Coverage
Initiated: InterDigital (IDCC) and Briggs & Stratton (BGG)
InterDigital
Inc. (NASDAQ: IDCC) - Buy
Briggs
& Stratton Corp. (NYSE: BGG) - Buy
Profile:
InterDigital Inc.
While
InterDigital
Inc. (NASDAQ: IDCC) does a lot of things well, the most exciting
aspect of this company is the fact that its stock is up 78% since October's
low. We think more of the same success that got shares that
far could be on the way for the foreseeable future. Thus, we're issuing
a buy rating on IDCC.
Company
Name:
InterDigital
Inc.
Stock
Symbol :
IDCC
Coverage
Initiated:
Jan.
21st, 2009
Current
Price:
$30.58
Avg.
Volume (3 mo.):
744,376
52
Week Range:
$16.20
- $28.98
Market
Cap:
$1.32
B
Rating:
Buy
InterDigital
is a developer of advanced digital wireless technologies. Their designs
and know-how are utilized by every digital cellular phone in use today.
The business model isn't just designing and building though - patent
licensing is a core part of the company's operation.
InterDigital's
latest technological introduction is dual mode baseband ASICs, but the
company has a long history of innovations, and intends to develop many
more as the wireless industry grows.
More
importantly to us, the company's bottom line has been growing over the
last year despite an enormously challenging environment.
The
trailing twelve month P/E is 69.45, which seems on the high end of the
scale even by technology stocks standards. However, part of that twelve
month period includes a loss in the fourth quarter of 2007. Since then,
we've seen three profitable quarters, with each bottom line being bigger
than the last one.
That's
not even the compelling part though.
Analysts
are looking for earnings of 60 cents per share once we hear 2008's final
numbers. And with three of the year's four quarters already in, that outlook
is actually pretty reasonable. On the other hand, 2009 is expected to
look radically different than 2008... for the better.
For
2009, those same analysts foresee InterDigital earning $1.76 per share.
For a $30 stock, that translates into a projected P/E of 17.2. Moreover,
based on 2008's year-to-date earnings trend, those estimates don't seem
a bit off base.
What's
not
apparent in the forecasted numbers is still just as exciting as those numbers
- analysts and institutions are just now waking up to this company.
Institutions
only own about 37.9% of the company's shares so far, which means there's
a significant room for institutional buying in the future. Accordingly,
there are only four analytical firms currently following InterDigital.
This leaves the door wide open for 'new' coverage, which could bring more
buyers to the table. And, it's not exactly a secret that frustrated investors
are pressing for some decent (i.e. profitable) stocks to own, having
grown weary of the losses being taken by too many large caps.
Wednesday's
bullish pop was the result of an upgrade from Hilliard Lyons. And, the
Lyons upgrade was most likely based on Samsung's recent decision to pay
InterDigital $400 million in royalty/licensing fees through 2012. That's
a big chunk of change for a company that generated $224 million in revenue
over the last twelve months.
If
more firms like Hilliard jump on the bullish bandwagon (3 of the 4 opinions
are only 'hold' opinions), we won't be surprised to see similar moves
in the future.
Our
only concern would be in stepping into a position immediately after
the big upgrade-inspired move.
Since
we'll be following the stock for quite some time, interested buyers may
want to wait for a better entry level. You'll still be able to follow our
ongoing, long-term review, as our coverage initiated today is long-term
'investor' coverage rather than a short-term trade suggestion.
Profile:
Briggs & Stratton Corp.
There's
a lot to be said for investing in the next big technological breakthrough.
On the other hand, there's still a lot to be said for investing
in tangible, old-school industries... particularly when one of those
old-school companies is turning things around.
Company
Name:
Briggs
& Stratton Corp.
Stock
Symbol :
BGG
Coverage
Initiated:
Jan.
21st, 2009
Current
Price:
$15.55
Avg.
Volume (3 mo.):
772,370
52
Week Range:
$11.20
- $22.37
Market
Cap:
$797.8
M
Rating:
Buy
Briggs
& Stratton Corp. (NYSE: BGG) didn't have a great calendar
2008. Fiscal 2009 (ending in June) isn't likely to be a lot better. Yet,
a realistic look at the future rather than the past indicates the stock
may be undervalued. Our buy rating on this S&P 600 constituent is
largely based on that turn-around premise.
Over
the prior four quarters (calendar 2008), Briggs has earned 78 cents ...
75 cents of which was earned during the first quarter of the year. The
toughest quarter was third quarter, during which the company lost 4 cents
per share. That quarter, however, may have been the turning point. The
company surprised analysts with fourth quarter's numbers, earning 6 cents
per share instead of the estimated 3 cents.
That's
not an earth-shattering figure, but it's not bad given the dire economic
environment.
Looking
forward, forecasters expect per-share earnings of 65 cents for the current
quarter, and earnings of 21 cents during calendar Q2 (or fiscal Q4). If
they're right, Briggs will have earned 87 cents for the fiscal year ending
in June. That's certainly better than last fiscal year's total of 45
cents per share. It even tops the prior fiscal year's total of 70 cents.
Better
still, Briggs & Stratton followers are looking for EPS of $1.15 in
fiscal 2010.
A
lot of numbers to sift through? No argument, so we'll boil things down
to our opinion of those numbers... the turn-around effort doesn't just
seem plausible - it seems as if it's already started.
While
no industry is truly recession-proof, small engines are quite recession-resistant.
And, if the economy does indeed start to improve later in 2009 (which
we think it will), then the company may be able to exceed those
estimates.
What
doesn't immediately show up in the numbers may be the core reason for any
turn-around - the introduction of a more efficient standby-generator system
to be sold under theGeneral
Electric (NYSE: GE) name.
Unexpected
ice storms and a record-setting number of hurricanes have not only created
demand for generators, but also exposed the need for more efficient
generators.
Weather trends aren't likely to change soon, nor is efficiency going to
fall out of favor. Briggs & Stratton is on the profitable side of that
equation.
We're
going to cover Briggs & Stratton as long as the company continues to
make progress towards those higher earnings targets.