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VOLUME 06: ISSUE 94
CEO
Interview: Detailing a Biotech Opportunity
It's
been said a company's people - not the company itself - is what generates
success. We tend to agree with the sentiment, especially for a smaller
company where everyone is intimately involved in the day-to-day
operation. That's why we're thrilled we recently got a chance to get up
close and personal with BioCurex (OTCBB:
BOCX) CEO Dr. Ricardo Moro.
Potential
or current investors will want to keep reading, as we have details on the
company's unique biotechnology, where the technology is headed next, and
how it may be a big opportunity for share owners.
The
Technology Behind BioCurex
Q:
For anyone not yet familiar with your company, can you tell us in very
simple terms what BioCurex is, and does?
A:
BioCurex is Biotechnology company dedicated to create innovative healthcare
products in the field of cancer diagnosis, tumor imaging, and treatment.
The technology identifies a widespread cancer biomarker known as RECAF?.
Put simply, RECAF? is a new biomarker that appears in most types of cancer
cells, but not in normal cells. What's more, RECAF? technology distinguishes
malignant tumors from benign tumors. In addition to the detection of cancer,
the technology may also work to pinpoint the exact location of a cancer
in the body using imaging technology.
It
is anticipated that RECAF? will replace certain other biomarkers that may
only detect one type of cancer or are not sensitive or specific to a particular
malignancy.
Q:
And why is that better or different than what any other company is doing?
A:
In the past 40 years, only a handful of cancer markers have been discovered.
None of these markers exhibit the sensitivity and specificity of RECAF?.
Plus, a doctor has to order many other additional diagnostic tests at present
because these markers are not sensitive or specific enough. Furthermore,
most markers are rather organ specific, which means that even if those
markers were good enough for screening, a battery of tests would be necessary
to cover all types of cancers.
RECAF?
offers a unique combination of high specificity, high sensitivity, and
broad cancer spectrum that is compatible with its use for general screening.
In addition, recent results have shown that RECAF? can detect early stages
of breast and prostate cancers (and perhaps other early cancers too). This
means that by screening, we should now find incipient cancers that are
too small to produce clinical symptoms or show up in an X-ray; and as everyone
knows, the earlier the diagnosis, the better the outcome.
Getting
>From Here to There
Q:
It just seems like RECAF? works so well, the medical community would be
clamoring to use it if they could. What are your thoughts about that?
A:
Firstly, science moves in the real world at a different speed than laypersons
realize. Most doctors do not know about RECAF? and it is the job of our
licensees to spread the word. The blood tests have not yet been submitted
to the FDA (the licensees will do this part), and the test is not yet available
in any clinical laboratory. We have received a number of calls from individuals
who want to be tested, but the assay is currently for Research and Development
use only. We also believe that once our licensees offer the test in their
instruments, the time to market saturation should be short given the penetration
that these companies have in the diagnostic market and the obvious value
of the test to society.
Q:
What have been your biggest challenges or disappointments in the process
of developing and marketing the RECAF? test?
A:
So far, I cannot say that I have been disappointed at anything; on the
contrary, I am very happy with the way things are going. The main thing
to keep in mind is that we have a medical test that performs better than
anything else in a field in which discoveries done decades ago continue
to produce revenue. Whether it takes a few more months than we expected
to launch it makes little difference in terms of the impact and the revenue
it is anticipated to generate for the upcoming years. This is not only
our opinion, but also that of the companies that have already licensed
or are interested in licensing the technology.
Q:
What's next for RECAF?
A:
Imaging, and most importantly, therapeutics will be a major focus of BioCurex
as we move forward. The latter is particularly enticing because we have
preliminary results showing that we can destroy 100% of cancer cells with
minimal effect on normal cells. We will continue working on these two areas
in the new year.
Off
and On
Q:
Let's talk a bit about BioCurex shares. In August, Biocurex shares were
re-listed as a over-the-counter bulletin board stock. What can you tell
us about getting off of it, then back on the bulletin board for a second
time? Has there been any noticeable effect so far?
A:
The bulletin board has a better reputation than the pink sheets, and that
is important to us and particularly to our current and future shareholders.
For me personally, it was a re-vindication of our position, our technology
and our company as a whole. We have always been fully reporting and will
continue to do so to provide full disclosure to our shareholders. However,
the measure of our success will be continued business development and the
exchange features will coincidently follow.
Q:
Any goal or realistic time frame for getting listed on one of the major
exchanges?
A:
We are speculating with several possibilities but there is nothing concrete
at this point. It should be noted that before we move to another exchange,
we need to meet their standards, which we do not at present. It is possible
that once we secure more licensees, we may improve our position, but it
is too early to say.
It
is important that our shareholders know that it is our intention to move
the company to a major exchange at some point, but also important to recognize
that we continue to develop our technology, improve our shareholder value
and develop the business no matter where our shares trade.
Partners,
Now and Later
Q:
You've got a major partner in Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:
ABT). What's their specific role (or roles) in the growth of this company?
A:
By now, the roles are rather clear: BioCurex has the flexibility and agility,
as well as a great deal of accumulated know-how to develop and solve research
challenges. Abbott, on the other hand, excels at transforming those solutions
into viable products, at manufacturing them, and in the marketing arena.
Thus, we complement each other extremely well. All of the people I met
from their side are bright and highly motivated and I believe that we have
a winning combination.
Q:
You also have the option of adding more licensees or partners. Any pros
or cons of doing so, and are there any current discussions with other potential
partners you'd care to share?
A:
We want more licensees because some clinical labs have Abbott's instrument,
but some labs have other companies' instruments and the tests are instrument
specific (it is like inkjet printers; the cartridge of a printer does not
work in another printer). Further, more licensees means more revenue and
more necessity for each company to move quickly to achieve market penetration.
We have discussed terms with other possible licensees, but we decided to
finish the conversion to the colorimetric format before cutting more deals
since we believe that a more completed technology will result in better
terms for BioCurex.
The
Opportunity for Investors
Q:
And as far as an investment goes, BioCurex has generally been a good one.
Shares were trading at five cents in 2002, so the current price of 67 cents
translates into a gain of more than 1000% in just four years. Are you surprised?
A:
If you had worked as hard as we did to achieve that goal, you would not
be surprised (just exhausted...). What has surprised me is that after moving
to $2 after the announcement of the Abbott licensing deal, and as we get
closer to generating revenues, our share value has decreased. Yet, the
company is much better now than it was then, the technology is more advanced,
and we have acquired a great deal of know-how that will result in better
deals with future licensees.
We
feel that our present valuation is relatively low compared to other firms
and that might be a good opportunity for investors to invest in something
that the moderator of a scientific session where I presented results called
"a miracle protein".
(The
next three questions were answered collectively below.)
Q:
Of course we have to ask, is another 1000% gain over the next four years
a possibility? (And no, nobody's going to hold you to it.)
Q:
OK, what can you tell us about market penetration now, and how much of
the market you expect to win over, say the next five years?
Q:
And what kind of dollars would that mean for BioCurex?
A:
It is always difficult to predict the future of the market. I would challenge
anyone to predict GM's share value in 4 years. Given the current market
conditions, is it possible that we'll be at $8/share before 2010? Yes it
is possible, but I am not going to make a prediction. I believe that we
are currently undervalued because, as I said a moment ago, we reached $2
when we announced Abbott and then, as we get closer to marketing the technology,
the [share] price is lower.
About
market penetration, I do not wish to make any predictions at this time.
Let me introduce you to some numbers that are easily available and to some
safe assumptions and let the reader make their own predictions:
According
to some marketing studies, we understand that Abbott sells about 1/3 of
all automated immunoassays. For PSA, the market is about $450M/year; and
1/3 could represent $150M. Their list price for PSA is close to $10, which
means that they may sell roughly 15M tests. Let us assume that in the future
we are able to sign up another two licensees and that the three of them
cover 2/3 of the market. Extrapolating from above, we get an approximate
30M tests.
Now,
PSA applies to prostate cancers and therefore it can only be used in men.
On the other hand, RECAF? works in all cancers studied thus far, including
those that affect women. Thus, it is reasonable and safe to assume that
the market for RECAF? is at least twice as large as that of PSA; even more
so if we consider all the other types of cancers RECAF? detects. Using
the numbers above, that could equate to 60M tests per year. We are not
allowed to disclose the royalties we shall receive but let us assume that
they are $1.50 per test (which is less than we expect). 60M tests x $1.50
equals $90M per year in royalties. This is with no cost of manufacturing
and no liabilities since they are assumed by the licensees.
Looking
at it another way, if we assume a 12% profit before taxes on sales, BioCurex
at that point would be the equivalent of a company manufacturing and selling
$750M/year. So you have a significant potential market and revenue model
for BioCurex which certainly exceeds its present market valuation.
One
thing must be clear to your readers: None of these figures should be taken
as accurate without external validation and they should not be used as
the basis for buying or selling stock.
The
Final Word
Q:
What would you tell shareholders right now that they probably didn't know,
or would probably like to know?
A:
This is something that our long term investors know very well, but newer
investors might not: So far, we have achieved everything we set out to
do. This includes coming back from a very low share price in 2002, discovering
and developing a technology that outperforms everything done on the field
in the past 40 years, managing to always maintain the company financed
at a minimum dilution to shareholders, and signing up the largest diagnostic
company in the planet as a licensee. We have done that with less than $10M
from the inception of the company.
Further,
biotechnology development takes time to mature since the human biochemistry
is complex and needs to be examined from many perspectives before a product
is finally marketed in its finished form. We have been proficient in the
process of commercializing a complex technology and structuring a licensing
deal in such a short time. Given the 'minute to minute' valuations in the
stock market, it is sometimes hard to recognize the impact we feel this
technology will eventually have on society.
We
have been able to deliver on our promises because we do not exaggerate
on our promises and this is the basis of long term success. Our shareholders
can rest assured that we shall continue to apply our efforts in that direction.
We
would like to thank Dr. Moro for his time as we detailed the BioCurex opportunity
today.
We
Value Your Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Editor@smallcapnetwork.com
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
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Commerce
Planet Authorizes Major Stock Re-Purchase
We
weren't surprised to hear Commerce Planet's (OTCBB:
CPNE) board approved a major stock repurchase plan on Monday. We've
been following their story for a while, and we tend to agree the stock
seems undervalued relative to where the company seems to be going. Now
'the Planet', with real dollars, is going to sit side-by-side with all
the other retail investors out there. Investors may want to take note,
as it's a surprisingly rare occurrence in the world of equities.
The
terms are pretty straight-forward. Commerce Planet's Board of Directors
decided to authorize up to $2 million worth of CPNE share purchases. The
window on the approval closes at the end of 2007, so they have more than
a full year to take any action they feel is merited.
For
more, click here.
Clearly
Canadian Makes Good on Potential Triple-Bottom
We
first mentioned the possibility of a triple-bottom on November 10th in
the 'Whatever Happened To....' edition. Sure enough, Clearly Canadian (OTCBB:
CCBEF) reached $2.80 on Monday after visiting a low of $2.00 on November
16th. Tuesday's close at 2.61, is still 30% above that low.
The
key barrier we saw then was resistance at the 50 day moving average line.
It had been a trouble spot before for Clearly Canadian shares, and we had
to assume it could be again. Well, after this big move, the 50 day line
resistance level (at $2.52) has been broken.
For
more, click here.
Xtreme
Changes Name, Ticker
In
what may be one of the finishing touches of a major corporate overhaul,
Xtreme Companies (OTCBB:
XTME) announced last week they'd be changing the company's name to
Challenger Powerboats Inc. - a move designed to reflect the company's new
focus. Along with the name change, the ticker symbol will switch to 'CPWB'.
For
more, click here.
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In October of 2003, TGR Group LLC
was paid a fee of $25,000 and one million newly issued restricted shares
by Biocurex for coverage of the Company. Under SEC Rule 144, all one million
issued restricted shares have been eligible for sale into the public market
since October of 2004. In addition, on March 22, 2005, TGR entered into
an extended agreement with Biocurex for a fee of 25,000 newly issued restricted
shares and on July 1, 2006 TGR entered into another extended agreement
with Biocurex for an additional 100,000 shares of newly issued, restricted
stock.
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a contract extension whereby TGR could receive as much as $65,000 cash
and 1 million, newly issued restricted shares over the next one year period
from Xtreme for coverage of the company. To date, TGR has received an additional
$20,000 and 250,000 newly issued restricted shares.
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of $30,000 and pledged 150,000 warrants with an exercise price of $2, currently
convertible into restricted shares of Clearly Canadian, by Level III Research,
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