primary diagnoses" [5] (boldface added).
27-37 million visits corresponded to cases in which the physician's primary
diagnosis was neoplasm [5], but this number correspond to known cancer
cases; whereas the test should be applied to any patient with the suspicion
of having a malignancy., and perhaps, for good measure and given the low
cost of the assay, to any patient over 50 years of age.
Taking into consideration
that there are 100 million visits from new patients each year, we estimate
a potential market size for RECAF "point-of-care" tests of 50 million determinations
per year in the USA alone. The European Union and Japan combined have twice
the population of the USA and therefore it is safe to assume that they
represent another 100 million tests. Given the low cost of the test and
the possibility that it might be the only RECAF test affordable in many
regions, it seems reasonable to allocate another 50 million tests to China,
India and the rest of the world. Assuming a price of $5 per test, the estimated
potential market would therefore be approximately $1 billion per year.
This type of test
is not subject to any exclusive or semi-exclusive contractual limitations
and therefore the new test would be available to many potential licensees.
The development
of the point of care test using RECAF technology will take time given the
need to perfect the technique and instrument design. There is no assurance
the Company will be successful in developing this test, or that the market
for this test is anywhere near the size estimated. The work done to date
has augmented the probability of its completion and the Company is excited
at the potential of yet another utilization of RECAF technology for assisting
the healthcare of society. We anticipate providing further updates as we
move forward with this test and other applications of RECAF technology.
About BioCurex:
BioCurex, Inc.
is a biotechnology company that is developing products based on patented/proprietary
technology in the areas of cancer diagnosis, imaging and therapy. The technology
identifies a cancer marker known as RECAFtm, which is found on malignant
cells from a variety of cancer types but is absent in most normal or benign
cells. BioCurex has signed a licensing agreement with Abbott Laboratories
for BioCurex's RECAFTM Cancer technology as outlined in a joint press release
dated March 29, 2005. The release noted that the cancer marker RECAFTM
has emerged as a potential biomarker that may be useful in the development
of new cancer diagnostics tests. Preliminary studies from the investigators
at BioCurex have reported a high level of clinical sensitivity and specificity
for RECAF in many of the most common cancers, including prostate, breast,
colorectal, lung and others.
To read more about
the Company, please visit the News section in our web site (www.biocurex.com).
Note:
The Company has
not authorized the release of this information in any form that contravenes
the Communication Act and will not be responsible for unsolicited massive
distribution of this material by e-mail or facsimile by unauthorized parties.
Statements in this press release, which are not historical facts, are "forward-looking
statements'' within the meaning given to that term in the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The Company intends that such forward-looking
statements be subject to the safe harbors created thereby. Since these
statements involve risks and uncertainties and are subject to change at
any time, the Company's actual results could differ materially from expected
results.
Contact:
Ricardo Moro
BioCurex, Inc.
Tel: (604) 207
9150
SOURCES:
1) "Guidelines
for point-of-care testing: improving patient outcomes". Kost, GJ. American
Journal of Clinical Pathology 1995; 104 (Sup1):S111-S127
2) American Medical
Association (http://www.ama-assn.org/ama/pub/category/12930.html)
3) "Report Calls
For 39% Increase in Family Physicians", (http://www.aafp.org/online/en/home/press/newskits/20060928/20060928.html)
American Academy of Family Physicians
4) "Health, United
States, 2005" (http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/hus/hus05.pdf).
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics,
5) "National
ambulatory Medical Care Survey: 2004 Summary" (http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/ad/ad374.pdf).
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics.
We
Value Your Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Editor@smallcapnetwork.com
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
Commerce
Planet Sets Date to Provide Q4 Guidance
Ask
and you shall receive....sort of. Commerce Planet (OTCBB:
CPNE) announced yesterday they'll be providing Q4 earnings guidance
on February 22nd. What do we see coming? Strictly conjecture, but here's
our logic....
The
company has continued to hit record enrollments since we last heard from
them in early November. So, we can reasonably assume the trend they had
in place last quarter is still in place for Q4 of 2006.
In
terms of revenue, the 'Planet' saw $9.7 million in sales in their Q3, with
$3.1 million in profits. At the end of Q2 of 2006, they reported sales
of $7 million, and they posted sales of $4 million at the end of Q1 from
last year. Earnings-wise, over the last three calendar quarters, they saw
profits of $0.53 million, $1.4 million, and then $3.1 million in Q3 of
2006.
Rising
sales, rising revenues. Need we say more?
Siena's
Technology Highlighted By Panasonic
What's
one of the best ways to get some serious high-quality publicity? We think
associating with a high-profile name like Panasonic would sure be one good
way. That's exactly what Siena Technologies (OTCBB:
SIEN) will be doing in a couple of weeks. In late February through
early March, when the Panasonic Company of North America plans to promote
their latest DLP and LCD projectors in Las Vegas, Nevada, they'll be using
Siena's Race & Sports Book system as the test subject, so to speak.
It's
Panasonic's show. However, we actually see Siena being the bigger beneficiary
here - Sony may be able to attract a few more eyeballs that Siena may not
be able to get in front of otherwise.
Click
here for more.
ByIndia's
$5 Million Sweepstakes Drives 800% Registration Growth
Not
that the company needed any help attracting people to the site, but Web2
Corporation's (OTCBB: WBTO)
ByIdia.com recently announced an 800% increase in weekly registrations.
The vast majority of the increase is being attributed to the site's $5
million sweepstakes, which only began a couple of weeks ago.
Do
we even need to reiterate what kind of potential there is here? This particular
site is a one-stop destination to provide all sorts of Web 2.0 services.
Already the #1 search engine specifically designed for the Indian market,
it appears as if ByIndia intends to virtually 'own' the Internet in the
world's fourth biggest population of Internet users in the world (and likely
to be the biggest by 2010).
Challenger
Powerboats Featured In Another Industry Magazine
Just
a few days after getting a nice mention in Powerboat Magazine, Challenger
Powerboats (OTCBB: CPWB)
is slated to appear in Hot Boat Magazine.
Same
drill as before - more eyeballs on the product could eventually mean more
eyeballs drawn to showrooms. This is just great publicity for Challenger,
and re-enforces the rebuilding theme we see playing out in 2007.
Folks,
CPWB shares are up 150% in about two weeks, but we still see some upside
potential left. If you like the turn-around story as much as we do, we
think owning some is easily merited.
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to as "SCN") , is an independent electronic publication committed to providing
its readers with factual information on select publicly traded companies.
SCN is owned and operated by TGR Group, LLC ("TGR"). TGR is not a registered
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TGR Group, LLC has been paid a fee
of $25,000 cash and 75,000 shares of newly issued restricted stock by Web2
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